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In the present paper, we develop a non-homogeneous semi-Markov reward model, deriving expressions for a healthcare system's expected structure along with the expected costs generated by medical services and patients' holding times in the states. We provide a novel definition and investigation for states' availability, which is critical for capacity planning based on service demand in an environment of limited resources. The study is based on patients' mobility through hospital care, where each patient spends an amount of time in every state of the hospital (emergency room, short-term acute care, hospitalization, surgery room, and intensive care unit). Multiple outcomes, such as discharge or death, can also be taken into account. We envisage a situation where any discharges are immediately replaced by a number of new admissions that carry on the pathways of the patients who exit. By assuming an expanding system, the new idea of states' inflows is considered due to new patients who create pathways through hospital care, along with internal entrances. The theoretical results are illustrated numerically with simulated hospital data informed by aggregated public data of the Greek public health sector. The framework can be used for both strategic planning and cost evaluation purposes for hospital resources. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper proposes a novel route optimization framework to solve the problem of instant pick-up and delivery for e-grocery orders. The proposed framework extends the traditional time-windowed package delivery problem. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach for this integrated problem using actual delivery data from HepsiJet, a leading e-commerce logistics provider in Turkey. We first employ several machine learning algorithms and simulations to investigate the capacity of the courier. Subsequently, a dynamic route planning workflow is executed with a highly specialized and novel routing algorithm. Our proposed heuristic approach considers combined fleet operations for delivering regular packages originating from a central depot and dynamic e-grocery orders picked up at local supermarkets and delivered to the customers. The heuristic algorithm constitutes k-opt and node transfer operation variations customized for this integrated problem. We report the performance of our approach in problem instances from the literature and instances from HepsiJet's daily operations, which we also publicly share as new route optimization problem instances. Our results suggest that, despite the more complex nature of the integrated problem, our proposed algorithm and solution framework produce more efficient and cost-effective solutions that offer additional business opportunities for companies such as HepsiJet. The computational analyses reveal that implementing our proposed approach yields significant efficiency gains and cost reductions for the company, with a distance reduction of over 30%, underscoring our approach's effectiveness in achieving substantial cost savings and enhanced efficiency through integrating two distinct delivery operations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents a quantitative assessment of the value of hydroelectric power plants (HPPs) in power systems with a significant penetration of variable renewable energy sources (VRESs). Through a capacity expansion planning (CEP) model that incorporates a detailed representation of HPP operating principles, the study investigates the construction and application of HPP rule curves essential for seasonal operation. A comparative analysis is also conducted between the proposed rule curve formulation and alternative modeling techniques from the literature. The CEP model optimizes installed capacities per technology to achieve predefined VRES penetration targets, considering hourly granularity and separate rule curves for each HPP. A case study involving twelve reservoir hydropower stations and two open-loop pumped hydro stations is examined, accounting for standalone plants and cascaded hydro systems across six river basins. The study evaluates the additional generation and storage required to replace the hydropower fleet under high VRES penetration levels, assessing the resulting increases in total system cost emanating from introducing such new investments. Furthermore, the study approximates the storage capabilities of HPPs and investigates the impact of simplified HPP modeling on system operation and investment decisions. Overall, the findings underscore the importance of reevaluating hydro rule curves for future high VRES penetration conditions and highlight the significance of HPPs in the energy transition towards carbon neutrality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This work presents an implementation of a Nested Decomposition Algorithm (NDA) applied to co-optimizing generation and transmission capacity expansion planning problems in power systems, including operational flexibility constraints. The proposed methodology has been gaining relevance in recent years, as it can efficiently solve large mixed-integer problems faster than the conventional extensive formulation (mixed-integer linear programming). Three case studies are conducted on two IEEE test power systems to evaluate the algorithm's performance and cut configuration. The first case study compares the performance between the NDA and the extensive formulation. The second case study compares the performance of each cut type, analyzing differences in simulation times and algorithm convergence. The third case study proposes a set of cut patterns based on the prior outcomes, whose performance and convergence are tested. Based on the simulation results, conclusions are drawn about the capability and performance of the NDA applied to the capacity expansion planning problem. The study shows that obtaining results with reasonable convergence in less simulation time is possible using a particular pattern. