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Mangroves sequester large amounts of carbon (C) and they are increasingly recognized for their potential role in climate change mitigation programs. However, there is uncertainty in the C content of many mangrove forests because the amount of C stored in the roots is usually estimated from allometric equations and not from direct field measurements. There are only a handful of allometric equations in mangroves that are used worldwide to estimate root biomass, however, root biomass can vary from the allometric relationship if the environmental conditions are different from those where the equation was developed. In this study, we compiled recent information on how mangrove roots are affected by environmental conditions. Then, we explored the effect of sampling methodology on root biomass estimations. Finally, we compared published values of root biomass from field measurements against our estimations from allometric equations. The goal was to calculate the uncertainty associated with the estimation of root biomass and thus, the belowground C content of mangroves. The results showed that sampling methodology has a significant effect on root biomass estimations. The highest biomass estimations are reported where both live and dead roots are measured and when the roots are sampled by digging trenches. When comparing measured values against estimations from allometric equations, on average the general allometric equation provided root biomass values that were 40 ± 12% larger than those obtained from field measurements with cores. The result suggests that either: (a) sampling with cores largely underestimates root biomass, or (b) allometric equations overestimate root biomass when used outside the region where they were developed. The uncertainty in root biomass estimates from allometric equations corresponds to 4–15% of the ecosystem C stock (trees + soil), with higher uncertainties in forests with low tree density and low interstitial salinity. We provide a statistical model that includes salinity, forest density and root biomass to correct for this systematic bias. The estimated uncertainty is important to consider when quantifying C budgets at large spatial scales and to validate methodological approaches to C stock estimations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In recent years, across tropical regions of the world, there has been an expansion of integrated farming systems that combine rice and shrimp production. While these systems were developed as a form of crop-rotation – growing rice in the wet season and shrimp in the dry season – some farmers grow both rice and brackish-water shrimp simultaneously during the wet season. Climatic variability has resulted in considerable crop losses in this system across many regions. Research has yet to identify the complete array of key risk factors, and their potential interactions, for integrated rice-shrimp farming. Consequently, different farming practices and environmental factors that may affect crop production need to be clarified to guide research efforts. We applied a staged, iterative process to develop a probabilistic Bayesian belief network based on expert knowledge that describes the relationships that contribute to the risk of failure of both crops in integrated rice-shrimp farming systems during the wet season. We applied the approach in the Southern Mekong Delta, Vietnam, in the context of a broader research program into the sustainability of the rice-shrimp farming system. The resulting network represents the experts' perceptions of the key risk factors to production and the interactions among them. While both farmers and extension officers contributed to the identification of the processes included in the network, the farmers alone provided estimates of the probability of the relationships among them. The network identified the challenges to minimise the risk of failure for both crops, and the steps farmers can take to mitigate some of them. Overall, farmers perceived they have a better chance to minimise risk of failure for shrimp rather than rice crops, and limited opportunities appear to exist for successful production of both. By engaging the farmers in this process of model development, we were able to identify additional research questions for the broader research team and to identify simple steps the farmers could take to reduce the risk of crop failure. Integrating additional empirical data into this network, as it becomes available, will help identify clear opportunities for improvements in farming practices which should reduce the risk of crop failure into the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Water security threats and loss of natural capital rise rapidly across the century. • Societal response features a major expansion of traditional engineering. • Contributions of natural capital to water security exceed investments in engineering. • Degraded ecosystems incur a substantial economic penalty on water resource systems. • A transformation to sustainable green-gray water infrastructure is globally feasible. Sustainable development