23 results on '"Varilone, Pietro"'
Search Results
2. Transformer Outage Contingency in the Southern Interconnected Grid of Cameroon Based on Dynamic Power Flow Simulation.
- Author
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Iweh, Chu Donatus, Nsanyuy, Wirnkar Basil, Nguti, Nde Donatus, Tanyi, Emmanuel, and Varilone, Pietro
- Subjects
ELECTRICAL load ,FLOW simulations ,PUBLIC utilities ,ELECTRIC lines ,VOLTAGE - Abstract
The power system is a network of components having specific operational limits such that any violation of these limits during their operation could lead to more damage in the grid. The grid in Cameroon has been facing several undesired loading events at some sections of the network and the utility company has over the years, employed measures to mitigate these issues. This study has used the ETAP software to conduct a contingency analysis on the largest independent grid in Cameroon, supplying 6 regions in Cameroon. Seventeen transformer outage events in the network were used to conduct the N‐1 scenario‐based contingency, so that the vulnerability of the network can be evaluated. The fast decoupled power flow method was continuously applied on the network, and the different contingency scenarios were ranked using a combination of 4 performance indices. These four performance indices gave information on the impact of the various transformer outage scenarios on the grid. The four indices were added to give a combined value, and the outages were ranked in order of severity based on this combined index. A major contribution of this paper is the use of four scalar indices to classify the critical elements in the grid of a developing country. The initial load flow simulation of the network showed that 12 nodes had under voltages, while 3 transformers and one transmission line were overloaded. The Ngousso corridor suffered one of the worst under voltage situation during the initial power flow study. This is an indication that the utility company needs to undertake intensive network upgrade and implore measures to increase power generation to support the growing loads. It was observed that all the contingency scenarios experienced convergence. The Oyomabang transformer 1 had the highest combined index of 71.20, showing a huge negative impact on the network as a result of the outage of the transformer. This was followed by the Oyomabang transformer 2 with a combined index of 48.63. The results will be very useful to utility operators in prioritizing transformers in the network with high risk of causing huge impact on the network in case of an outage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Taguchi's method for probabilistic three-phase power flow of unbalanced distribution systems with correlated Wind and Photovoltaic Generation Systems
- Author
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Carpinelli, Guido, Rizzo, Renato, Caramia, Pierluigi, and Varilone, Pietro
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
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4. Multi-linear Monte Carlo simulation method for probabilistic load flow of distribution systems with wind and photovoltaic generation systems
- Author
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Carpinelli, Guido, Caramia, Pierluigi, and Varilone, Pietro
- Published
- 2015
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5. Methods for assessing the robustness of electrical power systems against voltage dips
- Author
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Carpinelli, Guido, Di Perna, Cosmo, Caramia, Pierluigi, Varilone, Pietro, and Verde, Paola
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Electric power systems -- United States ,Electric power systems -- Research ,Reliability (Engineering) -- Evaluation ,Business ,Computers ,Electronics ,Electronics and electrical industries - Abstract
Electrical power system robustness is defined as the intrinsic capacity of an electrical power system to maintain assigned disturbance levels when external conditions change. This paper compares two methods for estimating voltage dip severity: the critical distance method and the fault position method. Their differences are not linked to the type of network but to the type of results which we are searching for. This paper proposes a graphical color visualization of the during fault voltage matrices that immediately correlates dip severity with colors defined by a proper scale. New robustness indices are also proposed to synthesize bus performance in terms of affected and exposed areas. Numerical applications refer to real transmission and real distribution systems. Index Terms--Power distribution, power quality (PQ), power system reliability, power transmission, voltage dips.
- Published
- 2009
6. Chaos-based modeling of DC arc furnaces for power quality issues
- Author
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Carpinelli, Guido, Iacovone, Fabrizio, Russo, Angela, and Varilone, Pietro
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Furnaces ,Industrial equipment ,Business ,Computers ,Electronics ,Electronics and electrical industries - Abstract
DC are furnaces are more and more applied in large industrial systems and represent one of the major sources of perturbations for the feeding system. This paper deals with the problem of the dc arc modeling using three well-known chaotic attractors (Rossler, Chua, and Lorenz attractors). A new tuning procedure is adopted to determine the most adequate parameters of the attractors to model the dc arc furnace. Waveform distortions and voltage fluctuations indexes are calculated from the simulation results of a whole existing plant and compared with measured data. The proposed models of dc arc furnace can be used to assess the impact in terms of power quality of the dc arc furnace when planning new plants or evaluating the performances of compensating devices. Index Terms--Chaotic models, DC arc furnaces, power quality.
