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Relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is associated with poor outcomes and resistance to therapy. The addition of venetoclax, a BCL-2 antagonist, to lower-intensity therapies results in improved survival in the first-line setting compared to monotherapy with a hypomethylating agent or low-dose cytarabine. Despite this, much remains unknown about the performance of venetoclax with a hypomethylating agent following the first-line setting. Additionally, while the ELN 2022 guidelines appear to improve the prognostication of AML, clarification is needed to determine how the revision applies to lower-intensity strategies. To investigate this, we retrospectively analyzed the performance of venetoclax with decitabine or azacitidine in relapsed or refractory AML under the ELN 2022 guidelines. We demonstrated that the ELN 2022 revision is not optimized for lower-intensity venetoclax-based strategies. To refine the prognostication schema, we showed significantly improved response and survival benefits for patients with mutated NPM1 and IDH. Relatively, patients with mutated NRAS, KRAS, and FLT3-ITD were associated with inferior response and survival. Furthermore, there is an unmet clinical need for tools to improve the selection of lower-intensity therapy candidates with borderline functional status. Using an incremental survival computation method, we discovered that a CCI score threshold of 5 distinguishes patients at an elevated risk of death. Together, these novel findings highlight areas of refinement to improve survival in relapsed or refractory AML., (© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)