demands reliable water resources, yet traditional water management has broadly failed to avoid environmental degradation and contain infrastructure costs. We explore the global-scale feasibility of combining natural capital with engineering-based (green-gray) approaches to meet water security threats over the 21st century. Threats to water resource systems are projected to rise throughout this period, together with a significant expansion in engineering deployments and progressive loss of natural capital. In many parts of the world, strong path dependencies are projected to arise from the legacy of prior environmental degradation that constrains future water management to a heavy reliance on engineering-based approaches. Elsewhere, retaining existing stocks of natural capital creates opportunities to employ blended green-gray water infrastructure. By 2050, annual engineering expenditures are projected to triple to $2.3 trillion, invested mainly in developing economies. In contrast, preserving natural capital for threat suppression represents a potential $3.0 trillion in avoided replacement costs by mid-century. Society pays a premium whenever these nature-based assets are lost, as the engineering costs necessary to achieve an equivalent level of threat management are, on average, twice as expensive. Countries projected to rapidly expand their engineering investments while losing natural capital will be most constrained in realizing green-gray water management. The situation is expected to be most restrictive across the developing world, where the economic, technical, and governance capacities to overcome such challenges remain limited. Our results demonstrate that policies that support blended green-gray approaches offer a pathway to future global water security but will require a strategic commitment to preserving natural capital. Absent such stewardship, the costs of water resource infrastructure and services will likely rise substantially and frustrate efforts to attain universal and sustainable water security. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aquatic ecosystems are used for extensive rice-shrimp culture where the available water alternates seasonally between fresh and saline. Poor water quality has been implicated as a risk factor for shrimp survival; however, links between shrimp, water quality and their main food source, the natural aquatic biota inhabiting these ponds, are less well understood. We examined the aquatic biota and water quality of three ponds over an entire year in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam, where the growing season for the marine shrimp Penaeus monodon has been extended into the wet season, when waters freshen. The survival (30–41%) and total areal biomass (350–531 kg ha−1) of shrimp was constrained by poor water quality, with water temperatures, salinity and dissolved oxygen concentrations falling outside known optimal ranges for several weeks. Declines in dissolved oxygen concentration were matched by declines in both shrimp growth rates and lipid content, the latter being indicative of nutritional condition. Furthermore, as the dry season transitioned into the wet, shifts in the taxonomic composition of phytoplankton and zooplankton were accompanied by declines in the biomass of benthic algae, an important basal food source in these systems. Densities of the benthic invertebrates directly consumed by shrimp also varied substantially throughout the year. Overall, our findings suggest that the survival, condition and growth of shrimp in extensive rice-shrimp ecosystems will be constrained when poor water quality and alternating high and low salinity negatively affect the physiology, growth and composition of the natural aquatic biota. Changes in management practices, such as restricting shrimp inhabiting ponds to the dry season, may help to address these issues and improve the sustainable productivity and overall condition of these important aquatic ecosystems. Unlabelled Image • Shrimp growing is extending into the wet season in extensive rice-shrimp ponds. • Salinity, water temperature, dissolved oxygen were often suboptimal for shrimp. • Aquatic food sources declined, compositions shifted with dry-wet season transition • Shrimp survival below 50%; growth and lipid declined with dissolved oxygen • Shrimp growth, condition, survival constrained by conditions from changing salinity [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Conservation planning processes and wetland management require spatial estimations of aquatic habitats to support the maintenance of aquatic biodiversity. However, physical access to several wetlands and freshwater habitats can be restricted due to difficult topography and technological limitations associated with ground-based observations. In addition to these constraints, the distribution of some aquatic primary producers in freshwater habitats and floodplains that are difficult to reach further complicates large-scale assessment of aquatic habitats using traditional field-based techniques. The main objective of this study is to predict the spatial distribution of hot spots