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Studies on long-term fluctuations in glacier volume and mass are crucial for understanding past climate change. In this paper, we utilized Picea schrenkiana to develop a 525-year chronology of latewood blue intensity (LWBI) in the Tianshan Mountains. Relying on temperature as the main controlling factor for tree growth and glacier mass balance (GMB) variations, the LWBI chronology was used to reconstruct the summer temperature (JJA, R 2 adj = 47%) and the annual glacier mass balance (annual GMB, R 2 adj = 39%) in the Tianshan Mountains over the past 400 years. The reconstruction results show that the rapid warming since 1974 has caused the Tianshan No.1 glacier (TS No.1) to experience an unprecedented melting trend within the last four centuries. It is disturbing that the glacier still remain in an ablation state for the next 80 years under both representative concentration paths (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, which will exacerbate the adverse environmental impacts of glacial hazards. Our study provides a continuous record for glacier research in high mountains Asian and contributes to a more detailed assessment of glacier and climate change in this region. The spatial correlation analysis of the PC1 and the ERA5 grid temperature dataset after the original (a), detrended (b) and first-order difference (c) calculations in the verification period (1950–2005), all insignificant correlations (P > 0.05) were masked out, where A represent the Tianshan Mountains (this study), B represent Central Europe Alps (Büntgen et al., 2006), C represent East Asia (Davi et al., 2002), D represent Dunde ice core (Thompson et al., 2006), and E represent Guliya ice core (Thompson et al., 1997). Comparison of Tianshan temperature reconstruction (PC1) with other MXD-based temperature reconstructions, where (d) is the comparison between PC1 and Central European Alps summer (June to September) temperature reconstruction, (e) is the comparison between PC1 and East Asian Japanese warm season (May to September) temperature reconstruction, and (f) is the comparison between PC1 and Northern Hemisphere summer (June to August) temperature reconstruction (Schneider et al., 2015). (g) is the comparative between the PC1 and Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV, Wang et al., 2017). Comparison of TS No.1 GMB reconstruction with ice core accumulation data, where (h) is the comparison between TS No.1 GMB reconstruction and Dunde ice core water equivalent net balance (accumulation, 5-year average), (i) is the comparison between TS No.1 GMB reconstruction and Guliya ice core water equivalent net balance (accumulation, 10-year average). All comparison series are Z-score normalized and low-pass filtered with a step size of 10 years (ice core accumulation data are 5 year) to achieve low-frequency fluctuations. [Display omitted] • A 525-year latewood blue intensity (LWBI) chronology was developed to study glacial dynamics for the Tianshan Mountains. • The results showed that the last 20 years to be outside the range of natural variability of the last 400 years. • The Tianshan No. 1 glacier will continue to melt rapidly in the next 80 years under the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the Northern Caucasus, glacier and climatic variations over the past centuries remain insufficiently documented. In this review, we summarized the high-resolution information on glacier and climate fluctuations in the region for the past millennium and provided a synthesis of these two lines of evidence with respect to regional climate change. The key areas considered in the paper are the Elbrus area, the Teberda and Arkhyz valleys in the Western Caucasus and the Cherek Bezengiisky and Tsey valleys in the Eastern Caucasus, where the most paleoclimatic evidence has been retrieved. We focused on the fluctuation records of the ten glaciers that are best documented. To reconstruct changes in glacier length in the past, we used aerial photos, optical space images, repeated photographs and old maps. The ages of moraines were defined with the help of instrumental records, historical images, old maps, and tree-ring dating. Lichenometry was used as a supplementary tool to determine the relative ages of glacial landforms. We reviewed the collection of control points used for the lichenometric curves and determined the time limit of potential use of this method in the Caucasus to be up to one millennium. High-resolution tree-ring-based hydroclimatic reconstructions in the Northern Caucasus are presented based on the reconstruction of June–September temperature (1595–2012 CE), the mass balance reconstruction of the Garabashi Glacier (1800–2008 CE) and the runoff of the Teberda River (low-frequency variations) for May, July and August for 1850–2005 CE. The synthesis of all the available paleoclimatic records revealed several distinct climatic periods. Evidence of a warm interval (traditionally referred to as the “Arkhyz break in glaciation”) preceding the Little Ice Age (LIA) in the Caucasus is based on archeological, palynological, geochemical and pedological data. However, the conclusions concerning the duration and magnitude of this warming are still vague due to the low resolution of the data available and ambiguous interpretation of the evidence. The first LIA maximum glacier extent in the past millennium is poorly constrained. According to our data, it occurred prior to the year 1598 CE (tree-ring-based minimum age). Two other major phases of advances occurred in the second half of the 17th century CE and the first half of 19th century CE. General glacier retreat in the Northern Caucasus started in the late 1840s CE, with four to five minor readvances in the 1860s–1880s CE and three readvances or steady states in the 20th century CE (1910s, 1920s and 1970s–1980s). Since the last LIA maximum in the middle of the 19th century CE, most glaciers have decreased in length by more than 1000 m, and the rise in the elevation of the glacier fronts has exceeded 200 m. The glacier advances correspond to summer temperature minima and are generally coherent with the reconstructed mass balance of the Garabashi Glacier. A comparison of a tree-ring-based summer temperature reconstruction in the Northern Caucasus with detailed reconstructions of summer temperature and glacier fluctuations in the Alps shows a pronounced agreement between the records and supports the similarity between the patterns of climatic and glacier variations in the two regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]