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When the COVID-19 pandemic first emerged in early 2020, healthcare and bureaucratic systems worldwide were caught off guard and largely unprepared to deal with the scale and severity of the outbreak. In Italy, this led to a severe underreporting of infections during the first wave of the spread. The lack of accurate data is critical as it hampers the retrospective assessment of nonpharmacological interventions, the comparison with the following waves, and the estimation and validation of epidemiological models. In particular, during the first wave, reported cases of new infections were strikingly low if compared with their effects in terms of deaths, hospitalizations and intensive care admissions. In this paper, we observe that the hospital admissions during the second wave were very well explained by the convolution of the reported daily infections with an exponential kernel. By formulating the estimation of the actual infections during the first wave as an inverse problem, its solution by a regularization approach is proposed and validated. In this way, it was possible to computed corrected time series of daily infections for each age class. The new estimates are consistent with the serological survey published in June 2020 by the National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) and can be used to speculate on the total number of infections occurring in Italy during 2020, which appears to be about double the number officially recorded., Comment: 19 pages, 4 main figures, 2 supplementary figures, 2 tables

Binarized Neural Networks (BNNs) are receiving increasing attention due to their lightweight architecture and ability to run on low-power devices. The state-of-the-art for training classification BNNs restricted to few-shot learning is based on a Mixed Integer Programming (MIP) approach. This paper proposes the BeMi ensemble, a structured architecture of BNNs based on training a single BNN for each possible pair of classes and applying a majority voting scheme to predict the final output. The training of a single BNN discriminating between two classes is achieved by a MIP model that optimizes a lexicographic multi-objective function according to robustness and simplicity principles. This approach results in training networks whose output is not affected by small perturbations on the input and whose number of active weights is as small as possible, while good accuracy is preserved. We computationally validate our model using the MNIST and Fashion-MNIST datasets using up to 40 training images per class. Our structured ensemble outperforms both BNNs trained by stochastic gradient descent and state-of-the-art MIP-based approaches. While the previous approaches achieve an average accuracy of 51.1% on the MNIST dataset, the BeMi ensemble achieves an average accuracy of 61.7% when trained with 10 images per class and 76.4% when trained with 40 images per class., Comment: 17 pages, 5 figure, 2 tables