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In recent years, global warming and environmental problems have become more serious due to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Harvesting solar energy for production and logistic activities in supply chains, including factories and distribution centers, has been promoted as an effective means to reduce GHG emissions. However, it is difficult to balance the supply and demand of solar energy, owing to its intermittent nature, i.e., the output depends on the daylight and season. Moreover, the use of large-capacity solar power generation systems and batteries incurs higher installation costs. In order to maintain low costs, demand-to-supply management of solar energy, based on appropriate seasonal analysis of power generation and consumption and the capacity planning for power generation and the storage battery, is necessary. In this study, the on-demand cumulative control method is applied to actual power consumption data and solar power generation data estimated at a distribution center. Moreover, the monthly, seasonal, and temporal characteristics of power generation and consumption at the distribution center are analyzed. Additionally, the total amount of power purchased is investigated for solar energy demand-to-supply management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A bi-objective joint optimization planning approach that combines component sizing and short-term operational planning into a single model with demand response strategies to realize a techno-economically feasible renewable energy-based microgrid is discussed in this paper. The system model includes a photovoltaic system, wind turbine, and battery. An enhanced demand response program with dynamic pricing devised based on instantaneous imbalances between surplus, deficit, and the battery's power capacity is developed. A quantitative metric for assessing energy storage performance is also proposed and utilized. Emergency, critical peak pricing, and power capacity-based dynamic pricing (PCDP) demand response programs (DRPs) are comparatively analyzed to determine the most cost-effective planning approach. Four simulation scenarios to determine the most techno-economic planning approach are formulated and solved using a mixed-integer linear programming algorithm optimization solver with the epsilon constraint method in Matlab. The objective function is to minimize the total annualized costs (TACs) while satisfying the reliability criterion regarding the loss of power supply probability and energy storage dependency. The results show that including the DRP resulted in a significant reduction in TACs and system component capacities. The cost-benefit of incorporating PCDP DRP strategies in the planning model increases the overall system flexibility. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precise route planning needs huge amounts of trajectory data recorded in multimedia devices. The data, including each user's location privacy, are stored as cipher text. The ability to plan routes on an encrypted trajectory database is an urgent necessity. In this paper, in order to plan a public route while protecting privacy, we design a hybrid encrypted random bloom filter (RBF) tree on encrypted databases, named the encrypted random bloom filter (eRBF) tree, which supports pruning and a secure, fast k nearest neighbor search. Based on the encrypted random bloom filter tree and secure computation of distance, we first propose a reverse k nearest neighbor trajectory search on encrypted databases (RkNNToE). It returns all transitions, in which each takes the query trajectory as one of its k nearest neighbor trajectories on the encrypted database. The results can be the indicator of a new route's capacity in route planning. The security of the trajectory and query is proven via the simulation proof technique. When the number of points in the trajectory database and transition database are 1174 and 18,670, respectively, the time cost of an R2NNToE is about 1200 s. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a multi-server queueing system providing service to two correlated flows of requests was considered. Non-preemptive priority was granted to one flow via the preliminary delay of requests in the intermediate buffers with different rates of extracting from the buffers. Customers' impatience during waiting in the intermediate and main buffers was taken into account. The possibility of the use of the results of the mathematical analysis for managerial goals is numerically illustrated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Software-defined measurement (SDM) is a simple and efficient way to deploy measurement tasks and collect measurement data. With SDM, it is convenient for operators to implement fine-grained network-wide measurements at the flow level, from which many important functions can benefit. The prior work provides mechanisms to distribute flows to monitors, such that each monitor can identify its non-overlapped subset of flows to measure, and a certain global performance criterion is optimized, such as load balance or flow coverage. Many applications of network management can benefit from a function that can find large flows efficiently, such as congestion control by dynamically scheduling large flows, caching of forwarding table entries, and network capacity planning. However, the current network-wide measurements neglect the diversity of different flows as they treat large flows and small flows equally. In this paper, we present a mechanism of accuracy-aware collaborative monitoring (ACM) to improve the measurement accuracies of large flows in network-wide measurements at the flow level. The structure of the sketch is an approximate counting algorithm, and a high-measurement accuracy can be achieved by merging the results from multiple monitors with sketches, which is termed as collaborative monitoring. The core idea of our method is to allocate more monitors to large flows and achieve the load balance to provide accuracy-aware monitoring. We modeled our problem as an integer–linear programming problem, which is NP-hard. Thus, we propose an approximation algorithm, named the improved longest processing time algorithm (iLPTA); we proved that its approximation ratio is (1 2 + n l) . We propose a two-stage online distribution algorithm (TODA). Moreover, we proved that its approximation ratio is (1 + n l − 1) . The iLPTA is an offline approximation algorithm used to assign monitors for each flow, which prove the validity and feasibility of the core idea. The TODA is an online algorithm