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The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant interannual variability affecting global weather and climate. However, limited observational records hinder our understanding of the evolution of natural ENSO variability and its driving mechanisms. In this study, ENSO variations from 665 to 749 CE (Common Era) were investigated using monthly sea surface temperature (SST) records of the northern South China Sea derived from coral strontium to calcium ratios of sub‐fossil Porites obtained at the Xisha Islands. The results suggested the existence of cold conditions in this period relative to the twentieth century. No change in SST seasonality for the CE was found that is in agreement with the orbitally controlled insolation seasonality at that time. ENSO variability during 665–749 CE was enhanced by 39% than that during 1980–2014 CE and exhibited fluctuations. A persistent dampened ENSO variability with frequent El Niño events from 665 to 700 CE was followed by a rapid increase in variability to a level double that of the present. The frequency of La Niña events increased during this time. The abrupt transformation of ENSO activity at 700 CE was attributed to the increased natural radiative forcing induced by intense solar irradiance and weak volcanism. This paper demonstrates that ENSO variability can be influenced by external forcings, such as changes in solar and volcanic activity, and not only by the internal dynamics of the climate system. Plain Language Summary: Reconstructing the amplitude and frequency of historical El Niño and La Niña events will allow us to better understand the driving mechanisms of their evolution and improve predictions of ENSO under anthropogenic climate change. This study reconstructed monthly sea surface temperature (SST) from 665 to 749 CE using a continuous sub‐fossil coral Sr/Ca record from Xisha Islands. We demonstrated that the northern South China Sea and its adjacent area experienced cold conditions during this period, with no change in SST seasonality relative to the present. Our results also revealed that ENSO variability during 665–749 CE exhibited significant fluctuations from a state with dampened ENSO to one with amplified ENSO, accompanied by a transition from frequent El Niño to La Niña anomalies. The abrupt increase in ENSO variability after 700 CE was triggered by the increased solar irradiance and weak volcanic eruptions. This suggests that in addition to the internal dynamics of the climate system, ENSO variability is also influenced by external forcings. Key Points: Cooler conditions and similar sea surface temperature seasonality compared to the present characterized 665–749 CEEl Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability during 665–749 CE was 39% higher than that during 1980–2014 CEEnhanced solar activity triggered an abrupt increase in ENSO variability at 700 CE [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Few reconstructions of sea-surface temperature (SST) have focused on seasonal and interannual variability, two major components of the global climate system, due to the limited temporal resolution of proxies. This study presents a combined 228-year-long, monthly resolved strontium to calcium ratios (Sr/Ca) record covering the period of 2070–1740 a BP (years before 1950 CE (Common Era)) extracted from three U-series-based sub-fossil Porites corals located on the Xisha Islands, northern South China Sea (SCS). The composite time series allowed for accurate assessment of the natural range of SST variations during snapshots of the Roman Warm Period (RWP). Reconstructed SST revealed that the RWP was characterized by cooler conditions compared with the 20th century, consistent with climatic variations in the western Pacific and East Asia. The amplitude of SST seasonality was within the modern range, except for a lower value at 1980–1928 a BP. Interannual variability associated with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) activity was enhanced by 39% relative to 1980–2014 CE. The results of the sliding window demonstrate that ENSO variability persistently strengthened during 2070–2010 a BP, followed by an overall fluctuating attenuation during 1980–1928 a BP. Then, the trends of rising first before descending twice during 1852–1800 a BP appeared. Furthermore, ENSO activity played a leading role in steering short-term changes in SST seasonality in the northern SCS, manifested as stronger ENSO activity with more frequent El Niño events and decreased SST seasonality. Considering that the frequency of extreme ENSO events may strengthen in the future under global warming, the climate in the northern SCS might become more variable and complex. • 228-year monthly SST derived from coral Sr/Ca for snapshots of the Roman Warm Period. • Cooler conditions and variable SST seasonality characterize the 2070–1740 a BP. • Stronger interannual variability and ENSO evolution for the RWP are investigated. • ENSO activity modulates changes of SST seasonality in the northern South China Sea. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most influential climatic phenomenon on an interannual timescale. Studying the relationship between sea surface temperature (SST) and ENSO events during typical geological periods is helpful for understanding the trends of ENSO activities in the future, especially under the background of global warming. Here we quantitatively reconstructed a 115-year history of SST and ENSO activity around 282 ka during Marine Isotope Stage 8 (MIS8) by using the growth rate of Porites corals from Xisha Islands in the South China Sea. The results show that the average coral growth rate (6.0 ± 1.0 mm/yr (1σ)) around 282 ka was only 56.1% of the modern average value (10.7 ± 0.9 mm/yr; 1937–2014 CE), and the average SST (26.0 ± 0.3 °C (1σ)) was 0.7 ± 0.4 °C and 1.1 ± 0.4 °C lower than that in the Little Ice Age (LIA; 1520–1676 CE; 26.7 ± 0.2 °C) and the present (1937–2014; 27.1 ± 0.2 °C), respectively. The reconstructed results show that there was significant ENSO activity with moderate intensity or above at 282 ka, while the frequency of ENSO activity at that time was lower than that of the LIA and the present. This seems to indicate that the frequency of moderate intensity ENSO activity increases with rising SST. Given the current rapid warming, the future trend of ENSO activities deserves close attention. • The growth rate of Porites coral is a reliable paleoenvironmental proxy. • The coral growth rate at 282 ka was only equivalent to 56.1% of the present. • Coral–SST at 282 ka was 0.7 °C and 1.1 °C lower than the LIA and present, respectively. • The ENSO frequency at 282 ka was lower than the present. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Most studies on coral bleaching alerts use common Degree Heating Week (DHW) thresholds; however, these may underestimate historical patterns of heat stress for coral reef ecosystems. Taking an optimized DHW threshold for coral bleaching alerts for Coral Reef Watch (CRW) and Coral Reef Temperature Anomaly Database (CoRTAD) products, we analyzed the precise spatial and temporal pattern of heat stress on China's coral reefs from 2010 to 2021 in the South China Sea (SCS) and the Beibu Gulf (BG). We compared acute heat stress using common and optimized thresholds. Results indicated that the ocean warming rate in 2010–2021 was approximately 0.43 ± 0.22 °C/10a, showing a significant increase in the northern SCS and the BG. More severe bleaching events were predicted by the optimized thresholds and the high-frequency areas were mainly in the northern SCS. The number and intensity of years with severe heat stress anomalies was in the order 2020 > 2014 > 2010 > 2015. Heat stress duration was the longest in the Xisha Islands among offshore archipelagos, and longest in 2020–2021 in Weizhou Island in BG in the relative high-latitude inshore reefs. These abnormal events were mainly caused by El Niño, but La Niña was also involved in 2020. • The most intense severe heat stress anomaly years were 2010 > 2014>2020 > 2015. • The anomaly duration of offshore islands was Xisha > Dongsha > Zhongsha > Nansha Islands. • High-latitude reefs were predicted not to be future thermal refuges for SCS reefs. • The optimized DHW threshold more accurately predicted spatiotemporal heat stress. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]