- Published
- 2004
7. Analytical modeling for harmonic analysis of line current of VSI-fed drives
- Author
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Carpinelli, Guido, Iacovone, Fabrizio, Russo, Angela, Varilone, Pietro, and Verde, Paola
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Electric power transmission -- Research ,Business ,Computers ,Electronics ,Electronics and electrical industries - Abstract
The ac/dc/ac double-stage converter, frequently used nowadays to provide ac adjustable frequency and magnitude voltages in the adjustable-speed drives, consists of a voltage source inverter (VSI) fed by a three-phase diode bridge rectifier; this rectifier generates high line current harmonics in the supply system. This paper presents a complete modelling of the VSI-fed drives, when energized by nonsinusoidal supply voltages, based on the analytical form of the current harmonics injected in the supply system; the equations of the current harmonics are obtained for both the continuous and discontinuous current modes and are derived by Fourier analysis of steady-state current time evolution. The high accuracy of the proposed models is demonstrated by comparison with the results of time-domain simulation. The modelling is useful to study the effects of supply voltage distortions on current harmonics injected in the supply system, both in continuous and discontinuous mode, with a very short computing time. Index Terms--Harmonic modelling, voltage source inverter-fed drive.
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- 2004
8. Statistical Characterization of Supraharmonics in Low-Voltage Distribution Networks.
- Author
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De Falco, Pasquale, Varilone, Pietro, and Davari, Pooya
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DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory) ,GOODNESS-of-fit tests ,SYSTEM analysis ,STANDARDIZATION - Abstract
Modern power systems are subject to waveform distortions that include spectral components (supraharmonics) in the range of 2–150 kHz. Due to the lack of regulation in this range and since supraharmonics may follow time-varying patterns, the operators can take advantage of the statistical characterization of supraharmonics, e.g., for determining convenient power quality limits or to analyze the residual capacity of networks toward further installations of power electronic converters. This paper studies the statistical characterization of supraharmonics in low-voltage distribution networks, considering both the overall supraharmonic distortion (through the characterization of the total supraharmonic distortion index) and individual supraharmonic components. Several probability distributions are proposed and compared, also considering multimodal distributions that can fit more general scenarios in which the supraharmonic emissions follow regime patterns. The outcome of numerical experiments based on publicly available data collected at actual low-voltage distribution networks suggests that multimodal distributions are useful in characterizing supraharmonics in most cases, with acceptable goodness of fitting even in the presence of stair-shaped empirical distributions. This paper can serve as a starting point for the development of probabilistic power system analysis tools accounting for supraharmonic emissions and for the convergence toward standardization in the 2–150 kHz range. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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9. A Hybrid Method for Optimal Siting and Sizing of Battery Energy Storage Systems in Unbalanced Low Voltage Microgrids.
- Author
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Carpinelli, Guido, Mottola, Fabio, Proto, Daniela, Russo, Angela, and Varilone, Pietro
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BATTERY storage plants ,MICROGRIDS ,GENETIC algorithms - Abstract
This paper deals with the problem of optimal allocation (siting and sizing) of storage resources in unbalanced three-phase low voltage microgrids. The siting and sizing problem is formulated as a mixed, non-linear, constrained optimization problem whose objective function deals with economic issues and whose constraints involve technical limitations of both network and distributed resources. Emphasis is given to the power quality issue with particular attention to unbalance reduction and voltage profile improvement. Technological issues, such as those related to the preservation of batteries' lifetime, were also taken into account. The planning problem is solved by means of a genetic algorithm which includes an inner algorithm based on sequential quadratic programming. In order to limit the processing time while maintaining reasonable accuracy, the genetic algorithm search space is significantly reduced identifying a subset of candidate buses for the siting of the storage resources. The Inherent Structure Theory of Networks and the Loading Constraints Criterion were used to identify the candidate buses. The proposed method has been applied to a low voltage test network demonstrating the effectiveness of the procedure in terms of computational burden while also preserving the accuracy of the solution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
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10. Impact of Distributed Generation on the Voltage Sag Performance of Transmission Systems.
