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Abstract As the global prevalence of chronic liver disease continues to rise, the need to determine which patients will develop end-stage liver disease and require liver transplantation is increasingly important. However, current prognostic models perform sub-optimally. We aim to determine microRNA profiles associated with clinical decompensation and mortality/transplantation within 1 year. We examined microRNA expression profiles in plasma samples from patients across the spectrum of cirrhosis (n = 154), acute liver failure (ALF) (n = 22), sepsis (n = 20) and healthy controls (HC) (n = 20). We demonstrated that a microRNA-based model (miR-24 and -27a) associated with systemic inflammation differentiated decompensated cirrhosis states from compensated cirrhosis and HC (AUC 0.77 (95% CI 0.69–0.85)). 6 patients within the compensated cirrhosis group decompensated the subsequent year and their exclusion improved model performance (AUC 0.81 (95% CI 0.71–0.89)). miR-191 (associated with liver injury) predicted risk of mortality across the cohort when acutely decompensated and acute-on-chronic-liver failure patients were included. When they were excluded miR-24 (associated with systemic inflammation) predicted risk of mortality. Our findings demonstrate that microRNA associated with systemic inflammation and liver injury predict adverse outcomes in cirrhosis. miR-24 and -191 require further investigation as prognostic biomarkers and therapeutic targets for patients with liver disease.

Abstract Regulated cell proliferation is an effector mechanism of regeneration, whilst dysregulated cell proliferation is a feature of cancer. We have previously identified microRNA (miRNA) that regulate successful and failed human liver regeneration. We hypothesized that these regulators may directly modify tumor behavior. Here we show that inhibition of miRNAs -503 and -23a, alone or in combination, enhances tumor proliferation in hepatocyte and non-hepatocyte derived cancers in vitro, driving more aggressive tumor behavior in vivo. Inhibition of miRNA-152 caused induction of DNMT1, site-specific methylation with associated changes in gene expression and in vitro and in vivo growth inhibition. Enforced changes in expression of two miRNA recapitulating changes observed in failed regeneration led to complete growth inhibition of multi-lineage cancers in vivo. Our results indicate that regulation of regeneration and tumor aggressiveness are concordant and that miRNA-based inhibitors of regeneration may constitute a novel treatment strategy for human cancers.