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Objective: To investigate the impact of Medicaid expansion on state expenditures through the end of 2022. Data Sources: We used data from the National Association of State Budget Officers (NASBO)'s State Expenditure Report, Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF)'s Medicaid expansion tracker, US Bureau of Labor Statistics data (BLS), US Bureau of Economic Analysis data (BEA), and Pandemic Response Accountability Committee Oversight (PRAC). Study Design: We investigated spending per capita (by state population) across seven budget categories, including Medicaid spending, and four spending sources. We performed a difference‐in‐differences (DiD) analysis that compared within‐state changes in spending over time in expansion and nonexpansion states to estimate the effect of Medicaid expansion on state budgets. We adjusted for annual state unemployment rate, annual state per capita personal income, and state spending of Coronavirus Relief Funds (CRF) from 2020 to 2022 and included state and year fixed effects. Data Collection/Extraction Methods: We linked annual state‐level data on state‐reported fiscal year expenditures from NASBO with state‐level characteristics from BLS and BEA data and with CRF state spending from PRAC. Principal Findings: Medicaid expansion was associated with an average increase of 21% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 16%–25%) in per capita Medicaid spending after Medicaid expansion among states that expanded prior to 2020. After inclusion of an interaction term to separate between the coronavirus disease (COVID) era (2020–2022) and the prior period following expansion (2015–2019), we found that although Medicaid expansion led to an average increase of 33% (95% CI: 21%–45%) in federal funding of state expenditures in the post‐COVID years, it was not significantly associated with increased state spending. Conclusions: There was no evidence of crowding out of other state expenditure categories or a substantial impact on total state spending, even in the COVID‐19 era. Increased federal expenditures may have shielded states from substantial budgetary impacts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Hospitals must disclose their cash prices, commercial negotiated rates, and chargemaster prices for seventy common, shoppable services under the hospital price transparency rule. Examining prices reported by 2,379 hospitals as of September 9, 2022, we found that a given hospital's cash prices and commercial negotiated rates both tended to reflect a predetermined and consistent percentage discount from its chargemaster prices. On average, cash prices and commercial negotiated rates were 64 percent and 58 percent of the corresponding chargemaster prices for the same procedures at the same hospital and in the same service setting, respectively. Cash prices were lower than the median commercial negotiated rates in 47 percent of instances, and most likely so at hospitals with government or nonprofit ownership, located outside of metropolitan areas, or located in counties with relatively high uninsurance rates or low median household incomes. Hospitals with stronger market power were most likely to offer cash prices below their median negotiated rates, whereas hospitals in areas where insurers had stronger market power were less likely to do so. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Medicaid managed care insurers play a crucial role in facilitating access to buprenorphine to treat opioid use disorder. Using a novel set of provider directory and prescription claims data, we examined variation in access to in-network buprenorphine-prescribing primary care providers among Medicaid managed care enrollees. Approximately 32.2 percent of enrollees had fewer than one in-network buprenorphine prescriber per 100,000 county residents. On average, there were a greater number of in-network buprenorphine-prescribing primary care providers in states with higher compared with lower overdose death rates. However, most enrollees lived in areas with a shortage of these providers. We found that a 25 percent higher network participation rate by prescribers compared with nonprescribers could improve the probability that enrollees see a prescriber by approximately 25 percent. Policies to improve access within Medicaid managed care include using primary care provider assignment algorithms to match patients with buprenorphine prescribers and requiring that networks include a minimum number of buprenorphine prescribers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As people lose Medicaid because of the end of the COVID-19 public health emergency, many states will route former Medicaid managed care enrollees into Affordable Care Act Marketplace coverage with the same carrier. In 2021, 52.1 percent of Medicaid managed care enrollees were enrolled by a carrier that also had a plan on the Marketplace in the same county.

The share of employer-sponsored health insurance enrollment in self-funded plans grew from 55 percent in 2015 to 60 percent in 2021. Growth was concentrated in states with an initially low share but was widespread across most states (88.0 percent saw growth) and counties (78.2 percent saw growth). There were substantial differences in plan types in the self-funded and fully insured markets.

Most major insurers operate in both the commercial health insurance and Medicare Advantage (MA) markets. We investigated the ratio of commercial-to-MA prices negotiated by the same insurer, in the same hospital and for the same services, using 2022 price information disclosed by hospitals in compliance with the hospital price transparency rule. Insurers negotiated median hospital prices for commercial plans that were two to three times higher than their MA prices in the same hospital for the same service. The median commercial-to-MA price ratio in the same hospital varied, from 1.8 for surgery and medicine services to 2.2 for laboratory tests and emergency department visits and 2.4 for imaging services. In multivariable Poisson regression analysis, higher ratios were associated with system-affiliated, nonprofit, and teaching hospitals, as well as with large national insurers. These findings reflect the differences in financial incentives and regulatory policies in the commercial and MA markets. Because insurers respond to differing incentives by obtaining different negotiated prices across markets, policy and practice efforts that alter incentives for insurers may have the potential to lower commercial prices.

Medicare Advantage now covers twenty-eight million older adults, many of whom have mental health needs. Enrollees are often restricted to providers who participate in a health plan's network, which may present a barrier to care. We used a novel data set linking network service areas, plans, and providers to compare psychiatrist network breadth-the percentage of providers in a given area that are considered "in network" for a plan-across Medicare Advantage, Medicaid managed care, and Affordable Care Act plan markets. We found that nearly two-thirds of psychiatrist networks in Medicare Advantage were narrow (that is, they contained fewer than 25 percent of providers in a network's service area) compared with approximately 40 percent in Medicaid managed care and Affordable Care Act plan markets. We did not observe similar differences in network breadth for primary care physicians or other physician specialists across markets. Amid efforts to strengthen network adequacy, our findings suggest that psychiatrist networks in Medicare Advantage are particularly narrow, which may disadvantage enrollees as they attempt to obtain mental health services.

Hospitals must disclose their cash prices, commercial negotiated rates, and chargemaster prices for seventy common, shoppable services under the hospital price transparency rule. Examining prices reported by 2,379 hospitals as of September 9, 2022, we found that a given hospital's cash prices and commercial negotiated rates both tended to reflect a predetermined and consistent percentage discount from its chargemaster prices. On average, cash prices and commercial negotiated rates were 64 percent and 58 percent of the corresponding chargemaster prices for the same procedures at the same hospital and in the same service setting, respectively. Cash prices were lower than the median commercial negotiated rates in 47 percent of instances, and most likely so at hospitals with government or nonprofit ownership, located outside of metropolitan areas, or located in counties with relatively high uninsurance rates or low median household incomes. Hospitals with stronger market power were most likely to offer cash prices below their median negotiated rates, whereas hospitals in areas where insurers had stronger market power were less likely to do so.