of primary producers (aquatic plant biomass) and assess large-scale inundation patterns in a large floodplain wetland (Flinders catchment) in the wet-dry tropics of Australia. To this end, remote sensing biophysical indicators (vegetation and inundation) were integrated with flood water depth in a classification tree model. Results indicate that in terms of floodplain total inundation, the Flinders wetland hydrology is rather restricted immediately after the summer wet season, the period when most primary production happens. While this can be attributed to the fact that much of the observed annual variability (93%) in rainfall and surface runoff (95%) occur during the wet season, post flood recession patterns are indicators that underpin the somewhat limited alimentation of the Flinders floodplain during this period. As observed in this study, post flood inundation extents in the summers of 2009 and 2019 declined by approximately 89% and 87% within fourteen and ten days, respectively. Despite having a significantly higher magnitude than the 2009 summer flood event, the 2019 extreme 'big wet' period did not translate to higher floodplain productivity (aquatic plant biomass and surface water distribution) immediately after summer as was the case in 2009. Furthermore, the predicted extents of aquatic plant biomass and total floodplain inundation in the downstream Flinders show substantial temporal variation and suggest the floodplain wetland hydrology is largely driven by inter-annual changes in annual rainfall. The extents of these hot spots of biomass accumulation were found to be considerably associated with total floodplain inundation extent (r = 0.94), rainfall (r = 0.81), and discharge (r = 0.68). Furthermore, advance statistical analyses show that downstream discharge and rainfall over the Flinders are significantly correlated (r = 0.72). In addition to this, observed amplitudes of discharge and rainfall in extreme wet and dry years coincided with floodplain inundation patterns and distribution of hot spots of primary producers. While these relationships emphasize the importance of flow in the nourishment of the downstream catchment, they further corroborate the composite influence of local rainfall and discharge on total floodplain inundation and hot spots of primary producers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Stressor exposure from global maps and in situ reporting aligns weakly. • Hydrological stressors have the highest agreement among data sources. • Stressor weights can be estimated from in situ stressor data. • Integration of in situ stressor monitoring can improve cumulative stress indices. • Ecological monitoring networks can help monitor ecological stressors globally. Aquatic ecosystems are exposed to a host of anthropogenic stressors whose combined effect can be synthesized with cumulative stress indices. The reliability of cumulative stress indices depends primarily on: 1) stressor incidence maps derived from remote sensing or modeling but rarely validated against on-the-ground observations, and 2) the weighting scheme used to combine multiple stressors into a cumulative index typically based on expert opinion. In this paper, we evaluate the exposure and weights for 13 aquatic stressor maps of the world's rivers with a comparison against local stress reporting across 1018 inland and coastal sites from the Ramsar Wetlands of International Importance. We found that globally-mapped and locally-reported stressors are poorly aligned overall (AUC-ROC = 0.50–0.63), and that concordance did not improve when stratifying by ecosystem types or continents. Agreement varied across individual stressors, was highest for hydrological stressors and lowest for habitat disconnectivity stressors. We estimated stressor weights from the comparison and found them to be remarkably aligned well with expert-generated weights, suggesting there is convergence on a stressor hierarchy across local and global scales. Our comparison illustrates the value of integrating data across scales to inform the calculation of global stressor indices. Continued systematic stressor monitoring across environmental observation networks is central to benchmarking maps of ecosystem stress globally. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Introduced a cloud-based framework to assess changes in floodplain productivity. • Upstream flows drive floodplain inundation and aquatic plant biomass accumulation. • Local rainfall has limited impact on the productivity of downstream catchment. • Climate variability is a key constraint to changes in floodplain productivity. • Flows are primary drivers of floodplain inundation in the Mitchell catchment. Rivers in tropical systems across the world are well known for their strong connections with floodplain wetlands. However, increased water needs and changing climate could drive water-management policy that leads to major changes in flow or surface water availability. These changes could have deleterious effects on ecological functions and ecosystem services provided by these freshwater ecosystems (e.g., groundwater recharge, food sources for