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Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation (rTMS) is an evidence-based treatment for depression. However, the patterns of response to this treatment modality are inconsistent. Whilst many people see a significant reduction in the severity of their depression following rTMS treatment, some patients do not. To support and improve patient outcomes, recent work is exploring the possibility of using Machine Learning to predict rTMS treatment outcomes. Our proposed model is the first to combine functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) connectivity with deep learning techniques to predict treatment outcomes before treatment starts. Furthermore, with the use of Explainable AI (XAI) techniques, we identify potential biomarkers that may discriminate between rTMS responders and non-responders. Our experiments utilize 200 runs of repeated bootstrap sampling on two rTMS datasets. We compare performances between our proposed feedforward deep neural network against existing methods, and compare the average accuracy, balanced accuracy and F1-score on a held-out test set. The results of these experiments show that our model outperforms existing methods with an average accuracy of 0.9423, balanced accuracy of 0.9423, and F1-score of 0.9461 in a sample of 61 patients. We found that functional connectivity measures between the Subgenual Anterior Cingulate Cortex and Centeral Opercular Cortex are a key determinant of rTMS treatment response. This knowledge provides psychiatrists with further information to explore the potential mechanisms of responses to rTMS treatment. Our developed prototype is ready to be deployed across large datasets in multiple centres and different countries., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Stressful life events (SLEs) are well-established proximal predictors of the onset of depression. However, the fundamental causes of interindividual differences in depression outcomes are poorly understood. This study addressed this depression susceptibility mechanism using a well-powered sample of adults living in China.Methods: Healthy participants with SLEs (n = 185; mean = 47.51 years, 49.73% female), drawn from a longitudinal study on the development of depression, underwent diffusion tensor imaging, interleukin-6 (IL-6) level measurement, and trimonthly standardized clinical and scale evaluations within a two-year period.Results: Receiver operating characteristic analyses indicated that reduced feeder connection and HIP.R nodal efficiency improved the predictive accuracy of post-SLEs depression (ORfeeder = 0.623, AUC = 0.869, P < 0.001; ORHIP = 0.459, AUC = 0.855, P < 0.001). The successfully established path analysis model confirmed the significant partial effect of SLEs-IL-6-white matter (WM) network differences-depression (onset and severity) (x2/8 = 1.453, goodness-of-fit [GFI] = 0.935, standard root-mean-square error of approximation [SRMR] = 0.024). Females, individuals with lower exercise frequency (EF) or annual household income (AHI) were more likely to have higher IL-6 level after SLEs (βint-female⁎SLEs = -0.420, P < 0.001; βint-exercise⁎SLEs = -0.412, P < 0.001; βint-income⁎SLEs = -0.302, P = 0.005).Limitations: The sample size was restricted due to the limited incidence rate and prospective follow-up design.Conclusions: Our results suggested that among healthy adults after SLEs, those who exhibited abnormal IL-6-WM differences were susceptible to developing depression. Females, lower AHI or EF might account for an increased risk of developing these abnormal IL-6-WM differences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]