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Eplet mismatch has been recognized as a more precise strategy for determining HLA compatibility by analyzing donor-recipient HLA differences at the molecular level. However, predicting post-transplant alloimmunity using single-molecule eplet mismatch categories has not been validated in Asian cohorts. We examined a cohort of Southeast Asian kidney transplant recipients (n = 234) to evaluate HLA-DR/DQ eplet mismatch as a predictor of de novo donor-specific antibody (dnDSA) development. HLA-DR/DQ single-molecule eplet mismatch was quantified using HLA Matchmaker, and we utilized previously published HLA-DR/DQ eplet mismatch thresholds to categorize recipients into alloimmune risk groups and evaluate their association with dnDSA development. Recognizing that the predominance of cyclosporine use (71%) may alter published eplet mismatch thresholds derived from a largely tacrolimus-based (87%) cohort, we evaluated cohort-specific thresholds for HLA-DR/DQ single-molecule eplet mismatch categories. Recipient ethnicities included Chinese (65%), Malays (17%), Indians (14%), and others (4%). HLA-DR/DQ dnDSA developed in 29/234 (12%) recipients after a median follow-up of 5.4 years, including against isolated HLA-DR (n = 7), isolated HLA-DQ (n = 11), or both (n = 11). HLA-DR/DQ single-molecule eplet mismatch risk categories correlated with dnDSA-free survival (p = 0.001) with low-risk recipients having a dnDSA prevalence of 1% over 5 years. The cohort-specific alloimmune risk categories improved correlation with HLA-DR/DQ dnDSA-free survival and remained significant after adjusting for calcineurin inhibitor and anti-metabolite immunosuppression (p < 0.001). We validated the performance of single-molecule eplet mismatch categories as a prognostic biomarker for HLA-DR/DQ dnDSA development in a cohort of predominantly Asian kidney transplant recipients after adjusting for different immunosuppression regimens.

Summary: Background: Glaucoma and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are prevalent and debilitating conditions, with common pathogenic pathways like oxidative stress and fluid dysregulation. We evaluated if there is a bidirectional association between them, as previous studies have yielded conflicting results. Methods: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library from inception until 15 June 2021, including full-length English articles published in peer-reviewed journals reporting on glaucoma and CKD as either exposure or outcome, among participants aged ≥18 years. We pooled overall summary estimates of odds ratios using random-effect meta-analysis and conducted subgroup meta-analyses and univariate meta regression. We assessed risk of bias using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) and quality of evidence using the GRADE framework. Our article is PROSPERO-registered and adherent to both PRISMA and MOOSE guidelines. This review is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021262846). Findings: We identified 14 articles comprising of 3 retrospective cohort studies and 12 cross-sectional studies from 2,428 records, including 1,978,254 participants. Risk of bias was low to moderate. Participants with CKD at baseline had higher pooled odds of glaucoma (odds ratio[OR]=1.18, 95% confidence interval[CI]=1.04-1.33, I2=66%, N=12) compared to participants without CKD. The association remained significant in subgroups of longitudinal studies, participants with diabetes, East Asian studies and primary open-angle glaucoma. In the reverse direction, participants with glaucoma at baseline had over three-fold higher odds of incident CKD compared to participants without glaucoma after 10-15 years of follow-up in longitudinal studies (OR=3.67, 95% CI=2.16-6.24, I2=75%, N=2). All studies adjusted for age and sex, while most studies adjusted for comorbidities such as diabetes and hypertension. Meta-regression identified ethnicity (East Asians vs Non-East Asians) as a significant effect moderator. Associations were robust to trim-and-fill adjustment for publication bias, single-study influence and cumulative meta-analyses. Interpretation: Our meta-analysis suggests a bidirectional relationship between glaucoma and CKD, particularly among East Asians. Further studies are required to elucidate underlying mechanisms and account for differential association by ethnicity. Funding: Ching-Yu Cheng is supported by Clinician Scientist Award (NMRC/CSA-SI/0012/2017) of the Singapore Ministry of Health’s National Medical Research Council.