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The industrial sector accounts for more than one-third of global energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. In the sector, the chemical industry makes up nearly 30% of global industrial energy consumption. In this study, a framework is developed to apply bottom-up energy modelling for analyzing energy efficiency improvement and GHG mitigation potential in the chemical sector. Also, techno-economic and policy analyses are used to analyze the applicability and economic performance of different mid- to long-term energy efficiency measures. The comprehensive, data-intensive, and technology-rich model is flexible and can be used to study the GHG mitigation potential in different regions. A case study was conducted for Alberta, one of the biggest industrial hubs in Canada, using the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning model. Twenty-eight GHG mitigation scenarios in the petrochemical and fertilizer industries (the two major chemical industry sub-sectors) were developed. The costs of implementing each mitigation measure were calculated and used to develop cost curves. The results suggest that cumulative mitigation potential from the chemical industry would be 7.1 and 29.7 megatonnes CO 2 equivalent in the periods ending 2030 and 2050, respectively. We also found that more than 75% of the emissions reductions are achievable with negative cost. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The life cycle energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emission performances of forest biomass-derived oxymethylene ether (OME) synthesis used as a diesel additive are analyzed in this study. OME, a new alternative liquid fuel, has great miscibility with conventional fuels like diesel. OME can reduce combustion emissions significantly when used as a diesel additive without any modification to the engine. A data-intensive spreadsheet-based life cycle assessment (LCA) model was developed for OME synthesis from woodchips derived from two different kinds of forest biomass, whole tree and forest residue. Woodchip harvesting, chip transportation, chemical synthesis of OME from biomass-derived syngas, OME transportation to blending, and vehicle combustion of this transportation fuel were considered in the system boundary. The results show that the whole tree pathway produces 27 g CO 2 eq/MJ of OME, whereas the forest residue pathway produces 18 g CO 2 eq/MJ of OME over 20 years of plant life. The difference is mainly due to some emissions-intensive operations involved in biomass harvesting and biomass transportation such as skidding, road construction, etc., in the whole tree pathway. Also, vehicle combustion was found to be the most GHG-intensive unit for both pathways. OME combustion in a vehicle accounts for about 77% and 83% of the total life cycle GHG emissions for the whole tree and forest residue pathways, respectively. This study also compares the diesel life cycle emission numbers with the life cycle emissions of OME derived from forest biomass, and it was observed that GHG emissions can be reduced by 20–21% and soot (black carbon) emissions can be reduced by 30% using a 10% OME blended diesel as a transportation fuel compared with conventional diesel. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A model-FUNNEL-GHG-OS ( FUN damental E N gineering Principl E s- based Mode L for Estimation of G reen H ouse G ases in the O il S ands) based on fundamental engineering principles was developed to estimate the specific energy consumption and GHGs (greenhouse gas emissions) for upgrading bitumen to produce SCO (synthetic crude oil). The model estimates quantity of SCO produced, the consumption of hydrogen, steam, natural gas and power in two different upgrading operations, namely delayed coking and hydroconversion. Hydroconversion upgrading is more energy and GHG (433.4 kgCO 2 eq/m 3 of bitumen) intensive than delayed coker upgrading (240.3 kgCO 2 eq/m 3 of bitumen) but obtains a higher yield of SCO. This research explores bitumen pathways in oil sands – upgrading bitumen to SCO, followed by transporting and refining SCO as compared to transporting and refining dilbit. The energy consumption, GHG emissions and volume of transportation fuels obtained from refining of different oil sands feeds has been investigated. Refining of oil sands products produce 7.9 to 15.72 gCO 2 eq per MJ of refined product. Refining of SCO to transportation fuels produces 41% and 49% less emissions than dilbit and bitumen respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) has been identified as the only option for substantially reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from fossil fuel-based processes. There has been limited research into the long-term GHG reduction potential of integrating CCUS into unconventional oil extraction processes. We developed a CCUS-oil sands market penetration model and integrated it with a bottom-up energy model (LEAP-Canada) to