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Our understanding of the full range of natural variability in streamflow, including how modern flow compares to the past, is poorly understood for the Upper Indus Basin because of short instrumental gauge records. To help address this challenge, we use Hierarchical Bayesian Regression with partial pooling to develop six centuries long (1394–2008 CE) streamflow reconstructions at three Upper Indus Basin gauges (Doyian, Gilgit, and Kachora), concurrently demonstrating that Hierarchical Bayesian Regression can be used to reconstruct short records with interspersed missing data. At one gauge (Partab Bridge), with a longer instrumental record (47 years), we develop reconstructions using both Bayesian regression and the more conventionally used principal components regression. The reconstructions produced by principal components regression and Bayesian regression at Partab Bridge are nearly identical and yield comparable reconstruction skill statistics, highlighting that the resulting tree ring reconstruction of streamflow is not dependent on the choice of statistical method. Reconstructions at all four reconstructions indicate that flow levels in the 1990s were higher than mean flow for the past six centuries. While streamflow appears most sensitive to accumulated winter (January–March) precipitation and summer (May–September) temperature, with warm summers contributing to high flow through increased melt of snow and glaciers, shifts in winter precipitation and summer temperatures cannot explain the anomalously high flow during the 1990s. Regardless, the sensitivity of streamflow to summer temperatures suggests that projected warming may increase streamflow in coming decades, though long‐term water risk will additionally depend on changes in snowfall and glacial mass balance. Tree ring reconstructions of streamflow in the Upper Indus Basin show wetter conditions in the 1990s compared to the last 600 yearsReconstructions are insensitive to the choice of statistical method used (principal components versus Bayesian regression)Streamflow is most sensitive to winter precipitation and summer temperature, but anomalies in these seasons cannot explain recent high flow

Some of the oldest and most important trees used for dendroclimatic reconstructions develop strip‐bark morphology, in which only a portion of the stem contains living tissue. Yet the ecophysiological factors initiating strip bark and the potential effect of cambial dieback on annual ring widths and tree‐ring estimates of past climate remain poorly understood. Using a combination of field observations and tree‐ring data, we investigate the causes and timing of cambial dieback events in Pinus sibiricastrip‐bark trees from central Mongolia and compare the radial growth rates and trends of strip‐bark and whole‐bark trees over the past 515 years. Results indicate that strip bark is more common on the southern aspect of trees, and dieback events were most prevalent in the 19th century, a cold and dry period. Further, strip‐bark and whole‐bark trees have differing centennial trends, with strip‐bark trees exhibiting notably large increases in ring widths at the beginning of the 20th century. We find a steeper positive trend in the strip‐bark chronology relative to the whole‐bark chronology when standardizing with age‐dependent splines. We hypothesize that localized warming on the southern side of stems due to solar irradiance results in physiological damage and dieback and leads to increasing tree‐ring increment along the living portion of strip‐bark trees. Because the impact of cambial dieback on ring widths likely varies depending on species and site, we suggest conducting a comparison of strip‐bark and whole‐bark ring widths before statistically treating ring‐width data for climate reconstructions. Cambial dieback is localized on the southern side of trees, suggesting a link between solar irradiance and stem injuryStrip‐ and whole‐bark trees have different radial growth trends, which can have implications for tree‐ring reconstructionsRadial growth of strip‐bark trees increased rapidly in the early 20th century following extensive stem dieback in the 19th century

Hydroclimate variability in tropical South America is strongly regulated by the South American Summer Monsoon (SASM). However, past precipitation changes are poorly constrained due to limited observations and high‐resolution paleoproxies. We found that summer precipitation and the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability are well registered in tree‐ring stable oxygen isotopes (δ18OTR) of Polylepis tarapacanain the Chilean and Bolivian Altiplano in the Central Andes (18–22°S, ∼4,500 m a.s.l.) with the northern forests having the strongest climate signal. More enriched δ18OTRvalues were found at the southern sites likely due to the increasing aridity toward the southwest of the Altiplano. The climate signal of P. tarapacana δ18OTRis the combined result of moisture transported from the Amazon Basin, modulated by the SASM, ENSO, and local evaporation, and emerges as a novel tree‐ring climate proxy for the southern tropical Andes. Understanding past climatic changes in the Central Andes in tropical South America is of great importance to contextualize current hydroclimatic conditions. Here, we present the first P. tarapacanatree‐ring stable oxygen isotope (δ18OTR) chronologies and analyze their value as environmental records for this region. Locally known as queñoa, P. tarapacanagrows in the South American Altiplano from 16°S to 23°S at very high elevations (up to 5,100 m a.s.l), making it the highest elevation tree species worldwide. We analyze P. tarapacana δ18OTRfrom 1950 to present and find that it registers precipitation changes in the Altiplano and the El Niño ‐ Southern Oscillation (ENSO). We suggest that δ18OTRis likely affected by soil evaporation and leaf transpiration due to the high solar radiation and aridity in the Altiplano, leading to an enrichment in δ18OTRvalues with a more pronounced effect at the more arid sites. P. tarapacana δ18OTRreflects the atmospheric processes transporting moisture to the Altiplano and the influence of local evaporation. Our findings are relevant for generating robust hydroclimate reconstructions in the Central Andes to improve circulation models and provide better management of water resources in tropical South America. Tree‐ring stable oxygen isotopes of Polylepis tarapacanarecord austral summer precipitation variability in the South American AltiplanoEl Niño‐Southern Oscillation is imprinted in the tree‐ring oxygen isotopes with a stronger signal toward the north of the studied area Tree‐ring stable oxygen isotopes of Polylepis tarapacanarecord austral summer precipitation variability in the South American Altiplano El Niño‐Southern Oscillation is imprinted in the tree‐ring oxygen isotopes with a stronger signal toward the north of the studied area

•The Terminal Warehouse timbers were likely harvested from Georgia or Alabama, US.•Tree-ring analysis provides insight on the logging industry during the 19th century.•Timber preservation is important for history, science, and the environment.