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The article describes the current state, retrospective, and perspective of the development of the export potential of the agricultural sector of the Ukrainian economy. The share of agricultural exports in the structure of the total export of goods from Ukraine was analyzed. The geographical structure of the export of goods from Ukraine, in particular the agro-industrial complex, was studied. Special attention was paid to the issue of the change in the structure of the export of goods in 2022. The structure of the export of products from Ukraine, in particular agricultural products, was studied in terms of partner countries. Special attention was focused on considering changes in the structure of exports in 2022 in Ukraine. In 2022, the logistics of exporting agricultural products became significantly more complicated. Neighbouring European countries felt a significant burden during the restructuring of the logistics channels for the export of Ukrainian agricultural products before the opening of the «grain corridor». Customs crossings, railway infrastructure and the infrastructure of sea and river ports of the European Union countries were fully involved. In the article, we substantiated that in order to unblock the export of agricultural products from Ukraine through the domestic Black Sea seaports, the significant burden of building export logistics flows was taken on by European neighboring countries, which fully utilized all their logistics infrastructure. In 2022, there was a reduction in the export of agricultural products, and in 2023, its further decline is predicted. Using the example of grain crops, polynomial approximation was used to forecast their gross harvest, as well as calculate domestic consumption and export potential in 2023. The study indicates that in 2023, export revenue from the sale of grain crops should be expected to be more than twice as much as in 2021. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper examines the effectiveness of grouping agricultural enterprises according to the wheat harvested area and assesses their profitability. We have developed linear and non-linear regression equations to predict the income for said groups of enterprises. The methodology is designed for cases when future market prices are probabilistic in nature. With the help of the developed methodology, it is possible to calculate the necessary production volumes in the conditions of price fluctuations. We have used the Goldfeld–Quandt parametric test to test the model for heteroscedasticity. Calculations show that agricultural holdings are indeed inefficient, and preference should be given to enterprises with medium crop areas. Application of the Lagrange multipliers method when solving the problem of agricultural enterprise optimization makes it possible to increase profitability. The case of price risk, when future market prices are not deterministic, is considered. Therefore, it is necessary to be guided by two criteria when making managerial decisions: to maximize the expected total net income and to minimize the variance of the total net income. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

During the research, it has been highlighted that there are no two countries in the world where the legal regulation of land relations would be identical, and the following four typical models of platform interactions have been established: closed market model, open market model, with some minor restrictions for agricultural and natural real estate (lands); closed for foreigners; open with restrictions. It has been substantiated that there is a stereotype in Ukraine as regards the efficiency of large-scale agriculture, and has been highlighted that most European countries prefer family farms, by ownership, and try to maintain small/medium-sized farm size, rather than increase the influence of monopolistic companies with large-size land use. Also, the paper highlights the factor of land consumption, in the process of which it has been found that in European countries this indicator is much better as compared to that in Ukraine. The authors’ correlation analysis revealed a close relationship between these factors and the average value of agricultural lands. SWOT analysis tools have been applied to study the institutionalization of the land market. In addition, the authors have analyzed the average value of land plots of the owners of land shares(units) after the lifting of the moratorium on the turnover of agricultural lands, which allowed to state a significant regional difference in the value of these lands. Where twelve regions of Ukraine have a lower market value of land plots compared to the lowest limit of normative monetary valuation of arable lands. Using the diagram, the authors have shown the lack of mutual coordination between the indicators of the normative monetary valuation of arable lands and the average value of sold land plots of the owners of land shares (units). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The purpose of this article is to analyze the commercialization of the results of scientific work of agricultural universities of Ukraine and the formation of their ratings according to these indicators. Data from the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine for the years 2018-2020 were used to achieve the goal. The research was carried out in three stages: analysis of absolute indicators of commercialization (amounts of earned funds based on the results of scientific work) using the ABC method; analysis of relative indicators of commercialization (amount of earned funds based on the results of scientific work per one scientific-pedagogical worker); formation of ratings of agricultural higher education institutions of Ukraine according to absolute and relative indicators of commercialization of scientific work. The following results were obtained: during the analyzed period, agricultural higher education institutions of Ukraine improved the overall effectiveness of scientific activity. In 2019, 7 higher education institutions, and in 2020, 11 higher education institutions increased the absolute financial indicators of their scientific work, compared to the previous year. In 2019, 8 higher educational institutions, and in 2020, 11 higher educational institutions increased the relative financial indicators of their scientific work, compared to the previous year. According to the rating of agricultural higher education institutions of Ukraine, four leaders were identified according to these indicators. It is expedient to study and implement their experience in attracting funds for financing scientific work in other 12 agricultural higher education institutions of Ukraine. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The current situation of the Ukrainian economy's agricultural sector and investment processes associated to its development, as well as the essential organizational measures aimed at assuring the long-term economic impact of the state economy's agrarian sector development, have been studied. The study is divided into three sections that provide the theoretical foundation of the concept of "investment"; analysis of the development of the agrarian sector of Ukraine, its role in the national economy with the determination of trends in the export potential of agricultural production; analysis of the capital investments volumes in the agricultural sector by their production directions and types of assets. Correlation and regression analysis has been applied in order to assess the influence of the actual amount of capital investment during 2010-2021 in the agrarian sector of the Ukrainian economy on the effectiveness of agricultural production, which is evaluated by the indicator of the gross added value amount of the agrarian sector. It has been established that the investment policy of Ukraine's agrarian sector is currently not an effective driver of the economic processes development in the agrarian industry. Due to this, the results of the activities of business entities are inefficient, which is caused, first of all, by the lack of financial and material resources, the disparity of prices and other organizational, economic and institutional factors. The importance of ensuring the competitiveness of agricultural production through the activation of investment support aimed at updating the organization of technological processes of production, the introduction of scientifically based norms of economic activity, and the systematization of the organizational and management system is highlighted. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article is devoted to substantiation of the forecast scenarios of development of the internal consumer organic products market in Ukraine. The essence of organic agriculture as a complete system and management of agroecosystems, including the assessment of environmental threats and risks of environmental safety in the agricultural sector, and establishes the relationship between economic actors in the agricultural organic production. The current state and trends of the main indicators of organic agriculture development in Ukraine are analyzed. Taking into account probable economic changes and possible variants of the transformation of market conditions, we have grounded three basic adaptation scenarios for the development of domestic organic agriculture for the future: inertial, moderate and innovative. The prognostic model of indices of the internal consumer market of organic produce is suggested, which provides for their modeling based on multiple regression. The study of trends and the calculation of predictive values of independent variables of the model for the near future are based on the extrapolation method. Based on the model data of organic farming, a forecast of the internal consumer market in this area for the period up to 2022 has been made. The use of the proposed model will enable the formation of credible prospect balances of demand and supply on the organic market, depending on the factors of influence and scenarios of its development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to the challenges we are experiencing nowadays, the importance of food security is gaining in its attention, making the subjects supplying agricultural production and ready-made food products more important and influential either economically or politically. The data under research are the agricultural products exports of Brazil, Canada, China, Ukraine, the United Kingdom and the United States to the European Union. The agricultural products are the goods from SITC (0+1) groups. The timeframe under analysis is eleven years - from 2012 to 2022 included. The purpose of the research is to assess whether the Ukrainian agricultural exports to the EU are correlated with the said exports of Brazil, Canada, China, the UK and the USA, and, if they are, how strong the correlation is. The comparative analysis of the dynamics, simple statistics, differences with the previous periods for the agricultural products exports of the analysed subjects to the EU was conducted. The trend lines for the analysed data during the given timeframe and two following years, were built using the appropriate function. The Pearson and Spearman correlation coefficients and their corresponding p-values were calculated and analysed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article proved that the application of the «AGMEMOD-Ukraine» model allowed conduct forecasting the development indicators of agricultural producers in the context of sustainable rural development, namely: yield, gross harvest and sown areas of major crops, changes in demographic indicators on the basic and optimistic forecast, the results of which allow competitive strategies, the implementation of which will increase the volume of sales, profits, market share, penetration into a new market segment, etc. It is considered that the use of the model «AGMEMOD-Ukraine», which covers the multicriteria measurement of functional components of agricultural producers, provides an opportunity to analyze and predict not only key competitive advantages but also secondary characteristics, which together have a significant impact on solving problems of strategic management of economic efficiency and competitiveness of agricultural enterprises in Ukraine. According to the results of the study, there were substantiated in the article the main strategic goals and priority areas for the development of agricultural producers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article proves a particular bias in the agricultural land use for assessing the ecological and economic efficiency of only cost indicators. The methodology for evaluating the ecological and economic efficiency of agricultural land use by the energy content of foods is considered. The purpose of the article is to consider the methodology and justification of the practical significance of assessing the environmental and economic efficiency of the agricultural land use by the energy content of products. The article presents the initial data for correlation-regression analysis on the average performance of agricultural producers of Ukraine to determine the weight of each indicator. We used land statistical collections, National reports on the state of the environment in Ukraine for the period 2012-2018. The analysis was carried out based on the average performance indicators of agricultural producers of Ukraine to determine the weight of factors and leverage on the ecological and economic efficiency of agricultural land use. The output of a unit of land in relative terms through exchange energy is not only a kind of indicator, a criterion for the efficient use of agricultural land but also a criterion for the effectiveness of all production activities of agricultural producers, a particular district, and even regions. The main advantage of the proposed approach is the focus on achieving the ultimate goal of agricultural production, which allows us to recommend it for extended use in assessing the ecological and economic efficiency of agricultural land use. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ukrainian agriculture creates 12-14% of GDP. Ensuring the conditions for sustainable economic development implies the use of adequate mechanisms for regulating economic processes by the government. In the process of formation and implementation of the organizational and economic mechanism of regulatory policy, a system of indicators plays an important role in assessing the impact of such policy on the participants, monitoring and, in case of the deviation from planned results, adjusting regulatory measures. This research analyzes and systematizes the indicators that determine organizational and economic mechanism of regulatory policy effectiveness in agriculture. The systematization of indicators to evaluate organizational and economic mechanism of regulatory policy effectiveness in agriculture has allowed to substantiate the methodological principles of its integrated assessment. Application of the proposed methodological approach to assessing the organizational and economic mechanism of regulatory policy effectiveness in agriculture in Ukraine was performed during the 2010, 2016-2017 period. It revealed a slow progress in the organizational and economic mechanism of regulatory policy efficiency during the investigated period. This result is primarily attributed to the lack of purposeful, systematic change management, the lack of mid-term planning, the strictness of most programs, imperfect financial instruments of the organizational and economic mechanism, and procedures for application. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]