- Author
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Caramia, Pierluigi, Di Mambro, Enrica, Varilone, Pietro, and Verde, Paola
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DISTRIBUTED power generation ,ELECTRIC potential ,ELECTRIC lines ,POWER transmission ,POWER (Mechanics) - Abstract
In this paper, we analysed the growing penetration of generating units from renewable energy sources in transmission power systems. Among the possible effects of the interaction of distributed generation (DG) with transmission systems, we considered the abnormal operating conditions caused by short circuits in the transmission systems and the resulting voltage sags that occur in the network. A systematic method is presented for analysing the voltage sag behaviour of any transmission system in which large DG units are connected to the transmission system by means of High Voltage/Medium Voltage (HV/MV) stations. The method proposed for obtaining the voltage sags is the fault position method (FPM), from which we derived a graphical visualization of the during-fault voltage (DFV) matrix as a valuable tool to obtain an immediate measure of the propagation of voltage sags in the network. The results obtained were based on a portion of a real transmission system. The system that we considered is an actual portion of the Italian transmission system, and all of the quantities we used were obtained from the data of the Transmission system operator (TSO). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
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11. Voltage stability in unbalanced power systems: a new complementarity constraints-based approach.
- Author
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Carpinelli, Guido, Caramia, Pierluigi, Russo, Angela, and Varilone, Pietro
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VOLTAGE regulators ,ELECTRIC power systems research ,COMPLEMENTARITY constraints (Mathematics) ,ELECTRIC controllers ,VOLTAGE control - Abstract
Voltage stability (VS) has become a fundamental issue in the new, liberalised markets due to the fact that the new power systems are approaching more and more the stability limits. Then, several approaches were proposed in the relevant literature to find the critical conditions and recently the problem was faced also with reference to unbalanced three-phase power systems. The unbalances, in fact, can be responsible of more critical stability conditions than in balanced power systems. Continuation power flow and optimal power flows were applied to analyse such conditions. This study deals with VS analysis in unbalanced power systems and proposes a new optimisation model to determine the critical point based on the use of complementarity constraints. In particular, the maximum stability margin is calculated by a single-stage or a multistage procedure that accounts for the relationship between the actual operating point and the maximum loading point. In addition, the multistage maximum stability margin problem is formulated also in a probabilistic framework to account for the uncertainties affecting the input data (e.g. load powers). An application is presented on a test system highlighting the feasibility and the goodness of the proposed technique. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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12. Allocation of Capacitors and Voltage Regulators in Unbalanced Distribution Systems: A Multi-objective Problem in Probabilistic Frameworks.
- Author
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Carpinelli, Guido, Noce, Christian, Russo, Angela, and Varilone, Pietro
- Subjects
CAPACITORS ,ELECTRIC potential ,VOLTAGE regulators ,DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory) ,POWER system simulation ,MATHEMATICAL optimization ,ALGORITHMS - Abstract
Capacitors and series voltage regulators are used extensively in distribution systems to reduce power losses and improve the voltage profile along the feeders. This paper deals with the problem of contemporaneously choosing optimal locations and sizes for both capacitors and series voltage regulators in three-phase, unbalanced distribution systems. This is a mixed, non-linear, constrained, multi-objective optimization problem that usually is solved in deterministic scenarios. However, distribution systems are stochastic in nature, which can lead to inaccurate deterministic solutions. To take into account the unavoidable uncertainties that affect the input data related to the problem, in this paper, we have formulated and solved the multi-objective optimization problem in probabilistic scenarios. To address the multi-objective optimization problem, algorithms were used in which all the objective functions were combined to form a single function. These algorithms allow us to transform the original multi-objective optimization problem into an equivalent, single-objective, optimization problem, an approach that appeared to be particularly suitable since computational time was an important issue. To further reduce the computational efforts, a linearized form of the equality constraints of the optimization model was used, and a micro-genetic algorithm-based procedure was applied in the solution method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
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13. A Bayesian-Based Approach for a Short-Term Steady-State Forecast of a Smart Grid.