fish, etc.). In this study, we introduce a cloud-based monitoring framework using multi-resolution satellite observations (2007 - 2020), historical surface inundation (1984 - 2015), and gauge data to better understand these connections in a large river catchment in tropical Queensland (Mitchell River catchment). A key driver and indicator of floodplain productivity, surface water inundation and aquatic biomass distribution respectively, are investigated to provide insight that underpins the prioritization of future surface water developments in this region. Results show that the characteristics of floodplain inundation; loss, persistence, gain and frequency, vary in time and space, and are driven by climate variability. The largest gain (7200 Ha) and persistence (8437 Ha) in total surface inundation were observed in the wet seasons during the periods of 2007 - 2019 , respectively. In the downstream catchment, permanent water surface area was approximately 4.5% (of the total downstream region) compared to the upstream region (2.7%). There is a higher proportion of new permanent water features (16.8%) and new seasonal (30%) surface water classes in the upstream are in contrast to the downstream section (0.7% and 9.6%, respectively). Using multivariate statistics, floodplain productivity was linked to inter-annual changes in flow and rainfall. A partial least squares regression (PLSR) model shows upstream flows drive changes in total floodplain inundation (observed vs predicted, r = 0.95 , p = 0.000). Flows and local rainfall accounted for approximately 60% (r = 0.77 , p = 0.005) and 25% (r = 0.50 , p = 0.120) of the variability in total floodplain inundation, respectively. Different PLSR modelling scenarios confirmed that upstream flows are primary drivers of floodplain inundation and substantial lost in total surface inundation could happen if flows are altered. Just as local rainfall has limited impact on total floodplain inundation (r = 0.92 , p = 0.000 ; for model excluding local rainfall), aquatic plant biomass accumulations are also strongly associated with upstream flows (e.g., r = 0.82). Given the dependence of downstream water level (r = 0.89) and floodplain inundation on upstream flows, sustainable management of river flows in the Mitchell River is fundamentally important to floodplain productivity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Floodplain productivity and inundation assessed using remote sensing indicators. • River discharge is a stronger indicator of hot spots of biomass accumulation. • Floodplain inundation and primary production are driven by flow and local rainfall. • Upstream catchment contributes to the connectivity and productivity of floodplain. • Fluctuations in climate will be key constraints on freshwater habitats. The ecological communities supported by freshwater habitats and wetlands that persist from floodplain inundation generate numerous cultural, recreational and economic values via commercial fisheries and other human uses of these habitats. However, the alteration of flow connectivity, degradation, and disruption of physical processes that sustain different levels of organisms (e.g., primary producers) are threats that affect aquatic biodiversity and the productivity of these habitats. Therefore, the large scale assessment of freshwater habitats for proactive water resources planning and the development of climate change mitigation and resource management strategies is essential. However, such monitoring and assessment is complicated by the inaccessibility of many large wetland systems during times of inundation, making in situ sampling unfeasible at a time when high levels of aquatic primary producers are generating food and energy sources for higher order consumers. To understand the physical dynamics of aquatic primary producers and freshwater habitats (1991–2019) during such times in a large floodplain river in northern Australia (Gilbert catchment), this study integrated Landsat-derived modified normalised difference water index and normalised difference vegetation index in a classification tree model. Thereafter, key hydrological drivers (rainfall and river discharge) of floodplain productivity and connectivity were assessed using a range of multivariate techniques. Results show that the floodplain had a high aquatic plant biomass during the summer wet season based on the correlation between aquatic biomass accumulation (hot spots) and inundation (r = 0.83 @ phase lag < 1 month) during such period. River discharge (r = 0.68 @ lag = 1 month) at downstream Gilbert catchment appear to be a relatively stronger indicator of hot spots of floodplain biomass accumulation as opposed to local rainfall (r = 0.57 @ lag = 3 months). While the downstream discharge explains a significant proportion of variability in the leading orthogonal mode of rainfall (r = 0.83), statistical relationships developed between discharge/rainfall and the distribution of aquatic primary producers confirm that both rivers (flow) and local rainfall are key optimal predictors of inundation and sites of primary producers with river flows being a better indicator of the latter. It is therefore argued that hydro-meteorological fluctuations will be key constraints on freshwater habitats and the growth of primary producers, albeit, human disturbance of flow can impact on floodplain productivity. As illustrated in this study, such constraints are reflected in the spatial patterns and changing characteristics (connectivity and spatial heterogeneity) of hot spots of primary producers and freshwater habitats (Palustrine, Lacustrine, and Riverine ecosystems). