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In the context of increasing demands for long-term multi-energy load forecasting in real-world applications, this paper introduces Patchformer, a novel model that integrates patch embedding with encoder-decoder Transformer-based architectures. To address the limitation in existing Transformer-based models, which struggle with intricate temporal patterns in long-term forecasting, Patchformer employs patch embedding, which predicts multivariate time-series data by separating it into multiple univariate data and segmenting each of them into multiple patches. This method effectively enhances the model's ability to capture local and global semantic dependencies. The numerical analysis shows that the Patchformer obtains overall better prediction accuracy in both multivariate and univariate long-term forecasting on the novel Multi-Energy dataset and other benchmark datasets. In addition, the positive effect of the interdependence among energy-related products on the performance of long-term time-series forecasting across Patchformer and other compared models is discovered, and the superiority of the Patchformer against other models is also demonstrated, which presents a significant advancement in handling the interdependence and complexities of long-term multi-energy forecasting. Lastly, Patchformer is illustrated as the only model that follows the positive correlation between model performance and the length of the past sequence, which states its ability to capture long-range past local semantic information.

In recent years, low-carbon transportation has become an indispensable part as sustainable development strategies of various countries, and plays a very important responsibility in promoting low-carbon cities. However, the security of low-carbon transportation has been threatened from various ways. For example, denial of service attacks pose a great threat to the electric vehicles and vehicle-to-grid networks. To minimize these threats, several methods have been proposed to defense against them. Yet, these methods are only for certain types of scenarios or attacks. Therefore, this review addresses security aspect from holistic view, provides the overview, challenges and future directions of cyber security technologies in low-carbon transportation. Firstly, based on the concept and importance of low-carbon transportation, this review positions the low-carbon transportation services. Then, with the perspective of network architecture and communication mode, this review classifies its typical attack risks. The corresponding defense technologies and relevant security suggestions are further reviewed from perspective of data security, network management security and network application security. Finally, in view of the long term development of low-carbon transportation, future research directions have been concerned., Comment: 34 pages, 6 figures, accepted by journal Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews

Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM), which usually utilizes machine learning methods and is effective in disaggregating smart meter readings from the household-level into appliance-level consumption, can help analyze electricity consumption behaviours of users and enable practical smart energy and smart grid applications. Recent studies have proposed many novel NILM frameworks based on federated deep learning (FL). However, there lacks comprehensive research exploring the utility optimization schemes and the privacy-preserving schemes in different FL-based NILM application scenarios. In this paper, we make the first attempt to conduct FL-based NILM focusing on both the utility optimization and the privacy-preserving by developing a distributed and privacy-preserving NILM (DP2-NILM) framework and carrying out comparative experiments on practical NILM scenarios based on real-world smart meter datasets. Specifically, two alternative federated learning strategies are examined in the utility optimization schemes, i.e., the FedAvg and the FedProx. Moreover, different levels of privacy guarantees, i.e., the local differential privacy federated learning and the global differential privacy federated learning are provided in the DP2-NILM. Extensive comparison experiments are conducted on three real-world datasets to evaluate the proposed framework.

Online federated learning (OFL) and online transfer learning (OTL) are two collaborative paradigms for overcoming modern machine learning challenges such as data silos, streaming data, and data security. This survey explored OFL and OTL throughout their major evolutionary routes to enhance understanding of online federated and transfer learning. Besides, practical aspects of popular datasets and cutting-edge applications for online federated and transfer learning are highlighted in this work. Furthermore, this survey provides insight into potential future research areas and aims to serve as a resource for professionals developing online federated and transfer learning frameworks.

Domain adaptation solves image classification problems in the target domain by taking advantage of the labelled source data and unlabelled target data. Usually, the source and target domains share the same set of classes. As a special case, Open-Set Domain Adaptation (OSDA) assumes there exist additional classes in the target domain but not present in the source domain. To solve such a domain adaptation problem, our proposed method learns discriminative common subspaces for the source and target domains using a novel Open-Set Locality Preserving Projection (OSLPP) algorithm. The source and target domain data are aligned in the learned common spaces class-wisely. To handle the open-set classification problem, our method progressively selects target samples to be pseudo-labelled as known classes and rejects the outliers if they are detected as from unknown classes. The common subspace learning algorithm OSLPP simultaneously aligns the labelled source data and pseudo-labelled target data from known classes and pushes the rejected target data away from the known classes. The common subspace learning and the pseudo-labelled sample selection/rejection facilitate each other in an iterative learning framework and achieves state-of-the-art performance on benchmark datasets Office-31 and Office-Home with the average HOS of 87.4% and 67.0% respectively., Comment: 8 pages

Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM), which usually utilizes machine learning methods and is effective in disaggregating smart meter readings from the household-level into appliance-level consumptions, can help to analyze electricity consumption behaviours of users and enable practical smart energy and smart grid applications. However, smart meters are privately owned and distributed, which make real-world applications of NILM challenging. To this end, this paper develops a distributed and privacy-preserving federated deep learning framework for NILM (FederatedNILM), which combines federated learning with a state-of-the-art deep learning architecture to conduct NILM for the classification of typical states of household appliances. Through extensive comparative experiments, the effectiveness of the proposed FederatedNILM framework is demonstrated.

The power system is undergoing rapid evolution with the roll-out of advanced metering infrastructure and local energy applications (e.g. electric vehicles) as well as the increasing penetration of intermittent renewable energy at both transmission and distribution level, which characterizes the peak load demand with stronger randomness and less predictability and therefore poses a threat to the power grid security. Since storing large quantities of electricity to satisfy load demand is neither economically nor environmentally friendly, effective peak demand management strategies and reliable peak load forecast methods become essential for optimizing the power system operations. To this end, this paper provides a timely and comprehensive overview of peak load demand forecast methods in the literature. To our best knowledge, this is the first comprehensive review on such topic. In this paper we first give a precise and unified problem definition of peak load demand forecast. Second, 139 papers on peak load forecast methods were systematically reviewed where methods were classified into different stages based on the timeline. Thirdly, a comparative analysis of peak load forecast methods are summarized and different optimizing methods to improve the forecast performance are discussed. The paper ends with a comprehensive summary of the reviewed papers and a discussion of potential future research directions.

In this paper, we propose a realistic multiple dynamic pricing approach to demand response in the retail market. First, an adaptive clustering-based customer segmentation framework is proposed to categorize customers into different groups to enable the effective identification of usage patterns. Second, customized demand models with important market constraints which capture the price-demand relationship explicitly, are developed for each group of customers to improve the model accuracy and enable meaningful pricing. Third, the multiple pricing based demand response is formulated as a profit maximization problem subject to realistic market constraints. The overall aim of the proposed scalable and practical method aims to achieve 'right' prices for 'right' customers so as to benefit various stakeholders in the system such as grid operators, customers and retailers. The proposed multiple pricing framework is evaluated via simulations based on real-world datasets.

[EN] The paper presents the results of the Battle of Postdisaster Response and Restoration (BPDRR) presented in a special session at the first International water distribution systems analysis & computing and control in the water industry (WDSA/CCWI) Joint Conference, held in Kingston, Ontario, Canada, in July 2018. The BPDRR problem focused on how to respond and restore water service after the occurrence of five earthquake scenarios that cause structural damage in a water distribution system. Participants were required to propose a prioritization schedule to fix the damages of each scenario while following restrictions on visibility/nonvisibility of damages. Each team/approach was evaluated against six performance criteria: (1) time without supply for hospital/firefighting, (2) rapidity of recovery, (3) resilience loss, (4) average time of no user service, (5) number of users without service for eight consecutive hours, and (6) water loss. Three main types of approaches were identified from the submissions: (1) general-purpose metaheuristic algorithms, (2) greedy algorithms, and (3) ranking-based prioritizations. All three approaches showed potential to solve the challenge efficiently. The results of the participants showed that for this network, the impact of a large-diameter pipe failure on the network is more significant than several smaller pipes failures. The location of isolation valves and the size of hydraulic segments influenced the resilience of the system during emergencies. On average, the interruptions to water supply (hospitals and firefighting) varied considerably among solutions and emergency scenarios, highlighting the importance of private water storage for emergencies. The effects of damages and repair work were more noticeable during the peak demand periods (morning and noontime) than during the low-flow periods; and tank storage helped to preserve functionality of the network in the first few hours after a simulated event. (C) 2020 American Soc

