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The prognostic significance of a "second" biochemical recurrence (sBCR) after salvage radiation therapy (sRT) with/without hormonal therapy following primary radical prostatectomy in men with prostate cancer has not been examined. We hypothesized that a shorter time to sBCR will be associated with worse cancer control outcomes.The RTOG 9601 study included 760 patients with tumor stage pT2/T3, pN0, who had either persistently elevated prostate-specific antigen (PSA) postradical prostatectomy or developed subsequent biochemical recurrence with PSA levels between 0.2 and 4.0 ng/ml. All patients received sRT (with or without 2 years of Bicalutamide) from 1998 to 2015. For our study, we focused on 421 patients who had sBCR after sRT-which was defined as a PSA increase of at least 0.3 ng/ml over the first nadir. Patients were divided into two categories: early sBCR (n = 210) and late sBCR (n = 211) using median time to sBCR (3.51 years). All patients who experienced sBCR received salvage hormonal therapy. Competing-risk analysis was used to examine the impact of early versus late sBCR on prostate cancer specific mortality (CSM), after accounting for available covariates.The majority of patients were age 60 years or older (75.8%), had pT3 disease (74.8%), and Gleason score 7 (75.2%). Overall, 13.8% had persistent PSA initially after surgery. At 10 years, starting at the time of sBCR, CSM rate was 31.3% in the early sBCR group versus 20.0% in the late sBCR group. In competing-risk analysis, time to sBCR was an independent predictor of CSM, where patients with early sBCR had 1.7-fold higher CSM risk (p = 0.026) than their counterparts with late sBCR.Time to sBCR after sRT (with or without concomitant Bicalutamide) is a significant predictor of CSM following initial radical prostatectomy. This information can be used to guide subsequent treatments, and to counsel patients.

Generalizable, updated, and easy-to-use prognostic models for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) are lacking. We developed a nomogram predicting the overall survival (OS) of mCRPC patients receiving standard chemotherapy using data from five randomized clinical trials (RCTs).Patients enrolled in the control arm of five RCTs (ASCENT 2, VENICE, CELGENE/MAINSAIL, ENTHUSE 14, and ENTHUSE 33) were randomly split between training (n = 1636, 70%) and validation cohorts (n = 700, 30%). In the training cohort, Cox regression tested the prognostic significance of all available variables as a predictor of OS. Independent predictors of OS on multivariable analysis were used to construct a novel multivariable model (nomogram). The accuracy of this model was tested in the validation cohort using time-dependent area under the curve (tAUC) and calibration curves.Most of the patients were aged 65-74 years (44.5%) and the median (interquartile range) follow-up time was 13.9 (8.9-20.2) months. At multivariable analysis, the following were independent predictors of OS in mCRPC patients: sites of metastasis (visceral vs. bone metastasis, hazard ratio [HR]: 1.24), prostate-specific antigen (HR: 1.00), aspartate transaminase (HR: 1.01), alkaline phosphatase (HR: 1.00), body mass index (HR: 0.97), and hemoglobin (≥13 g/dl vs.11 g/dl, HR: 0.41; all p 0.05). A nomogram based on these variables was developed and showed favorable discrimination (tAUC at 12 and 24 months: 73% and 72%, respectively) and calibration characteristics on external validation.A new prognostic model to predict OS of patients with mCRPC undergoing first line chemotherapy was developed. This can help urologists/oncologists in counseling patients and might be useful to better stratify patients for future clinical trials.

Nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) has an elevated risk of recurrence, and immediate postresection intravesical instillation of chemotherapy (IVC) significantly reduces the risk of recurrence. Questions remain about which subpopulation may maximally benefit from IVC. Our aim was to develop risk groups based on recurrence risk in NMIBC, and then evaluate the impact of a single, postoperative instillation of IVC on the subsequent risk of recurrence for each risk group.Using the SWOG S0337 trial cohort, we performed a posthoc analysis of 345 patients who were diagnosed with suspected low-grade NMIBC, underwent transurethral resection of the bladder tumor (TURBT), and received post-operative IVC (gemcitabine vs. saline). Using regression tree analysis, the regression tree stratified patients based on their risk of recurrence into low-risk - single tumor and aged57 years, intermediate-risk - single tumor and aged ≥ 57 years, and high-risk - multiple tumors. We used Cox proportional hazard models to test the impact of recurrence-free rate, and after adjustment to available covariates.Median age of the cohort was 66.5 (IQR: 59.7-75.8 years) with 85% of patients being males. Median overall follow-up time was 3.07 years (IQR: 0.75-4.01 years). When testing the impact of treatment in each risk group separately, we found that patients in the intermediate-risk treated with gemcitabine had a 24-month recurrence free rate of 77% (95% CI: 68%-86%) vs. 59% (95% CI: 49%-70%) in the saline group. This survival difference was confirmed on multivariable analysis (hazard ratio: 0.39, 95% CI: 23%-66%, P0.001). This group represented 53% of our cohort. Conversely, we did not observe a significant difference in recurrence-free survival among patients in the low- (P = 0.7) and high-risk (P = 0.4) groups.Our findings indicate that older patients with a single tumor of suspected low-grade NMIBC at TURBT maximally benefit from immediate postresection IVC (gemcitabine).