that attempts to achieve the load balance by selecting the monitor with the smallest load to a large flow. Our extensional experiment results verify the effectiveness of our proposed algorithms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The paper presents and solves the problems of modeling and designing the required EV charging service capacity for systems with a slow dynamic component. This includes possible bursts within a peak hour interval. A simulation tool with a newly implemented capacity planning method has been developed and implemented for these needs. The method can be used for different system simulations and simultaneously for systems with high, medium, and low service dynamics. The proposed method is based on a normal distribution, a primary mechanism that describes events within a daily interval (24 h) or a peak hour interval (rush hour). The goal of the presented approach, including the proposed method, is to increase the level and quality of the EV charging service system. The near-optimal solution with the presented method can be found manually by changing the service capacity parameter concerning the criterion function. Manual settings limit the number of rejected events, the time spent in the queue, and other service system performance parameters. In addition to manual search for near-optimal solutions, the method also provides automatic search by using the automation procedure of simulation runs and increasing/decreasing the service capacity parameter by a specifically calculated amount. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The decarbonization of the power system forces the rapid development of electric energy storage (EES). Electricity consumption is the fundamental driving force of carbon emissions in the power system. However, the current EES capacity planning research that considers the load-side carbon emission responsibility is still limited. To fill this research gap, this paper proposes a carbon incentive mechanism while considering load-side carbon emission responsibility. Additionally, a bi-level optimal capacity planning model of the load-side EES based on carbon emission flow (CEF) theory is proposed. The upper level obtained the bus carbon intensities through the optimal economic dispatch and passed them to the lower level. Considering the carbon incentive mechanism, the lower level optimized the EES capacity. Finally, the model was tested by MATLAB/Gurobi in the modified IEEE-39 bus power system. The results show that under the stimulation of the carbon incentive mechanism, the bi-level optimal capacity planning model of the load-side EES could effectively promote peak shaving, valley filling, and carbon reduction. Furthermore, compared with the two existing EES subsidy policies, the proposed carbon incentive mechanism is verified to be more conducive to reducing system carbon emissions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In a competitive electricity market, generation capacities can exactly cover their full costs. However, the real market deviates from this ideal in some aspects. One is the concern of non-existent or insufficient scarcity prices. We present an iterative method in a linear optimization model to investigate the profitability of assets in the absence of scarcity prices and how the system changes when this risk is incorporated into investors' expectations. Therefore, we use a two-step optimization of capacity planning and unit commitment. Iteratively, mark-ups at the height of uncovered costs are added to investment costs. This typically leads to a system with better investment profitability while keeping the system cost increase low. The methodology is applied to a simplified brownfield generation system, targeting CO2-free power generation within 25 years. In a model with annual foresight of actors, iterations result in a generation system with significantly lower (or even no) uncovered costs for new investments within ten or fewer iterations. Our example case with full foresight shows that early-added gas (combined cycle) and wind onshore capacities are able to recover their full costs over a lifetime, even without scarcity prices. However, the contribution margin gap remains high, especially for storage and biomass. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the context of new power systems, reasonable capacity optimization of multiple power systems can not only reduce carbon emissions, but also improve system safety and stability. This paper proposes a situation awareness-based capacity optimization strategy for wind-photovoltaic-thermal power systems and establishes a bi-level model for system capacity optimization. The upper-level model considers environmental protection and economy, and carries out multi-objective optimization of the system capacity planning solution with the objectives of minimizing carbon emissions and total system cost over the whole life cycle of the system, further obtaining a set of capacity planning solutions based on the Pareto frontier. A Pareto optimal solution set decision method based on grey relativity analysis is proposed to quantitatively assess the comprehensive economic–environmental properties of the system. The capacity planning solutions obtained from the upper model are used as the input to the lower model. The lower model integrates system stability, environmental protection, and economy and further optimizes the set of capacity planning solutions obtained from the upper model with the objective of maximizing the inertia security region and the best comprehensive economic–environmental properties to obtain the optimal capacity planning scheme. The NSGA-II modified algorithm (improved NSGA-II algorithm based on dominant strength, INSGA2-DS) is used to solve the upper model, and the Cplex solver is called on to solve the lower model. Finally, the modified IEEE-39 node algorithm is used to verify that the optimized capacity planning scheme can effectively improve the system security and stability and reduce the carbon emissions and total system cost throughout the system life cycle. