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Estuaries are an important component of the global carbon budget as sites of removal and transformation for carbon between land and coastal ocean. Drought conditions can lengthen river and estuarine water residence time, which can extend the retention and alter the cycling of organic carbon and nutrients. To better understand the functioning of an estuary under the current threat of climate change related droughts, we use the Elbe Estuary as an example, examining a period since 1997, when annual mean DIC in the mid to lower Elbe Estuary increased significantly, and with focus on the drought conditions since 2014. The recent (1997-2020) significant DIC increase by 6 to 15 µmol L-1 yr-1 we found is due to increase in upper estuary POC content of 8-14 µmol L-1 yr-1 in late spring and summer (May-August). The significant increase in POC was associated with dominating autotrophy (with negative AOU and pH > 9), and an overall improvement in water quality shown in significant (> 50%) decrease in BOD7 since 1997. We found that microbial respiration of organic matter from upstream regions accounted for most of the DIC produced in the mid-estuary, therefore, the increased POC is efficiently remineralized to DIC by the mid-estuary region.The Elbe River and estuary was subject to significantly lower river discharge between 2014 and 2020 (468 ± 234 m3 s-1), nearly 40% of the long-term average (1960-2020, 690 ± 441 m3 s-1). In addition, May was the only month with a significant negative trend in mean monthly river discharge from 1997, and down to 264 ± 19 m3 s-1 by 2020, a discharge usually observed during summer and early autumn. During the recent drought period (2014-2020), the internal gain in the carbon load as DIC in the mid to lower estuary was significantly higher, by up to 3 times, compared to the non-drought period (1997-2013). This suggests that the drought in the Elbe watershed caused a significant reduction in the average river discharge in May, likely increasing the residence time in the estuary, subsequently permitting a longer period for remineralisation of POC and greatest production of DIC in the mid-lower Elbe Estuary.

Estuaries are an important contributor to the global carbon budget, facilitating carbon removal, transfer and transformation between land and coastal ocean. Estuaries are also susceptible to global climate change and anthropogenic perturbations. We find that a long-term significant increase in dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) of 6–21 µmol kg-1 yr-1 (1997–2020) in a temperate estuary in Germany (Elbe Estuary), was driven by an increase in upper estuary particulate organic carbon (POC) content of 8–14 µmol kg-1 yr-1. The temporal POC increase was due to an overall improvement in water quality observed in the form of high rates of primary production and a significant drop in biological oxygen demand. The magnitude of mid-estuary DIC gain was equivalent to the increased POC production in the upper estuary, suggesting that POC is efficiently remineralized and retained as DIC in the mid-estuary, with the estuary acting as an efficient natural filter for POC. In the context of the significant DIC increase, the impact of a recent extensive drought period (2014–2020) significantly lowered the annual mean river discharge (468 ± 234 m3 s-1) compared to the long-term mean (690 ± 441 m3 s-1, 1960–2020). During the drought period, the late spring internal DIC load in the estuary doubled. This suggests that the drought induced a longer dry season, starting in May (earlier than normal), increased the residence time in the estuary and allowed for a longer remineralization period for POC. Annually, 77–94 % of the total DIC export was laterally transported to coastal water, reaching 89 ± 4.8 Gmol C yr-1, and thus only a maximum of 23 %, at 10 Gmol C yr-1, was released via carbon dioxide (CO2) evasion, between 1997 and 2020. Export of DIC to coastal waters decreased significantly during the drought (2014–2020: 38 ± 5.4 Gmol C yr-1), on average by 24 % compared to the non-drought period. In addition, we have identified that seasonal changes in DIC processing in an estuary require consideration in order to understand both the long-term and future changes in air-water CO2 flux, DIC export to coastal waters, as well as the impacts of prolonged droughts on the land-ocean carbonate system.

