Background In recent decades, ischemic stroke is increasingly prevalent, which has become the second leading cause of death and disability in the world. Insulin resistance and obesity are closely related to the development of ischemic stroke. At present, a number of studies have confirmed that obesity is associated with a variety of metabolic diseases and the role of insulin resistance played in the pathogenesis. But it is still unclear whether TyG, an indicator of insulin resistance, and TyG combined with obesity indicators can be used to predict ischemic stroke. Objective To assess the influencing factors of TyG, and its combination with different obesity indicators for new-onset ischemic stroke in a cohort of middle-aged and elderly people during a 10-year follow-up . Methods A prospective cohort design was used. The cohort included 9 406 middle-aged and elderly individuals who attended the 2011 Epidemiological Survey on Cancer Risk in Type 2 Diabetics conducted in six communities in Luzhou (including Qiancao, Xiaoshi, Longmatan, Baolaiqiao, Dashanping and Yutang) . Baseline data were collected, including TyG and its combination with different obesity indicators〔TyG-waist circumference (WC) , TyG-waist-to-height-ratio (WHtR) , TyG-body mass index (BMI) , and TyG-waist-to-hip-ratio (WHR) 〕. A 5-year follow-up initiated since June to November 2016, and a 10-year follow-up initiated since April to June 2021 were conducted, with new-onset ischemic stroke incidence (obtained through Luzhou Health Commission and Luzhou Center for Disease Control & Prevention) as an endpoint. For assessing the predictive value of baseline TyG, TyG-WC, TyG-WHtR, TyG-BMI, and TyG-WHR for new-onset ischemic stroke, patients were divided into quartiles of TyG〔Q1 (n=2 351) , Q2 (n=2 351) , Q3 (n=2 352) , Q4 (n=2 352) 〕, quartiles of TyG-WC〔Q1 (n=2 351) , Q2 (n=2 352) , Q3 (n=2 352) , Q4 (n=2 351) 〕, quartiles of TyG-WHtR〔Q1 (n=2 349) , Q2 (n=2 349) , Q3 (n=2 348) , Q4 (n=2 348) 〕, and quartiles of TyG-BMI〔Q1 (n=2 351) , Q2 (n=2 352) , Q3 (n=2 352) , Q4 (n=2 351) 〕, quartiles of TyG-WHR〔Q1 (n=2 343) , Q2 (n=2 343) , Q3 (n=2 342) , Q4 (n=2 342) 〕, respectively. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to explore the relationship between TyG, TYG-WC, TYG-WTHR, TYG-BMI, TYG-WHR and new ischemic stroke in the elderly. Results During the follow-up period, 527 (5.6%) of the 9 406 middle-aged and elderly people had new-onset ischemic stroke. After adjusting for multiple confounding variables, multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that the risk of new ischemic stroke in the fourth quartile group of TyG was 1.569 times higher than that in the first quartile group of TyG〔OR=1.569, 95%CI (1.007, 2.437) , P=0.046〕. The risk of new ischemic stroke increased by a factor of 1.467, 2.012, and 2.132 in the second, third and fourth quartile groups of TyG-WC〔 OR=1.467, 95%CI (1.010, 2.131) , P=0.044; OR=2.012, 95%CI (1.270, 3.187) , P=0.003; OR=2.132, 95%CI (1.119, 4.063) , P=0.021〕compared with that in the first quartile group of TyG-WC. The risk of new ischemic stroke increased by a factor of 1.481, 1.548, and 1.705 in the second, third and fourth quartile groups of TyG-BMI 〔OR=1.481, 95%CI (1.071, 2.048) , P=0.018; OR=1.548, 95%CI (1.066, 2.247) , P=0.022; OR=1.705, 95%CI (1.054, 2.759) , P=0.030〕compared with that in the first quartile group of TyG-BMI. Conclusion The risk of new-onset ischemic stroke in middle-aged and elderly type 2 diabetics in Luzhou increased with the elevation of TyG-WC and TyG-BMI, so TyG-WC and TyG-BMI may be predictors of new-onset ischemic stroke in this population.