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The paper discusses the nutrient-plankton system with effect of time delay in nutrient recycling and toxin-determined function response (TDFR). The designed model system explores the delay-induced system dynamics. We present the local stability analysis of interior equilibrium points in absence as well as in presence of time delay. Further, the direction of Hopf bifurcation is obtained. We perform the numerical computation and observe that time delay in nutrient recycling can generate the periodic solution in a stable nutrient-plankton system. Some other essential parameters, such as input concentration of nutrients and natural removal rate of nutrients, also regulate the dynamical system. The system shows Hopf and double-Hopf bifurcation in the presence of time delay. Our study shows that the delay in the nutrient recycling causes instability transition phenomenon. The delay-induced nutrient recycling and different input concentrations of nutrients can regulate the estuarine system. Finally, the stability switching is observed for delayed system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this study, we present a delayed predator–prey model with cannibalism including a prey, a juvenile predator and an adult predator. The adult predator hunts not only the prey but also the juvenile predator. The alternative resource is considered to reduce cannibalism in predator species. The main results are demonstrated by local stability and Hopf bifurcation. Sufficient criteria for local stability of the interior equilibrium point and the exhibition of a Hopf bifurcation are derived. Global stability is analyzed via designing a suitable Lyapunov function. Additionally, stability of the Hopf bifurcation is explored. Finally, numerical simulations are executed to validate the obtained results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The crux of present investigation is to develop an interval-valued population model for the interaction between phytoplankton, zooplankton and fish population under cyrtoid type functional response. The present study is also concerned to analyze the mathematical model under impreciseness and the parametric functional form for an interval valued model parameters. The boundedness, existence of the solution, stability analysis and all possible feasible equilibrium points have been examined. The optimal harvesting strategy has been implemented and obtained the optimal solution with the help of the Pontryagin maximum principle. The significant impact of interval valued biological parameters has been analyzed and portrayed by means of graph for given different fit values, approximate to the model system in real scenario. • An interval valued fuzzy model for interaction between plankton-fish population in marine ecosystem is developed mathematically. • Existence of the solutions and model stability analysis has been carried out. • Optimal harvesting strategy has been performed and obtained the optimal solutions with the help of Pontryagin maximum principal. • Time series analysis and phase portrait have been examined by means of graph. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we analyze a model of Influenza spread with an asymptotic transmission rate, wherein the disease transmission rate and death rate are considered as fuzzy sets. Comparative studies of the equilibrium points of the disease for the classical and fuzzy models are performed. Using the concept of probability measure and fuzzy expected value, we obtain the fuzzy basic reproduction number for groups of infected individuals with different virus loads. Further, a basic reproduction number for the classical and the fuzzy model are compared. Finally, a program based on the basic reproduction value of disease control is suggested and the numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the analytical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cannibalism is an intriguing life history trait, that has been considered primarily in the predator, in predator-prey population models. Recent experimental evidence shows that prey cannibalism can have a significant impact on predator-prey population dynamics in natural communities. Motivated by these experimental results, we investigate a ratio-dependent Holling-Tanner model, where cannibalism occurs simultaneously in both the predator and prey species. We show that depending on parameters, whilst prey or predator cannibalism acting alone leads to instability, their joint effect can actually stabilize the unstable interior equilibrium. Furthermore, in the spatially explicit model, we find that depending on parameters, prey and predator cannibalism acting jointly can cause spatial patterns to form, while not so acting individually. We discuss ecological consequences of these findings in light of food chain dynamics, invasive species control and climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, an attempt has been made to understand the activity of mean membrane voltage and subsidiary system variables with moment equations (i.e., mean, variance and covariance’s) under noisy environment. We consider a biophysically plausible modified Hindmarsh–Rose (H–R) neural system injected by an applied current exhibiting spiking–bursting phenomenon. The effects of predominant parameters on the dynamical behavior of a modified H–R system are investigated. Numerically, it exhibits period-doubling, period halving bifurcation and chaos phenomena. Further, a nonlinear system has been analyzed for the first and second order moments with additive stochastic perturbations. It has been solved using fourth order Runge–Kutta method and noisy systems by Euler’s scheme. It has been demonstrated that the firing properties of neurons to evoke an action potential in a certain parameter space of the large exact systems can be estimated using an