1. The Second Coming of the Nuclear Age.
- Author
-
Iklé, Fred Charles
- Subjects
- *
NUCLEAR arms control , *COLD War, 1945-1991 , *DETERRENCE (Military strategy) , *NUCLEAR energy , *INTERNATIONAL obligations - Abstract
This article looks at the role of the U.S. in the international control of nuclear weapons in 1996. In the 1950s, to provide its military forces with a more accessible nuclear capability, the U.S. developed tactical nuclear weapons and deployed thousands of them abroad. In contrast to the Armageddon scenarios in vogue during the Cold War, current speculations about nuclear use often take for granted that the calamity would remain confined to the margins of the world order. History does not offer much assurance on the workings of deterrence. Deterrence is theoretical, nonuse is concrete and unambiguous. The strategic order among the major nuclear powers is fragile precisely because it rests so heavily on beliefs and untested theories. While they have switched off wartime targeting and taken some missile forces off alert, Russian strategies continue to keep part of their forces on a hair-trigger posture to enhance deterrence against an implausible U.S. surprise attack. Russian defense officials are reluctant to endorse the cuts in their missile forces that they would have to implement upon ratification of the second Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, which Russia and the U.S. signed in 1993. Although the U.S. developed the atomic bomb for use in World War II, as soon as the war ended this historically unique weapons technology was enslaved by an equally unique context and remained active for four decades. Any serious international regulation of nuclear weapons is bound to entail troublesome incursions that would challenge the traditional prerogatives of national sovereignty.
- Published
- 1996
- Full Text
- View/download PDF