Climate projections show high temperature extremes, meteorological droughts and heavy precipitation events are set to increase across Europe (Barros et al., 2014), where the decadel average has already increaed, with temperature in 2002-2011 already 1.3°C±0.1°C above the 1850-1899 mean (Barros et al., 2014). The observed seasonal precipitation pattern presents drier summers and wetter winters across Europe, also mirrored in river flow changes. Across small river catchments in Europe from 1962 to 2004, winter period showed positive trends whereas summers were characterized by negative trends in river flow (Stahl et al., 2010). Such changes can alter the residence time of an estuary. Estuaries are biogeochemical hotspots, and critical zones for carbon cycling, and changes in the hydrological balance, still largely not well characterized, may influence processes within the water column. The present study will assess the potential impacts of droughts on the carbonate system in the Elbe estuary. One of the largest in central Europe, the Elbe River catchment spreads over approximately 150,000 km2 in four countries. Between 2014 and 2018, regions of Northern Germany have been under drought conditions during certain months (UFZ, 2018), reducing discharge in the Elbe River. From 2014, annual Elbe river discharge has been relatively low, where 2018 exhibited the lowest annual mean river discharge of 441 m3 s-1 since 1992. Model projections show the annual river discharge for the Elbe river is likely to remain low at 410 m2 s-1 in 2046-2055 compared to >550 m2 s-1 in 1960-1990 (Krysanova et al., 2005).Analysis of the long-term FGG Elbe (Flussgebietsgemeinschaft Elbe) records of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) in the mid to lower Elbe estuary show that over spring and summer months DIC values have increased with time (1997-2018). In this period, DIC increased from the freshwater to the mesohaline region, followed by a decrease to the polyhaline zone. This is opposing to previous DIC patterns in the early 1980s, where DIC decreased towards the mid-estuary after which increased to the outer estuary. An increase in DIC in the mid-estuarine region coincided with increased turbidity and extended residence time, and during the productive months with higher organic matter from upstream regions. This could suggest that more time for heterotrophic activity and availability of labile organic matter, acts to enrich DIC within the water column in the turbid regions, thus changing carbon cycling within the estuary. Further analysis will focus on the changes in river discharge and inorganic carbon during the past two decades, thus inclusive of low discharge and drought conditions.

Water reservoirs around the world suffer from accelerated sediment loads and, consequently, contamination. Notably, in water-scarce regions such as Jordan, this poses a threat to an important water source, and identifying the sediment sources is an important task. Thus, a sediment fingerprinting study in the Wadi Al-Arab catchment of northern Jordan was implemented with special attention directed to the development of suitable correction factors necessary to improve the comparability of source and sink sediments. The selection of seven conservative elements for the sediment fingerprinting was made, with specific attention directed to the chemical environment of the reservoir. Thirty-six samples from six different surface and subsurface sources and 38 sink samples from the Wadi Al-Arab reservoir were collected. In total, 27 organic and inorganic elements as well as radionuclides were analysed. Two vertical physicochemical water profiles provided information on the pH and Eh conditions and common element concentrations. The stepwise multiple regression analysis model (SMRAM) was developed to explore parameters that influence the element concentrations and their interrelations, and to calculate an element-specific correction factor. The standard selection procedure was expanded by the comparison of water and sink sediment element concentrations, a literature review concerning the pH and Eh conditions and, in selected cases, a correlation analysis. The combination of Al, Cr, Mn, Fe, 232Th, 228Th and 137Cs provided the best source discrimination, and based on Monte Carlo simulations, the mixing model revealed the existence of three major sediment source areas. These are as follows: (i) olive orchards on slopes, which delivered 59 ± 8 % of the sediments in the sink; (ii) cultivated fields on plateau and saddle positions contributed 11 ± 9 %; and (iii) slopes with natural vegetation used for grazing contributed 29 ± 15 % of the deposited sediment. With a mean residual error of 1.04 %, the sum of the source concentrations differs only slightly from sink concentrations and proves that the model is reliable. The SMRAM model revealed that the different inorganic (total inorganic carbon, TIC) and organic (total organic carbon, TOC) carbon contents and the clay/sand content influence the element concentrations of the sediment samples. Due to the carbonatic environment, it was mainly necessary to correct for TIC. Applying an expanded literature review regarding the chemical environment under investigation, in addition to the standard mass conservation and Kruskal-Wallis test, prevented possible non-conservative elements from entering the discriminant analysis.

Roman cisterns served as rainwater storage devices for centuries and are densely distributed in parts of northern Jordan. A major earthquake hit the region ca. A.D. 750 and in a short time many settlements were abandoned. As a consequence, most cisterns were not maintained, and they filled with sediments that today provide a postabandonment depositional record. In two field surveys, we mapped the locations of more than 100 cisterns in the Wadi Al-Arab basin and selected two for detailed stratigraphic analysis that included 14C and optically stimulated luminescence dating. Catchment basin area for each cistern was determined by differential GPS. Both cisterns filled with sediments after the great earthquake and consequent abandonment of the region. Calculated sediment volumes are translated to long-term average sediment export rates of 2.6–6.6 t ha−1a−1, which are comparable to erosion and sediment yield rates from other studies within the Mediterranean region. Our pilot study suggests that this approach can be applied elsewhere to calculate long-term sediment export rates on hill slopes containing relict cisterns.