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This study evaluated the probability of pregnancy and associated factors for two times artificial inseminations (AI), 8 or 10 hours after automated activity monitoring (AAM) alarm on the first postpartum AI of 1,054 Holstein dairy cows. The estrus was synchronized by prostaglandin or estradiol-progesterone program. Stepwise logistic regression was performed to analyze the probability of pregnancy, and associated factors (activity, estrus intensity, parity, peripartum health, retained placenta, postpartum vaginal discharge, and season). The highest pregnancy rates were obtained with multiparous animals, inseminated ten hours after the AAM alarm, in the fall or winter season, with a high activity peak and estrus intensity (P < 0.05). Peripartum diseases, retained placenta, and postpartum vaginal discharge negatively influenced the pregnancy rate, regardless of parity. Thus, the optimization of AAM models by including on-farm measures like parity, peripartum health history, and environmental conditions may favor the correct identification of estrus and improve the AAM alarm regarding the ideal moment for AI, increasing the reproductive performance in dairy cows. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]