The paper presents the results of the Battle of Postdisaster Response and Restoration (BPDRR) presented in a special session at the first International water distribution systems analysis & computing and control in the water industry (WDSA/CCWI) Joint Conference, held in Kingston, Ontario, Canada, in July 2018. The BPDRR problem focused on how to respond and restore water service after the occurrence of five earthquake scenarios that cause structural damage in a water distribution system. Participants were required to propose a prioritization schedule to fix the damages of each scenario while following restrictions on visibility/nonvisibility of damages. Each team/approach was evaluated against six performance criteria: (1) time without supply for hospital/firefighting, (2) rapidity of recovery, (3) resilience loss, (4) average time of no user service, (5) number of users without service for eight consecutive hours, and (6) water loss. Three main types of approaches were identified from the submissions: (1) general-purpose metaheuristic algorithms, (2) greedy algorithms, and (3) ranking-based prioritizations. All three approaches showed potential to solve the challenge efficiently. The results of the participants showed that for this network, the impact of a large-diameter pipe failure on the network is more significant than several smaller pipes failures. The location of isolation valves and the size of hydraulic segments influenced the resilience of the system during emergencies. On average, the interruptions to water supply (hospitals and firefighting) varied considerably among solutions and emergency scenarios, highlighting the importance of private water storage for emergencies. The effects of damages and repair work were more noticeable during the peak demand periods (morning and noontime) than during the low-flow periods; and tank storage helped to preserve functionality of the network in the first few hours after a simulated event., Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public., Water Resources, Sanitary Engineering

We address the Unsupervised Domain Adaptation (UDA) problem in image classification from a new perspective. In contrast to most existing works which either align the data distributions or learn domain-invariant features, we directly learn a unified classifier for both domains within a high-dimensional homogeneous feature space without explicit domain adaptation. To this end, we employ the effective Selective Pseudo-Labelling (SPL) techniques to take advantage of the unlabelled samples in the target domain. Surprisingly, data distribution discrepancy across the source and target domains can be well handled by a computationally simple classifier (e.g., a shallow Multi-Layer Perceptron) trained in the original feature space. Besides, we propose a novel generative model norm-VAE to generate synthetic features for the target domain as a data augmentation strategy to enhance classifier training. Experimental results on several benchmark datasets demonstrate the pseudo-labelling strategy itself can lead to comparable performance to many state-of-the-art methods whilst the use of norm-VAE for feature augmentation can further improve the performance in most cases. As a result, our proposed methods (i.e. naive-SPL and norm-VAE-SPL) can achieve new state-of-the-art performance with the average accuracy of 93.4% and 90.4% on Office-Caltech and ImageCLEF-DA datasets, and comparable performance on Digits, Office31 and Office-Home datasets with the average accuracy of 97.2%, 87.6% and 67.9% respectively., Comment: 12 pages

In this paper, we consider a realistic and meaningful scenario in the context of smart grids where an electricity retailer serves three different types of customers, i.e., customers with an optimal home energy management system embedded in their smart meters (C-HEMS), customers with only smart meters (C-SM), and customers without smart meters (C-NONE). The main objective of this paper is to support the retailer to make optimal day-ahead dynamic pricing decisions in such a mixed customer pool. To this end, we propose a two-level decision-making framework where the retailer acting as upper-level agent firstly announces its electricity prices of next 24 hours and customers acting as lower-level agents subsequently schedule their energy usages accordingly. For the lower level problem, we model the price responsiveness of different customers according to their unique characteristics. For the upper level problem, we optimize the dynamic prices for the retailer to maximize its profit subject to realistic market constraints. The above two-level model is tackled by genetic algorithms (GA) based distributed optimization methods while its feasibility and effectiveness are confirmed via simulation results., Comment: 38 pages, 6 figures

In this paper, we propose a distributed optimization algorithm for the demand response management with a comprehensive customer demand modeling framework in the smart grid. Different from the existing literature, the considered demand modeling framework considers not only the energy management modeling but also the appliance-level usage pattern learning models, both for time-shiftable loads. More specific, a bill minimization based demand optimization model is firstly proposed for the customers choosing to use a home energy management software. Secondly, an appliance level probability behaviour model via calculating the probability distribution of different electricity consumption patterns in response to the dynamic prices is proposed for the customers choosing to manage their energy usages by themselves. Based on the optimization and learning results, we further propose a multi-population genetic algorithm based pricing optimization model for demand response management with the aim to maximize the retailer's profit and maximize customers' benefits. Numerical results indicate the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed models and its benefits.