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A large proportion of the uncertainty surrounding catchment sediment budget modelling has been attributed to sediment supplied from riverbank erosion. Some of the variables influencing riverbank erosion are bend curvature, specific streampower, riparian vegetation, and in some instances sand and gravel extraction. The empirical relationship between these variables and observed riverbank erosion across 78 km of the Upper Brisbane River, Australia was investigated. No significant relationship was found between curvature, specific streampower and riverbank erosion. The role of riparian vegetation relative to sediment supply from riverbank erosion varied with spatial location, susceptibility of a reach to erosion, and human disturbance such as sand and gravel extraction. Despite not having data on substrate type the model described approximately 37% of the variation in observed riverbank erosion. It appears that inclusion of a management practice factor in riverbank erosion models is justified, where appropriate, and may improve model performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Inland saline intrusion is occurring during the dry season in the Mekong River Delta (MRD), Vietnam. Rising sea levels, tidal fluctuations, drought, and changes to upstream flow contribute to extensive salinisation of rice producing areas of the MRD, leading to substantial rice crop losses. The identification, evaluation and implementation of alternative crop and soil management solutions are required to complement on-going rice production in the region. A review of scientific and grey literature was conducted regarding the nature and extent of salinisation in the MRD and the adoption and management of alternative crops to rice. Familiar crops in Vietnam (e.g., maize, soybean), as well as novel crops to the MRD (e.g., quinoa, cowpea) were explored as potential options to replace dry season rice. Management options including surface soil mulches and plastic coverings help maintain soil moisture and reduce salinity damage to plants, and the use of drainage and seed preparation techniques can improve plant establishment and yield. Factors contributing to the success of alternative crops include salt tolerance, timing and efficiency of water use, ability to grow in the dry growing season, tolerance to pests and diseases, labour intensiveness and the crops' marketability. The identification of suitable alternative crops to replace dry season rice in saline affected areas of the MRD, combined with management practices like mulching and soil moisture monitoring, could provide farmers with income opportunities to offset rice losses. Documenting the factors contributing to successful crop diversification can assist with decision-making and support initiatives among farmers, agribusiness, and government agencies. [Display omitted] • Inland saline intrusion is causing substantial rice losses during the dry season of the Mekong River Delta, Vietnam. • Alternative crops and management practices need to be identified to supplement the loss of rice income. • Numerous biophysical, environmental, and socioeconomic factors are identified that determine alternative crops suitability. • Mulching, raised beds and soil water monitoring can decrease salinity stress and improve water use efficiency. • Combining alternative crops and management practices provide farmers with options for saline affected areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rice-shrimp culture systems occur throughout Asia where there are seasonal alterations of fresh and saltwater availability. During the dry season, black tiger shrimp are grown at low densities, and in the wet season, rice, or rice and shrimp are grown together. Previous studies point to issues with suboptimal rice and shrimp production, due, in part, to climatic conditions driving changes in water quality, and pond management practices. However, the availability of natural benthic food supplies for shrimp production is less well studied. This study used a 15N‑nitrogen stable isotope tracer added to replicated enclosures within two rice-shrimp ponds to trace shrimp feeding on benthic natural biota. This experiment was conducted in both the wet and dry seasons. The 15N-ammonium rapidly enriched the 15N signature in the particulate organic matter (POM) in the water column, indicative of significant phytoplankton uptake of nitrogen (N). In contrast there was little enrichment of the benthic algae in the same time frame. After 13 d, most of the shrimp in the replicate enclosures had little or no 15N enrichment. This result occurred