1. Spatial Bayesian surveillance for small area case event data
- Author
-
Andrew B. Lawson, Chawarat Rotejanaprasert, Deborah Hurley, and Susan Bolick-Aldrich
- Subjects
Statistics and Probability ,Kullback–Leibler divergence ,Epidemiology ,Computer science ,South Carolina ,Bayesian probability ,Context (language use) ,computer.software_genre ,01 natural sciences ,Article ,010104 statistics & probability ,03 medical and health sciences ,Bayes' theorem ,0302 clinical medicine ,Spatio-Temporal Analysis ,Health Information Management ,Cluster Analysis ,Humans ,Confidentiality ,Computer Simulation ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Prospective Studies ,0101 mathematics ,Cluster analysis ,Lymphoma, Non-Hodgkin ,Bayes Theorem ,Logistic Models ,ROC Curve ,Epidemiological Monitoring ,Data mining ,computer - Abstract
There has been little development of surveillance procedures for epidemiological data with fine spatial resolution such as case events at residential address locations. This is often due to difficulties of access when confidentiality of medical records is an issue. However, when such data are available, it is important to be able to affect an appropriate analysis strategy. We propose a model for point events in the context of prospective surveillance based on conditional logistic modeling. A weighted conditional autoregressive model is developed for irregular lattices to account for distance effects, and a Dirichlet tessellation is adopted to define the neighborhood structure. Localized clustering diagnostics are compared including the proposed local Kullback–Leibler information criterion. A simulation study is conducted to examine the surveillance and detection methods, and a data example is provided of non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma data in South Carolina.
- Published
- 2016