Decision making for lane change manoeuvre is of practical importance to guarantee a smooth, efficient and safe operation for autonomous driving. It is, however, challenging. On one hand, the behaviours of ego vehicle and adjacent vehicles are dependent and interactive. On the other hand, the decision should strictly guarantee safety during the whole process of lane change with uncertain and incomplete information in a dynamic and cluttered environment. To this end, the concept of Receding Horizon Control (RHC) is integrated into game theory in conjunction with reachability analysis tool, resulting in RHC based game theory. Specifically, the decision of each game relies on not only uncertain information at current step but also the future information calculated by reachability analysis. The decision is repeatedly made with the advent of new information using the concept of RHC. As a result, safety can be guaranteed during the whole process of lane change in a dynamic environment. Case study is conducted to demonstrate the advantages of the proposed approach. It is shown that the proposed RHC based game theory approach incorporating uncertain information can provide a safer and real-time decision

In smart grids, dynamic pricing (e.g., time-of-use pricing (ToU), real-time pricing (RTP)) has recently attracted enormous interests from both academia and industry. Although differential pricing has been widely used in retail sectors such as broadband and mobile phone services to offer `right prices' to `right' customers, existing research in smart grid retail pricing mainly focus on an uniform dynamic pricing (i.e. all customers are offered at the same prices). In this paper, we take the first step towards an optimal differential pricing for smart grid retail pricing based on customer segmentation. A differential pricing framework is firstly presented which consists of customer segmentation analysis, and a two-level optimal differential pricing problem between the retailer and each customer group. At the upper level, a pricing optimization problem is formulated for the retailer while at the lower-level, an optimal tariff selection problem is formulated for each customer group (e.g., price sensitive, price insensitive) to minimize their bills. By comparing with a benchmarked uniform ToU, simulation results confirmed the feasibility and effectiveness of our proposed optimal differential pricing strategy.

This paper proposes a hybrid approach to optimal day-ahead pricing for demand response management. At the customer-side, a comprehensive energy management system, which includes most commonly used appliances and an effective waiting time cost model is proposed to manage the energy usages in households (lower level problem). At the retailer-side, the best retail prices are determined to maximize the retailer's profit (upper level problem). The interactions between the electricity retailer and its customers can be cast as a bilevel optimization problem. To overcome the infeasibility of conventional Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) approach for this particular type of bilevel problem, a hybrid pricing optimization approach, which adopts the multi-population genetic algorithms for the upper level problem and distributed individual optimization algorithms for the lower level problem, is proposed. Numerical results show the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed approach and its benefit to the retailer and its customers by improving the retailer's profit and reducing the customers' bills.

Passive cooling via natural ventilation through window openings is a low-carbon strategy to minimize cooling demand and to adapt to the rising ambient temperatures due to climate change. However, relying on the manual control of windows by occupants is not always optimal for maintaining indoor thermal comfort. In this study, a model-based approach using dynamic thermal simulation program EnergyPlus is used for the optimal control of window openings to maintain indoor thermal comfort. Based on the day-ahead weather forecast, the window opening schedule for the next 24 h is optimized through iteration. Results indicate that the proposed optimal control method significantly improves indoor thermal comfort than using some most commonly used manual control and automated control based on hourly set-point and outdoor temperatures.

Isolated regions and remote islands are facing problems such as imported fossil-fuel dependency, increasing electricity prices, and low electricity quality. Isolated microgrids technologies which integrate large scale of renewable energy resources, energy storages, flexible loads, traditional fossil-fuel generators and advanced electric electrical devices have been seen as the answer the above problems. In addition, a closed-loop based energy management operation framework is needed to accommodate the fluctuated renewable energy generation with a comprehensive energy management optimization strategy considering integer variables/discrete constraints and complex operation constraints in generators and energy storage models. To this end, this paper proposed a model predictive control (MPC) based energy management and operation framework for isolated microgrids where the optimal energy management for the microgrid is formulated as a mixed integer quadratic programming problem (MIQP). Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.

In this paper, we propose a distributed optimization algorithm for the demand response management with a comprehensive customer demand modeling framework in the smart grid. Different from the existing literature, the considered demand modeling framework considers not only the energy management modeling but also the appliance-level usage pattern learning models, both for time-shiftable loads. More specific, a bill minimization based demand optimization model is firstly proposed for the customers choosing to use a home energy management software. Secondly, an appliance level probability behaviour model via calculating the probability distribution of different electricity consumption patterns in response to the dynamic prices is proposed for the customers choosing to manage their energy usages by themselves. Based on the optimization and learning results, we further propose a multi-population genetic algorithm based pricing optimization model for demand response management with the aim to maximize the retailer's profit and maximize customers' benefits. Numerical results indicate the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed models and its benefits.