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It is important to investigate the hydrological consequences of current climate change. Hydrological responses to climate warming and wetter conditions include changes in discharge (frequency, amplitude, and volume). This paper describes current climate change and its impact on hydrological flow within the Horyn River basin. Daily air temperature and precipitation data obtained from the 17 meteorological stations located in and nearby the Horyn River basin, in combination with hydrological data (such as daily water discharges obtained from 9 water gauges), were used for the analysis of climate variability and its hydrological consequences. Analyses of meteorological variables and water discharges are crucial for the assessment of long-term changes in the river regime. Thiessen polygons were used to determine the area of influence of assigned specific meteorological stations, which affect the river's catchments within the Horyn River basin. As a result of the trend analysis, it was observed that discharge within the Horyn River basin decreased over time. These results were congruent with the trends of precipitation data and air temperature data of the stations determined by the Thiessen polygons and basin boundaries. To understand current changes in the daily flow in the basin, changes in air temperature and precipitation for the period 1991-2020 were compared with the period of the climatic norm (1961-1990). A similar analysis was done for daily water discharges. Increasing air temperature and decreasing precipitation in the current period led to a significant decrease in discharges in the Horyn River basin, especially during the spring flood period. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Of particular current importance in the general problem of global climate change is the regional manifestation of this process. The focus of this paper is concentrated on the transitional natural zones: forest tundra (st. Salekhard), and forest-steppe (st. Omsk) of the West Siberian Plain. The study is based on data for ground air temperatures and precipitation at the mean-daily and mean annual level, covering the time interval from 1936 to 2012. The observations are grouped in three periods: from 1936 to 1970, from 1971 to 2006, and from 2001 to 2012 thus making it possible to identify trends in the behavior of mean annual indicators, examine the intra-annual and seasonal changes, and to carry out a typification according to thermal regime and humidification regime. Regional changes in mean annual air temperatures at st. Salekhard and st. Omsk are representative of the general features of temperature variation over the entire observing period. In the Subarctic, however, the warming period became more pronounced in 2001, whereas it started in the 1970s in the forest-steppe, which is borne out by an increase in the recurrence frequency of warm and normal (according to thermal regime) years during the aforementioned periods. The southern part of the West Siberian Plain has experienced a more intense warming than in the north. Analysis of the intra-annual behavior of mean daily temperatures at st. Omsk showed their steady increase during the time interval from 1971 to 2012; this is especially true in regard to a warm season. At st. Salekhard the dynamics of temperatures is more complicated in character. Observation showed comparable (in duration) time spans with alternating increases and decreases in air temperature. The annual precipitation amounts for the time intervals used in the comparison indicated that their mean long-term value in the zones under consideration has increased for the last 35 years by 26 mm at st. Salekhard, and by 15 mm at st. Omsk. Considerable changes of climate have been observed since the 1970s; in high and mid-latitudes, they differ greatly and have influence on phenological phenomena, the structure of seasonal rhythms, the conditions of functioning of landscapes, and on human economic activity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Mongolia's Selenga sub-basin of the Lake Baikal basin is spatially extensive, with pronounced environmental gradients driven primarily by precipitation and air temperature on broad scales. Therefore, it is an ideal region to examine the dynamics of the climate and the hydrological system. This study investigated the annual precipitation, air temperature, and river discharge variability at five selected stations of the sub-basin by using Mann-Kendall (MK), Innovative trend analysis method (ITAM), and Sen's slope estimator test. The result showed that the trend of annual precipitation was slightly increasing in Ulaanbaatar (Z = 0.71), Erdenet (Z = 0.13), and Tsetserleg (Z = 0.26) stations. Whereas Murun (Z = 2.45) and Sukhbaatar (Z = 1.06) stations showed a significant increasing trend. And also, the trend of annual air temperature in Ulaanbaatar (Z = 5.88), Erdenet (Z = 3.87), Tsetserleg (Z = 4.38), Murun (Z = 4.77), and Sukhbaatar (Z = 2.85) was sharply increased. The average air temperature has significantly increased by 1.4 °C