4 results
Search Results
2. Projected Changes in the Pattern of Spatially Compounding Drought and Pluvial Events Over Eastern China Under a Warming Climate.
- Author
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Chen, Huijiao, Wang, Shuo, Zhu, Jinxin, and Wang, Dagang
- Subjects
DROUGHT management ,GLOBAL warming ,DROUGHTS ,EMERGENCY management ,RAINFALL ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,CLIMATE research - Abstract
The simultaneous occurrence of droughts and floods in neighboring regions amplifies the threats posed by droughts and floods individually. Nonetheless, few studies have been conducted to investigate the simultaneous occurrence of drought and flood events. Here we explore the spatiotemporal characteristics and the shift pattern of droughts and pluvials over Eastern China from a three‐dimensional perspective, using the self‐calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index and the Climate Research Unit data set as well as four regional climate model simulations. We find that Eastern China experienced droughts and pluvials simultaneously in different locations during boreal summer, and it is projected to simultaneously experience more frequent and more intense droughts and pluvials under a warming climate. Specifically, we investigate the pattern of more pluvials in Southeast China and more droughts in Northeast China for the historical period of 1975–2004. This pattern dynamically evolves under climate warming: the pluvial‐dominated regime shifts from Southeast to Northeast China, while the drought‐dominated regime shifts from Northeast to Southeast China. The weakening strength of the western Pacific subtropical high and a northward displacement of the monsoon rain belt may both contribute to the pattern of more pluvials in Northeast China and more droughts in Southeast China. These findings provide insights into the development of adaptation strategies and emergency response plans for enhancing society's resilience to the spatial co‐occurrence of dry and wet extremes. Plain Language Summary: The spatial co‐occurrence of drought and flood events has been receiving widespread attention in recent years since the superimposed condition of drought and flood has brought unprecedented challenges to disaster prevention, mitigation, and relief work. Eastern China is prone to droughts and floods, but their spatial interconnections are not yet well understood. Thus, we explore the historical evolution and the future change of simultaneous occurrence of droughts and floods over Eastern China under a warming climate. The spatial co‐occurrence of droughts and floods is projected to affect more land areas and become more frequent as climate warms. Eastern China experienced a pattern of more floods in Southeast China and more droughts in Northeast China during 1975–2004. We find that droughts tend to become more intense in Southeast China and the severity of floods is expected to increase in the northern region of East China, resulting in a shift pattern of more droughts in Southeast China and more floods in Northeast China. The shift pattern may be attributed to the weakening of western Pacific subtropical high strength and a northward displacement of the monsoon rain band in a changing climate. Key Points: Eastern China is projected to experience more frequent and more intense droughts and pluvials simultaneouslyThe spatial pattern of more pluvials in Southeast China and more droughts in Northeast China is expected to become an opposite pattern under a warming climateThe weakening strength of the western Pacific subtropical high and a northward displacement of the monsoon rain belt may contribute to the pattern of more pluvials in Northeast China and more droughts in Southeast China [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. The detection and attribution of extreme reductions in vegetation growth across the global land surface.
- Author
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Yang, Hui, Munson, Seth M., Huntingford, Chris, Carvalhais, Nuno, Knapp, Alan K., Li, Xiangyi, Peñuelas, Josep, Zscheischler, Jakob, and Chen, Anping
- Subjects
EMERGENCY management ,ARID regions ,HAZARD mitigation ,ECOSYSTEM services ,CLIMATE extremes ,CLIMATE change ,DROUGHTS - Abstract
Negative extreme anomalies in vegetation growth (NEGs) usually indicate severely impaired ecosystem services. These NEGs can result from diverse natural and anthropogenic causes, especially climate extremes (CEs). However, the relationship between NEGs and many types of CEs remains largely unknown at regional and global scales. Here, with satellite‐derived vegetation index data and supporting tree‐ring chronologies, we identify periods of NEGs from 1981 to 2015 across the global land surface. We find 70% of these NEGs are attributable to five types of CEs and their combinations, with compound CEs generally more detrimental than individual ones. More importantly, we find that dominant CEs for NEGs vary by biome and region. Specifically, cold and/or wet extremes dominate NEGs in temperate mountains and high latitudes, whereas soil drought and related compound extremes are primarily responsible for NEGs in wet tropical, arid and semi‐arid regions. Key characteristics (e.g., the frequency, intensity and duration of CEs, and the vulnerability of vegetation) that determine the dominance of CEs are also region‐ and biome‐dependent. For example, in the wet tropics, dominant individual CEs have both higher intensity and longer duration than non‐dominant ones. However, in the dry tropics and some temperate regions, a longer CE duration is more important than higher intensity. Our work provides the first global accounting of the attribution of NEGs to diverse climatic extremes. Our analysis has important implications for developing climate‐specific disaster prevention and mitigation plans among different regions of the globe in a changing climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Substantial increase of compound droughts and heatwaves in wheat growing seasons worldwide.
- Author
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He, Yan, Fang, Jiayi, Xu, Wei, and Shi, Peijun
- Subjects
WHEAT farming ,GROWING season ,HEAT waves (Meteorology) ,EMERGENCY management ,DROUGHTS ,DROUGHT tolerance - Abstract
Droughts and heatwaves are the most detrimental climatic threats to global wheat production, their spatiotemporal coexistence (compound drought and heatwave events [CDHEs]) can cause synergistic and amplified impacts on wheat yield, which call for an improved understating of their characteristics and variations that related to wheat growth. Past decade has witnessed a surge in the study of CDHEs in terms of their causative mechanisms, variabilities and impacts; however, changes in CDHEs occurring within crops' growing seasons are barely discussed, especially on global scale. In this study, we proposed a novel approach to identify and summarize CDHEs by taking "crop growing season" as accumulated period, and investigated the spatiotemporal changes of CDHEs occurring within wheat growing seasons over global wheat‐producing areas during 1981–2020, including their spatial extent, frequency and duration. Results show that the spatial extent of CDHEs experienced rapid expansion during wheat growing seasons of 1981–2020, meanwhile, droughts and heatwaves increasingly tended to occur simultaneously. More than 92% of wheat‐producing areas experienced at least one CDHE in each wheat growing season, the frequency of CDHEs increased significantly in 28.2% of wheat‐producing areas, and the total duration of CDHEs increased significantly in 33.2% of wheat‐producing areas. Europe, eastern China, western US and northern Argentina are the hotspot regions with the biggest contradiction between fast‐increasing CDHEs and wheat production, pointing to the urgency of marking spatially targeted adaptation measures for disaster reduction and risk management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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