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Global warming and sea-level rise (SLR) induced by rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations can cause coral bleaching, death, and submergence of the world's coral reefs. Adopting the GIS and RS methods, we modeled how these two stressors combine to influence the future growth of the atolls and table reefs of three archipelagoes in the South China Sea (SCS), based on geomorphic and ecological zones. A large-scale survey of the coral communities in Xisha Islands in 2014, Dongsha Islands in 2014–2016 and Nansha Islands in 2007 provided zone-specific process datasets on the range of reef accretion rates. Sea surface temperature and extreme (minimum and maximum) SLR data above 1985–2005 levels by 2100 in the SCS were derived from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) models forced with the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). Our model projected that: (1) the Xisha Islands and Dongsha Islands may have a better growth status, because the reef flat biotic sparse zone may be recolonized with hard coral and become a biotic dense zone; (2) the southern Nansha Islands reefs have a risk of stopping growing due to their earlier annual bleaching years. The increasing of water depths of these reefs is stronger in the RCP with more emissions. Our approach offers insights into the best-case and worst-case impacts of two global environmental pressures on potential future reef growth under a changing climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Despite organophosphate esters (OPEs) are widely prevalent in the environment, however, limited information is available regarding their occurrence, trophodynamics, and exposure risks in coral reef ecosystems. In this study, 11 OPEs were investigated in a tropical marine food web (7 fish species and 9 benthos species) from the Xisha (XS) Islands, South China Sea (SCS). The ∑ 11 OPEs were 1.52 ± 0.33 ng/L, 2227 ± 2062 ng/g lipid weight (lw), 1024 ± 606 ng/g lw, and 1800 ± 1344 ng/g lw in seawater, fish, molluscs, and corals, respectively. Tris (2-chloroisopropyl) phosphate (TCIPPs) were the dominant OPEs in seawater, fish, and molluscs, while tris (2-butoxyethyl) phosphate (TBOEP) predominated in coral tissues. Abiotic and biotic factors jointly affect the OPEs enrichment in marine organisms. Trophic magnification factors (TMFs) (range: 1.31–39.2) indicated the biomagnification potency of OPEs. A dietary exposure risk assessment indicated that OPEs at current levels in coral reef fish posed a low risk to human health but were not negligible. Overall, this study contributes to a further understanding of the environmental behaviors of OPEs in coral reef ecosystems. [Display omitted] • OPEs profiles in seawater and marine organisms are different. • Fish tend to enrich Cl-alkyl OPEs and benthos prefer to accumulate aryl OPEs. • Abiotic and biotic factors jointly affect the OPEs enrichment in marine organisms. • OPEs pose a low risk to human health by coral reef fish ingestion. • Emerging pollutants are dominating the pollution status in the Xisha Islands. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most influential climatic phenomenon on an interannual timescale. Studying the relationship between sea surface temperature (SST) and ENSO events during typical geological periods is helpful for understanding the trends of ENSO activities in the future, especially under the background of global warming. Here we quantitatively reconstructed a 115-year history of SST and ENSO activity around 282 ka during Marine Isotope Stage 8 (MIS8) by using the growth rate of Porites corals from Xisha Islands in the South China Sea. The results show that the average coral growth rate (6.0 ± 1.0 mm/yr (1σ)) around 282 ka was only 56.1% of the modern average value (10.7 ± 0.9 mm/yr; 1937–2014 CE), and the average SST (26.0 ± 0.3 °C (1σ)) was 0.7 ± 0.4 °C and 1.1 ± 0.4 °C lower than that in the Little Ice Age (LIA; 1520–1676 CE; 26.7 ± 0.2 °C) and the present (1937–2014; 27.1 ± 0.2 °C), respectively. The reconstructed results show that there was significant ENSO activity with moderate intensity or above at 282 ka, while the frequency of ENSO activity at that time was lower than that of the LIA and the present. This seems to indicate that the frequency of moderate intensity ENSO activity increases with rising SST. Given the current rapid warming, the future trend of ENSO activities deserves close attention. • The growth rate of Porites coral is a reliable paleoenvironmental proxy. • The coral growth rate at 282 ka was only equivalent to 56.1% of the present. • Coral–SST at 282 ka was 0.7 °C and 1.1 °C lower than the LIA and present, respectively. • The ENSO frequency at 282 ka was lower than the present. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]