- Author
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Bracale, Antonio, Caramia, Pierluigi, Carpinelli, Guido, Di Fazio, Anna Rita, and Varilone, Pietro
- Abstract
Future distribution networks are undergoing radical changes, due to the high level of penetration of dispersed generation and information/communication technologies, evolving into the new concept of the Smart Grid. Dispersed generation systems, such as wind farms and photovoltaic power plants, require particular attention due to their incorporation of uncertain energy sources. Further and significant well-known uncertainties are introduced by the load demands. In this case, many new technical considerations must be addressed to take into account the impacts of these uncertainties on the planning and operation of distribution networks. This paper proposes novel Bayesian-based approaches to forecast the power production of wind and photovoltaic generators and phase load demands. These approaches are used in a probabilistic short-term steady-state analysis of a Smart Grid obtained by means of a probabilistic load flow performed using the Point Estimate Method. Numerical applications on a 30-busbar, low-voltage distribution test system with wind farms and photovoltaic power plants connected at different busbars are presented and discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
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14. New Approaches for Very Short-term Steady-State Analysis of An Electrical Distribution System with Wind Farms.
- Author
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Bracale, Antonio, Carpinelli, Guido, Proto, Daniela, Russo, Angela, and Varilone, Pietro
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WIND power plants ,ELECTRIC power distribution ,TURBINE generators ,RENEWABLE energy sources ,ELECTRIC power systems ,ELECTRIC power production ,NUMERICAL calculations ,STATISTICS ,WIND turbines - Abstract
Distribution networks are undergoing radical changes due to the high level of penetration of dispersed generation. Dispersed generation systems require particular attention due to their incorporation of uncertain energy sources, such as wind farms, and due to the impacts that such sources have on the planning and operation of distribution networks. In particular, the foreseeable, extensive use of wind turbine generator units in the future requires that distribution system engineers properly account for their impacts on the system. Many new technical considerations must be addressed, including protection coordination, steady-state analysis, and power quality issues. This paper deals with the very short-term, steady-state analysis of a distribution system with wind farms, for which the time horizon of interest ranges from one hour to a few hours ahead. Several wind-forecasting methods are presented in order to obtain reliable input data for the steady-state analysis. Both deterministic and probabilistic methods were considered and used in performing deterministic and probabilistic load-flow analyses. Numerical applications on a 17-bus, medium-voltage, electrical distribution system with various wind farms connected at different busbars are presented and discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
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15. A Probability Method for Very Short-Term Steady State Analysis of a Distribution System with Wind Farms.
- Author
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Bracale, Antonio, Carpinelli, Guido, Caramia, Pierluigi, and Varilone, Pietro
- Subjects
WIND power ,WIND power plants ,MONTE Carlo method ,SIMULATION methods & models ,ELECTRIC utilities - Abstract
In this paper, a probabilistic method is proposed to analyze the very short-term steady-state performance of an unbalanced distribution electrical system characterized by the presence of wind farms. This method, which can take into account the uncertainties of loads and wind productions, is based on a Monte Carlo simulation procedure applied to the non-linear three-phase load flow equations, including wind farm models. Bayesian time series models are used to predict the next hour's wind speed probability density functions, making possible a predictive evaluation of the very short-term system steady-state behavior. Numerical applications are presented and discussed with reference to the three-phase unbalanced IEEE 34-bus test distribution system in the presence of wind farms connected at different busbars. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
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16. Voltage Regulators and Capacitor Placement in Three-phase Distribution Systems with Non-linear and Unbalanced Loads.
- Author
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Carpinelli, Guido, Noce, Christian, Proto, Daniela, and Varilone, Pietro
- Subjects
ELECTRIC power ,ELECTRIC controllers ,ELECTRIC equipment ,ALGORITHMS ,ENERGY storage - Abstract
This paper investigates the problem of contemporaneously choosing optimal locations and sizes for both shunt capacitors and series voltage regulators in three-phase unbalanced distribution systems. The sizing and placement procedure not only minimizes the power losses along distribution feeders but also makes sure that both capacitors and series regulators will have the minimum possible impact on the harmonic distortion of bus voltages in the system. The fact that distribution systems can operate under unbalanced loading conditions means that the optimization will have to account for any unbalances in the system. A genetic algorithm, which successfully solves the above-described problem, is developed and tested. This paper presents the results of simulations for a 34-bus IEEE distribution test system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
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17. Initial Results of an Extensive, Long-Term Study of the Forecasting of Voltage Sags †.
