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Abstract Background Protein truncating variants in ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, CHEK2, and PALB2 are associated with increased breast cancer risk, but risks associated with missense variants in these genes are uncertain. Methods We analyzed data on 59,639 breast cancer cases and 53,165 controls from studies participating in the Breast Cancer Association Consortium BRIDGES project. We sampled training (80%) and validation (20%) sets to analyze rare missense variants in ATM (1146 training variants), BRCA1 (644), BRCA2 (1425), CHEK2 (325), and PALB2 (472). We evaluated breast cancer risks according to five in silico prediction-of-deleteriousness algorithms, functional protein domain, and frequency, using logistic regression models and also mixture models in which a subset of variants was assumed to be risk-associated. Results The most predictive in silico algorithms were Helix (BRCA1, BRCA2 and CHEK2) and CADD (ATM). Increased risks appeared restricted to functional protein domains for ATM (FAT and PIK domains) and BRCA1 (RING and BRCT domains). For ATM, BRCA1, and BRCA2, data were compatible with small subsets (approximately 7%, 2%, and 0.6%, respectively) of rare missense variants giving similar risk to those of protein truncating variants in the same gene. For CHEK2, data were more consistent with a large fraction (approximately 60%) of rare missense variants giving a lower risk (OR 1.75, 95% CI (1.47–2.08)) than CHEK2 protein truncating variants. There was little evidence for an association with risk for missense variants in PALB2. The best fitting models were well calibrated in the validation set. Conclusions These results will inform risk prediction models and the selection of candidate variants for functional assays and could contribute to the clinical reporting of gene panel testing for breast cancer susceptibility.

Purpose CHEK2 c.1100delC is associated with an increased breast cancer risk in women. While this variant is prevalent in the Netherlands (1% in the general population), knowledge of aetiology and prognosis of breast cancer and other tumours in CHEK2 c.1100delC carriers is lacking. The nationwide HEreditary Breast and Ovarian cancer study the Netherlands (Hebon) cohort aims to answer study questions in families with an increased risk of breast cancer and ovarian cancer. While initially focusing on BRCA1/2-variant families, Hebon gradually expanded to include pathogenic variants in other genes associated with breast and/or ovarian cancer over time. This provides an excellent setting to establish a cohort to ultimately study the impact of CHEK2 c.1100delC on cancer risk prediction and surveillance, breast cancer treatment and prognosis.Participants We invited all heterozygous and homozygous CHEK2 c.1100delC indexes and tested female relatives. 1802 women were included, of whom 1374 were heterozygotes and 938 were breast cancer cases. Pedigrees were collected from all clinical genetic departments. Furthermore, participants completed a detailed questionnaire on hormonal and lifestyle factors, family history, cancer diagnosis and treatment.Findings to date Mean age at study inclusion was 53 years. Linkage with the Netherlands Cancer Registry showed a younger age at diagnosis in homozygotes (mean age 41.7 years) and heterozygotes (47.9 years) than non-carriers (51.2 years). Furthermore, carriers were more often diagnosed with grade 2, oestrogen receptor-positive breast cancer and more often developed contralateral breast cancer than non-carriers. Most women consumed alcohol regularly and about half never smoked.Future plans Further data linkages with the Netherlands Cancer Registry will allow prospective follow-up and breast cancer risk assessment in unaffected women at the time of genetic testing, risk of contralateral breast cancer and survival in patients with breast cancer. Also, linkage with the nationwide network and registry of histopathology and cytopathology in The Netherlands (PALGA) allows us to retrieve tumour samples to study tumourigenesis.