approximated model. Strong stimulation can cause a change in increase or decrease of the firing patterns. Corresponding to a fixed set of parameter values, the firing behavior and dynamical differences of the collective variables of a large, exact and approximated systems are investigated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The bloom of toxin producing phytoplankton (TPP) is an environmental issue due to its negative impact on fresh water and marine ecology. In this paper, such a phenomenon is modeled using the reaction-diffusion equations. The spatiotemporal interaction among non-toxin producing phytoplankton (NTP), TPP, and zooplankton has been considered with Holling type II and III functional responses. The stability analysis for non-spatial and spatial model system is carried out and numerical simulations are performed for a fixed set of parameter values, which is realistic to planktonic dynamics. It has been observed that on increasing the reduction rate of zooplankton, the system shows cyclic to stable behavior. The result shows that the predators which avoid to toxic prey promote the bloom. Non-Turing patchy pattern has also been observed on time evolution. In this work, we have taken the case study of Sundarban mangrove wetland which is suffering from algal bloom due to the presence of toxic Dinoflagellates and Cyanophyceae. Through the numerical simulation, it has been shown that the higher value of reduction rate of zooplankton () is responsible for bad health of the wetland system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a nonlinear spatial model is proposed and analyzed to study the effect of pollution on biological population. It is assumed that the pollutants enter into the environment not directly by the population but by a precursor produced by the population itself. It is further assumed that larger the population, faster the precursor is produced, and larger the precursor, faster the pollutant is produced. Criteria for nonlinear stability and instability for both spatial and non-spatial models are obtained. The various parameter ranges for stable homogeneous solutions are identified. By the simulation experiments, it is observed that by applying an appropriate effort F , the population density P can be maintained at a higher equilibrium level. It is also shown that the equilibrium level of the concentration of precursor pollutant, concentration of pollutant in the environment and in the population decrease due to the effort F. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, the complex dynamics of a spatial aquatic system in the presence of self- and cross-diffusion are investigated. Criteria for local stability, instability and global stability are obtained. The effect of critical wavelength which can drive a system to instability is investigated. We noticed that cross-diffusion coefficient can be quite significant, even for small values of off-diagonal terms in the diffusion matrix. With the help of numerical simulation, we observed the Turing patterns (spots, strips, spot-strips mixture), regular spiral patterns and irregular patchy structures. The beauty and complexity of the Turing patterns are attributed to a large variety of symmetry properties realized by different values of predator's immunity, rate of fish predation and half saturation constant of predator population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Most of the infectious diseases associated with human population are still a threat to become epidemic in the globe. Mathematical models have been an important tool to study the complex behavior of infectious diseases. In this paper a deterministic SVIRS epidemic model with Holling type II incidence rate and treatment rate including three delays is investigated. Local stability of disease equilibrium and existence of Hopf bifurcation are discussed explicitly. Then, direction and stability of the bifurcated periodic solutions are determined. Finally, with the suitable choices of the parameters, numerical simulations are presented in order to verify effectiveness of the obtained theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A delayed SEIRS worm propagation model with the inclusion of a finite communication radius and node density for wireless sensor networks is investigated in this paper. By using different combinations of the three delays as bifurcating parameter and analyzing distribution of roots of the corresponding characteristic equation, sufficient conditions are derived for local stability of the endemic equilibrium and the existence of a Hopf bifurcation at the endemic equilibrium are addressed. By constructing a suitable Lyapunov function, sufficient conditions for global stability of the endemic equilibrium are determined. Finally, numerical simulations for a set of parameter values are performed to illustrate the analytical findings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We propose an e-epidemic time-delay Susceptible-Latent-Breaking out-Susceptible (S L B S ) model to study delay dynamics appearing due to antivirus software, which takes time to clean the viruses from latent and breaking-out computers. We perform nonlinear stability analysis, Hopf bifurcation analysis, and its direction and stability. Numerical simulation results (time series analysis and bifurcation diagram) give useful insights for delay dynamics. We investigate the effect of the control parameters like rate of infection of all the classes and cure rates on the model system. Our results suggest that time delay is responsible for destabilizing the system dynamics. For smooth functionality of a computer system, our results suggest the minimum use of removable storage devices like smart phones, optical discs, memory cards, external hard disk, digital cameras, and so on and use of effective antivirus softwares. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]