Search

We describe and model the evolution of a recent landslide, tsunami, outburst flood, and sediment plume in the southern Coast Mountains, British Columbia, Canada. On November 28, 2020, about 18 million m3of rock descended 1,000 m from a steep valley wall and traveled across the toe of a glacier before entering a 0.6 km2glacier lake and producing >100‐m high run‐up. Water overtopped the lake outlet and scoured a 10‐km long channel before depositing debris on a 2‐km2fan below the lake outlet. Floodwater, organic debris, and fine sediment entered a fjord where it produced a 60+km long sediment plume and altered turbidity, water temperature, and water chemistry for weeks. The outburst flood destroyed forest and salmon spawning habitat. Physically based models of the landslide, tsunami, and flood provide real‐time simulations of the event and can improve understanding of similar hazard cascades and the risk they pose. Glacier retreat exposes unstable slopes that can suddenly fail. We describe and model one such event with far‐reaching consequences. The landslide mass (50 million tonnes, equivalent to the combined mass of all Canadian automobiles) entered and suddenly drained a 0.6‐km2alpine lake in the southern Coast Mountains of British Columbia. Displaced water destroyed salmon‐spawning habitat over a distance of 8.5 km and created a plume of sediment and organic matter more than 60 km from the head of the fjord into which the floodwaters discharged. Physically based models are able to simulate the hazard cascade, and such models could be used to improve hazard and risk assessments of these events under future climate change. Rapid glacier retreat created conditions that allowed a geohazard cascade to occur in a steep mountain valleyWe describe and model a recent landslide, tsunami, and outburst flood that typifies a deglacial geohazard cascadeFuture work should predict new glacial lakes and use physically based models to simulate the slope, tsunami, and outburst flood hazards Rapid glacier retreat created conditions that allowed a geohazard cascade to occur in a steep mountain valley We describe and model a recent landslide, tsunami, and outburst flood that typifies a deglacial geohazard cascade Future work should predict new glacial lakes and use physically based models to simulate the slope, tsunami, and outburst flood hazards

Ice‐contact proglacial lakes are generally absent from numerical model simulations of glacier evolution, and their effects on ice dynamics and on rates of deglaciation remain poorly quantified. Using the BISICLES ice flow model, we analyzed the effects of an ice‐contact lake on the Pukaki Glacier, New Zealand, during recession from the Last Glacial Maximum. The ice‐contact lake produced a maximum effect on grounding line recession >4 times further and on ice velocities up to 8 times faster, compared to simulations of a land‐terminating glacier forced by the same climate. The lake contributed up to 82% of cumulative grounding line recession and 87% of ice velocity during the first 300 years of the simulations, but those values decreased to just 6% and 37%, respectively, after 5,000 years. Numerical models that ignore lake interactions will, therefore, misrepresent the rate of recession especially during the transition of a land‐terminating to a lake‐terminating environment. Lakes form at the margins of glaciers as meltwater accumulates against hillsides and behind ridges of glacier debris. Lakes at a glacier terminus are known to affect its behavior. However, glaciers terminating into such lakes are usually absent from computer simulations, and the effects of these lakes on the rates of deglaciation and on glacier behavior are poorly quantified. In this study, we tested the effect of a lake on glacier recession under two different scenarios; a land‐terminating versusa lake‐terminating glacier. We used an ice flow model called BISICLES and applied it to what was once the Pukaki Glacier in New Zealand during the end of the last ice age. We found that the presence of a lake caused the glacier to recede more than 4 times further and it accelerated ice flow by up to 8 times when compared to the same glacier that terminated on land under the same climate. Our simulated lake processes predominantly influenced the glacier over decades to centuries rather than over millennia. We suggest, therefore, that simulations of glacier evolution ignoring glacial lakes will likely misrepresent the timing and rate of recession, especially during the transition from a land‐terminating to a lake‐terminating environment. A reverse bedslope, combined with deep water and frontal ablation, produces a terminus geometry with a wider and steeper ice surface slopeA lake‐terminating glacier receded >4 times further and flowed up to 8 times faster than a land‐terminating glacier forced by the same climateOur simulated lake processes predominantly influenced the glacier over decades to centuries rather than over millennia