1. Predicting the age of weathered hydrocarbon mixtures
- Author
-
Zorzetti, Brianne
- Subjects
- PLS-DA, GC×GC, LWR, Integration Template, Gasoline, Weathering, Flow modulation
- Abstract
Abstract: Predicting the time for which a petroleum mixture has been exposed to weathering effects could have many applications. Historically, research on the evaporation rates of hydrocarbon mixtures has focused on forensic oil spill identification. Relatively little attention has focused on estimating the exposure time for a weathered petroleum sample based on the observed composition at a given time, and assuming a prior composition. A hierarchical application of multivariate techniques was used to estimate the time for which a hydrocarbon mixture was exposed to evaporative weathering. Partial least squares discriminant analysis (PLS‐DA) could predict whether a sample was relatively fresh (< 12 hours exposure time) or highly weathered (> 20 hours exposure time). Subsequent regression models for these classes were evaluated for accuracy using the root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP). One nonlinear regression model in particular was found to satisfactorily estimate the age of weathered petroleum samples.
- Published
- 2011