- Author
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De Santis, Michele, Di Stasio, Leonardo, Noce, Christian, Verde, Paola, Varilone, Pietro, and Matas, José
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VOLTAGE ,BIG data ,FORECASTING ,POISSON processes ,STATISTICAL sampling - Abstract
This paper presents the preliminary results of our research activity aimed at forecasting the number of voltage sags in distribution networks. The final goal of the research is to develop proper algorithms that the network operators could use to forecast how many voltage sags will occur at a given site. The availability of four years of measurements at Italian Medium Voltage (MV) networks allowed the statistical analyses of the sample voltage sags without performing model-based simulations of the electric systems in short-circuit conditions. The challenge we faced was to overcome the barrier of the extremely long measurement times that are considered mandatory to obtain a forecast with adequate confidence. The method we have presented uses the random variable time to next event to characterize the statistics of the voltage sags instead of the variable number of sags, which usually is expressed on an annual basis. The choice of this variable allows the use of a large data set, even if only a few years of measurements are available. The statistical characterization of the measured voltage sags by the variable time to next event requires preliminary data-conditioning steps, since the voltage sags that are measured can be divided in two main categories, i.e., rare voltage sags and clusters of voltage sags. Only the rare voltage sags meet the conditions of a Poisson process, and they can be used to forecast the performance that can be expected in the future. However, the clusters do not have the characteristics of memoryless events because they are sequential, time-dependent phenomena the occurrences of which are due to exogenic factors, such as rain, lightning strikes, wind, and other adverse weather conditions. In this paper, we show that filtering the clusters out from all the measured sags is crucial for making successful forecast. In addition, we show that a filter, equal for all of the nodes of the system, represents the origin of the most important critical aspects in the successive steps of the forecasting method. In the paper, we also provide a means of tracking the main problems that are encountered. The initial results encouraged the future development of new efficient techniques of filtering on a site-by-site basis to eliminate the clusters. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
18. Planning of Distributed Energy Storage Systems in μGrids Accounting for Voltage Dips.
- Author
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Mottola, Fabio, Proto, Daniela, Varilone, Pietro, and Verde, Paola
- Subjects
ENERGY storage ,LIFE cycle costing ,ELECTRICAL energy ,ELECTRIC potential ,GRIDS (Cartography) - Abstract
This paper deals with the optimal planning of the electrical energy storage systems in the microgrids aimed at cost minimization. The optimization accounts for the compensation of the voltage dips performed by the energy storage systems. A multi-step procedure, at the first step, identifies a set of candidate buses where the installation of a storage device produces the maximum benefit in terms of dip compensation; then, the life cycle costs in correspondence of different alternatives in terms of size and location of the storage systems are evaluated by considering an optimized use of the energy storage systems. The simulations on a medium voltage microgrid allowed validating the effectiveness of the proposed procedure. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. Effects of Voltage Dips on Robotic Grasping.
- Author
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Carbone, Giuseppe, Ceccarelli, Marco, Fabrizi, Christopher, Varilone, Pietro, and Verde, Paola
- Subjects
ROBOT hands ,ELECTRIC potential ,ELECTRIC power ,ROBOTICS - Abstract
This paper addresses the effects of electric power quality on robotic operations. A general overview is reported to highlight the main characteristics of electric power quality and it's effects on a powered system by considering an end-user's viewpoint. Then, the authors outline the influence of voltage dip effects by focusing on robotic grasping applications. A specific case study is reported, namely that of LARM Hand IV, a three-fingered robotic hand which has been designed and built at LARM in Cassino, Italy. A dedicated test rig has been developed and set up to generate predefined voltage dips. Experimental tests are carried out to evaluate the effects of different types of voltage dip on the grasping of objects. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
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20. Probabilistic Estimation of the Energy Consumption and Performance of the Lighting Systems of Road Tunnels for Investment Decision Making.
