1. When is Statistical Evidence Superior to Anecdotal Evidence in Supporting Probability Claims? The Role of Argument Type.
- Author
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Hoeken, Hans and Hustinx, Lettica
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ORATORY , *PROBABILITY theory , *ORAL communication , *STATISTICS , *COLLEGE teachers , *PERSUASION (Rhetoric) , *LANGUAGE research , *EVIDENCE - Abstract
Under certain conditions, statistical evidence is more persuasive than anecdotal evidence in supporting a claim about the probability that a certain event will occur. In three experiments, it is shown that the type of argument is an important condition in this respect. If the evidence is part of an argument by generalization, statistical evidence is more persuasive compared with anecdotal evidence (Experiments 1 and 2). In the case of argument by analogy, statistical and anecdotal evidences are equally persuasive (Experiments 2 and 3). However, if the case in the anecdotal evidence is dissimilar from the case in the claim, statistical evidence is again more persuasive (Experiment 3). The implications of these results for the concept of argument quality are discussed. Zhaiyao Author Note Dans quelles conditions les preuves statistiques sont-elles supérieures aux preuves anecdotiques en soutien á une affirmation? Le rôle du type d'argument Hans Hoeken (Ph.D., University of Tilburg, 1995) is a professor at the Department of Business Communication Studies, Centre for Language Studies, Radboud University Nijmegen, the Netherlands. His research focuses on language and persuasion. Lettica Hustinx (Ph.D., Radboud University Nijmegen, 1996) is an associate professor at the department of Dutch language and culture, Centre for Language Studies, Radboud University Nijmegen, the Netherlands. Her research interest focuses on argumentation and persuasion. This research was supported by a grant from NWO (360-80-020), the Dutch Research Foundation. We thank Hans Beentjes, Berna Hendriks, Margot van Mulken, Donna Rouner, and two anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments and advice on earlier versions of this paper. Résumé Correspondence concerning this paper should be addressed to Hans Hoeken, Department of Business Communication Studies, Radboud University Nijmegen, P.O. Box 9103, NL 6500 HD, The Netherlands. E-mail: . [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
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