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study examines the long-term energy capacity investment problem of a power generation company (GenCo), considering the drought threat posed by climate change in hydropower resources in Turkey. The mid-term planning decisions such as maintenance and refurbishment scheduling of power plants are also considered in the studied investment planning problem. In the modeled electricity market, it is assumed that GenCos conduct business in uncertain market conditions with both bilateral contracts (BIC) and day-ahead market (DAM) transactions. The problem is modeled as a fuzzy mixed-integer linear programming model with a fuzzy objective and fuzzy constraints to handle the imprecisions regarding both the electricity market (e.g., prices) and environmental factors (e.g., hydroelectric output due to drought). Bellman and Zadeh's max-min criteria are used to transform the fuzzy capacity investment model into a model with a crisp objective and constraints. The applicability of methodology is illustrated by a case study on the Turkish electric market in which GenCo tries to find the optimal power generation investment portfolio that contains five various generation technologies alternatives, namely, hydropower, wind, conventional and advanced combined-cycle natural gas, and steam (lignite) turbines. The results show that wind turbines with low marginal costs and steam turbines with high energy conversion efficiency are preferable, compared with hydroelectric power plant investments when the fuzziness in hydroelectric output exists (i.e., the expectation of increasing drought conditions as a result of climate change). Furthermore, the results indicate that the gas turbine investments were found to be the least preferable due to high gas prices in all scenarios. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

While there is good evidence supporting the positive effect of planning strategies like implementation intentions on the relationship between intention and behavior, there is less evidence on the moderating role of individual differences in planning capacity on this effect. This study aimed to examine the role of individual differences in planfulness on the effect of planning strategies on the intention–behavior gap. Specifically, this study investigated the influence of planfulness on the effectiveness of implementation intentions on goal-directed behavior using an experimental design. Undergraduate university students (N = 142) with high and low levels of planfulness based on a priori scores on a planfulness measure were randomized to either a planning (implementation intention) or familiarization (control) condition prior to completing a computerized go no-go task. We predicted that individuals reporting low levels of planfulness would be more effective in executing goal-directed behavior when prompted to form an implementation intention compared to individuals who do not receive a prompt. Additionally, we predicted that individuals reporting high planfulness would be equally effective in enacting goal-directed behaviour regardless of whether they formed an implementation intention. The results revealed no main or interaction effects of implementation intention manipulation and planfulness on task reaction times. The current results do not provide support for the moderating effect of planfulness on the implementation effect. The findings of this study were inconsistent with previous literature. This research has implications for the effectiveness of implementation intentions, as well as opportunities for further replication in a novel research area. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

According to South Africa's national energy policy, network penetration of variable renewable energy (VRE) generation will significantly increase by 2030. Increased associated network uncertainty creates the need for an additional flexible generation. As the planned VRE is mostly non-synchronous PV and wind generators, additional ancillary services will also be required. Pumped Storage (PS), which is a well-established flexible generation technology with fast ramping capability and the ability to contribute various ancillary services, could help integrate increased VRE penetration on the South African network. However, in the latest revision of South Africa's energy policy, PS was left out in favor of gas turbines and batteries as favored flexible generation options. This paper explores the two-part hypothesis that PS was disadvantaged in the formulation of a national energy mix due to: (a) ancillary services provided by PS not being explicitly monetized in energy modeling software; (b) the uncertainties associated with project costing assumptions. The value of PS in terms of providing ancillary services is firstly explored using the international literature. Secondly, the impact of input-cost uncertainties is demonstrated by comparing pumped storage, gas turbines, and batteries using levelized cost of energy (LCOE) curves and the Tools for Energy Model Optimization and Analysis (Temoa), North Carolina State University, USA, optimization software. Based on LCOE calculations using revised cost assumptions, it is found that PS may indeed be preferential to gas turbines or batteries, particularly at large load factors. The authors hope that this research contributes to the scientific understanding of the role that PS can play in supporting the integration of generation from renewable sources for effective grid operations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A problem that appears in many decision models is that of the simultaneous occurrence of deterministic, stochastic, and fuzzy values in the set of multidimensional evaluations. Such problems will be called mixed problems. They lead to the formulation of optimization problems in ordered structures and their scalarization. The aim of the paper is to present an interactive procedure with trade-offs for mixed problems, which helps the decision-maker to make a final decision. Its basic advantage consists of simplicity: after having obtained the solution proposed, the decision-maker should determine whether it is satisfactory and if not, how it should be improved by indicating the criteria whose values should be improved, the criteria whose values cannot be made worse, and the criteria whose values can be made worse. The procedure is applied in solving capacity planning treated as a mixed dynamic programming problem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]