- Author
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Bracale, Antonio, Caramia, Pierluigi, Varilone, Pietro, and Verde, Paola
- Subjects
ENERGY consumption ,LIGHTING ,TUNNELS ,INVESTMENTS ,BUSINESS planning - Abstract
This paper presents a probabilistic model for supporting the process of decision making about the value of new lighting systems in existing road tunnels when some data and parameters are affected by uncertainty. The proposed model, which we have called Probabilistic Energy Screening of Tunnel (PrEST), accounts for both the technical performance and the economic objectives of the new lighting systems. The technical performance is described on an adequate (x, y) plane that was defined by two indices. The first index measured the consumption of electricity per kilometre of tunnel lengths; the second index measured the performance of the lighting systems per unit of illuminated area. The economic results were measured by the net present value of the savings and by the payback period. Both the terms account for initial capital investments, energy and maintenance costs. PrEST was applied to two real road tunnels in service in Italy showing that the statistics of the results can support a final decision in function of the business strategy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. Hardware-in-the-Loop Validation of Energy Management Systems for Microgrids: A Short Overview and a Case Study.
- Author
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Casolino, Giovanni Mercurio, Russo, Mario, Varilone, Pietro, and Pescosolido, Daniele
- Subjects
ENERGY management ,MICROGRIDS ,TELECOMMUNICATION systems - Abstract
The energy management system (EMS) of a microgrid often presents a complex structure and a large number of control functions, which must be validated to ensure a reliable and optimal operation of the microgrid. Control system validation is typically performed by using hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) architectures in which the microgrid is simulated in real time and interfaced with the actual system under test. The simulation must ensure both an accurate representation of the microgrid and a reliable replica of the field communication of the EMS with all the control devices. In this paper, an overview of the various HIL architectures proposed in the literature is firstly outlined. Then, an HIL validation facility is presented and used to validate the EMS of an industrial microgrid. Finally, some results of the validation tests are reported to give evidence of the effectiveness of the proposed facility. In the proposed architecture, the soft real-time digital simulator of the microgrid is interfaced with the actual EMS using the same communication system and protocol as on the field. The main advantages of the proposed testing facility are: (i) the use of commercial PCs and the absence of dedicated interface modules, resulting in inexpensive hardware components; (ii) the capability to validate both control and communication functions of the EMS; (iii) the applicability to microgrids of different types (industrial, commercial, residential), as well as of various dimensions, including large microgrids; (iv) the easiness in changing the microgrid and the EMS under validation by only software modifications of the simulator tasks and of the exchange interface. As drawbacks, the proposed testing facility presents the need to adapt the software interface between EMS and the field to the EMS under test and the possibility of testing only the EMS functions and not fast-acting local controllers of the microgrid such as the protection systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
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22. Discussion of 'Time-Varying Harmonics: Part II—Harmonic Summation and Propagation'.
- Author
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Russo, Angela and Varilone, Pietro
- Subjects
- *
ELECTRICAL harmonics , *HARMONIC analysis (Mathematics) - Abstract
Comments on a study that provided a comprehensive and useful review of modeling for harmonic summation and propagation. Current harmonics of nonlinear loads; Probabilistic methods for harmonic analysis of a multiconvertor power systems.
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. Point estimate schemes for probabilistic three-phase load flow
- Author
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Caramia, Pierluigi, Carpinelli, Guido, and Varilone, Pietro
- Subjects
- *
ELECTRIC power systems , *MONTE Carlo method , *FIX-point estimation , *RANDOM variables , *PROBABILITY theory , *DENSITY functionals , *STATISTICAL correlation - Abstract
Abstract: This paper applies the point estimate method to account for the uncertainties that affect the evaluation of the steady state operating condition of an unbalanced three-phase power system. Moreover, since the point estimate method requires that the input random variables are uncorrelated, a suitable adjustment to take into account the correlation is applied. Different point estimate schemes (2m, 2m +1 and 4m +1 schemes) are presented and tested. The accuracy of the proposed techniques is tested on a three-phase unbalanced IEEE 34-bus test system; the results obtained applying the Monte Carlo simulation are assumed as reference . Both correlated and uncorrelated input random variables are considered, and multimodal probability density functions are tested. The conclusion is that the 2m +1 scheme gives the best solution in terms of accuracy and computational efforts; in the case of correlated input random variables, an adequate procedure to take into account the correlation must be applied. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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