across both ponds and in both seasons. This suggests that enriched N was not transferred through the benthic food web to the shrimp. The results of the 15N enclosure experiments were combined with biomass estimates of benthic algae and macrobenthos, shrimp growth data, and linked to other parallel studies of water quality and sediment biogeochemistry in the same ponds. Overall, the findings point to inadequate feed stocks for shrimp, and hence the need to consider supplemental feeding with high quality formulated feeds in order to improve growth rates and survival. • 15N-tracers were used to show that natural food was limiting for black tiger shrimp in rice-shrimp ponds. • Low oxygen, high temperatures and variable salinity appear to have affected shrimp growth. • The combined effects of low food availability and poor water quality affected growth rates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Adaptation to drought is particularly challenging on remote island atolls, such as those found in the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI), a nation of 58,000 populating 29 low-lying coral atolls spread over >2 million km2. Exposure to consecutive atmospheric hazards, such as meteorological floods and droughts diminish scarce water resources and erode the resilience of island communities. Drought impact mitigation measures must supply emergency drinking water to stricken communities, while simultaneously conserving natural sources in order to reduce their vulnerability to subsequent events. Household surveys (n = 298) and focus group discussions (n = 16) in eight RMI communities revealed that 86% of households have experienced drought and 88% reported using multiple water sources to meet normal household needs. With no surface water and a thin freshwater lens (FWL), rainwater collected from rooftops is the most common household water source. The traditional use of carved hollows in the base of coconut trees to collect rainwater ("Mammaks") appears to have been displaced by large rainwater tanks. However, rationing of rainwater for consumption only during drought was widely reported, with private wells supporting non-consumptive uses. Reverse osmosis (RO) desalination units have provided relief during drought emergencies but concerns have been raised around dependency, maintenance challenges, and loss of traditional water practices. Most notably, RO use has the potential to change the anthroposhpere by adversely affecting the FWL; 86% of RO units were installed at island-centre where excessive pumping can cause upconing, making the FWL brackish. Balancing the introduction of desalination technology to mitigate water shortages with maintenance of traditional water conservation practices to preserve the quantity and quality of the FWL is a promising strategy on island atolls that requires further investigation. Unlabelled Image • Small island states are among the most vulnerable to drought and climate change. • Cycling of multiple household water sources increases resilience to drought. • Austere usage behaviors conserve rainwater for drinking during drought. • Emergency water created using reverse osmosis presents a hazard to groundwater. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

It is a substantial challenge to quantify the benefits which ecosystems provide to water supply at scales large enough to support policy making. This study tested the hypothesis that vegetation could reduce riverbank erosion, and therefore contribute to reducing turbidity and the cost of water supply, during a large magnitude flood along a 62 km riparian corridor where land cover differed substantially from natural conditions. Several lines of evidence were used to establish the benefits that vegetation provided to reducing eleven riverbank erosion processes over 1688 observations. The data and analyses confirmed that vegetation significantly reduced the magnitude of the riverbank erosion process which was the largest contributor to total erosion volume. For this process, a 1% increase in canopy cover of trees higher than five metres reduced erosion magnitude by between 2 and 3%. Results also indicate that riverbank erosion was likely to be affected by direct changes to the riparian corridor which influenced longitudinal coarse sediment connectivity. When comparing the impact of these direct changes on a relative basis, sand and gravel extraction was likely to be the dominant contributor to changed erosion rates. The locations where erosion rates had substantially increased were of limited spatial extent and in general substantial change in river form had not occurred. This suggests that the trajectory of river condition and increasing turbidity are potentially reversible if the drivers of river degradation are addressed through an ecosystem restoration policy. Unlabelled Image • 1% increase in vegetation canopy cover reduced riverbank erosion by between 2 and 3% • Changes to longitudinal coarse sediment connectivity also affected riverbank erosion • Both drivers need to be addressed for effective ecosystem restoration [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]