conduct a cost-benefit case study for the Canadian oil sands. Scenarios were developed considering currently available CCUS technologies and were investigated under different carbon pricing policies. Cumulative GHG emission mitigation potential from the CCUS applications ranged from 3 to 232 million tonnes (Mt) with marginal costs of $-28–42/tCO 2 e. Carbon pricing led to an average 3% increase in 2050 market shares of the technologies, resulting in additional GHG abatement of 4.9% (172 Mt). CCUS was found to be the costliest GHG emission mitigation option compared to increased integration of cogeneration and energy efficiency measures. The maximum cumulative oil sands GHG emission mitigation achieved in this study was 7%. This research ultimately provides insights into applications of CCUS technologies into the oil sands industry that might be useful to industry planners and policymakers and support the sustainable development of oil sands resources. • A novel bottom-up energy modeling framework for carbon capture in the oil sands. • 7% of industry GHG emissions from 2020 to 2050 could be mitigated at -$16.15/tCO 2 e. • Oxyfuel boilers powered by bituminous fuels provide 90% of mitigation potential. • Carbon pricing policies increased GHG abatement potential by 66 Mt. • Opportunities to utilize captured carbon increased GHG abatement potential by 94 Mt. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract The cement industry is responsible for between 5% and 9% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The increasing trend of GHG emissions from cement sector highlights the importance of GHG mitigation in this industry. In the current study, bottom-up energy modelling and scenario analyses were used to assess long-term GHG mitigation potential in the cement industry. The developed comprehensive, data-intensive, and technology-rich model is flexible and can be used to study the GHG mitigation potential in different regions. For the case study of Canada, a reference scenario along with 20 GHG emissions' reduction scenarios were developed in the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP) model. For each scenario, cumulative energy saving and GHG reduction potential were analyzed. Furthermore, the net present value, cost of saved energy, and carbon were calculated to assess the economic performance of different scenarios. Carbon abatement cost curves were also developed using the GHG mitigation potential and the cost of implementing different energy efficiency options. Overall, compared to the reference scenario, the cumulative GHG mitigation potentials in the Canadian cement sector are 27 and 59 million tonnes CO 2 eq. by the years 2030 and 2050, respectively. More than 70% of the emissions' reduction is achievable with negative cost. Highlights • A bottom-up and technology-rich model is developed for the cement industry. • Energy consumption demand tree is used to analyze the energy intense sub-processes. • 20 scenarios are developed to assess the long-term energy saving and GHG mitigation. • Carbon abatement cost curves are developed to rank energy saving options. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Process-level energy efficiency improvement is regarded as an effective technique for emissions reduction from the petroleum refining industry. Assessing the systems-level impacts of these energy efficiency improvements is crucial for effective long-term climate change policy- and decision-making. In this study, we developed a framework that integrates process simulation with integrated resource planning and techno-economic assessment techniques to evaluate long-term GHG mitigation potential in the refining sector. Detailed process simulations were done for eleven energy efficiency improvement measures in the refining sector. A case study was conducted for Alberta's (a province in western Canada) refining sector to assess GHG emissions reduction potential and their implications for long-term climate change policy-making. The GHG mitigation scenarios considered time horizons to the years 2030 and 2050. The results show that compared to the reference scenario, integrating the energy efficiency options in the refining sector will result in cumulative emissions reduction of 5%. About 60% of the anticipated emissions reductions are economically attractive. The proposed framework is an effective tool for the evaluation of long-term refining sector GHG mitigation potential and can be used for decision-making and policy formulation at various levels. • A framework is developed to assess GHG mitigation potential in the refining sector. • Process simulation, economic analysis, and energy planning models are integrated. • 22 mitigation scenarios are developed in time horizons ending in 2030 and 2050. • GHG mitigation potential is calculated and GHG abatement cost curves are developed. • 60% of the GHG emissions reductions are found to be economically attractive. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]