in the past 38 years. This is very high in the semi-arid zone of central Asia. The river discharge showed a significantly decreasing trend during the study period years. It has been apparent since 1995. The findings of this paper could help researchers to understand the annual variability of precipitation, air temperature, and river discharge over the study region and, therefore, become a foundation for further studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The total glacial area of the Cordillera Blanca, Peru, has shrunk by more than 30% in the period of 1930 to the present with a marked glacier retreat also in the recent decades. The aim of this paper is to assess local air temperature and precipitation changes in the Cordillera Blanca and to discuss how these variables could have affected the observed glacier retreat between the 1980s and present. A unique data set from a large number of stations in the region of the Cordillera Blanca shows that after a strong air temperature rise of about 0.31°C per decade between 1969 and 1998, a slowdown in the warming to about 0.13°C per decade occurred for the 30years from 1983 to 2012. Additionally, based on data from a long-term meteorological station, it was found that the freezing line altitude during precipitation days has probably not increased significantly in the last 30years. We documented a cooling trend for maximum daily air temperatures and an increase in precipitation of about 60mm/decade since the early 1980s. The strong increase in precipitation in the last 30years probably did not balance the increase of temperature before the 1980s. It is suggested that recent changes in temperature and precipitation alone may not explain the glacial recession within the thirty years from the early 1980s to 2012. Glaciers in the Cordillera Blanca may be still reacting to the positive air temperature rise before 1980. Especially small and low-lying glaciers are characterised by a serious imbalance and may disappear in the near future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aim of the present research work is to bring to better understanding the recent climate change at regional scale. The tendencies of many-years variability of air temperature and precipitation in Northeastern Bulgaria are determined. In order to determine future tendencies in air temperature and precipitation variability the data from regional climate models are analyzed. The occurrence of extreme monthly temperature and precipitation totals are investigated by calculation of 10th and 90th percentiles of the empirical distribution in the reference period 1961-1990. The main result of present work is that there are a positive tendency in changes of air temperature and negative in precipitation. The regional climate model data show increasing of extreme hot and dry months which is considerable for the second part of 21th century. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change affects seasonal weather patterns, but little is known about the relative importance of seasonal weather patterns on animal population vital rates. Even when such information exists, data are typically only available from intensive fieldwork (e.g., mark-recapture studies) at a limited spatial extent. Here, we investigated effects of seasonal air temperature and precipitation (fall, winter, and spring) on survival and recruitment of brook trout ( Salvelinus fontinalis) at a broad spatial scale using a novel stage-structured population model. The data were a 15-year record of brook trout abundance from 72 sites distributed across a 170-km-long mountain range in Shenandoah National Park, Virginia, USA. Population vital rates responded differently to weather and site-specific conditions. Specifically, young-of-year survival was most strongly affected by spring temperature, adult survival by elevation and per-capita recruitment by winter precipitation. Low fall precipitation and high winter precipitation, the latter of which is predicted to increase under climate change for the study region, had the strongest negative effects on trout populations. Simulations show that trout abundance could be greatly reduced under constant high winter precipitation, consistent with the expected effects of gravel-scouring flows on eggs and newly hatched individuals. However, high-elevation sites would be less vulnerable to local extinction because they supported higher adult survival. Furthermore, the majority of brook trout populations are projected to persist if high winter precipitation occurs only intermittently (≤3 of 5 years) due to density-dependent recruitment. Variable drivers of vital rates should be commonly found in animal populations characterized by ontogenetic changes in habitat, and such stage-structured effects may increase population persistence to changing climate by not affecting all life stages simultaneously. Yet, our results also demonstrate that weather patterns during seemingly less consequential seasons (e.g., winter precipitation) can have major impacts on animal population dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]