Search

This research addresses the challenge of integrating forecasting and optimization in energy management systems, focusing on the impacts of switching costs, forecast accuracy, and stability. It proposes a novel framework for analyzing online optimization problems with switching costs and enabled by deterministic and probabilistic forecasts. Through empirical evaluation and theoretical analysis, the research reveals the balance between forecast accuracy, stability, and switching costs in shaping policy performance. Conducted in the context of battery scheduling within energy management applications, it introduces a metric for evaluating probabilistic forecast stability and examines the effects of forecast accuracy and stability on optimization outcomes using the real-world case of the Citylearn 2022 competition. Findings indicate that switching costs significantly influence the trade-off between forecast accuracy and stability, highlighting the importance of integrated systems that enable collaboration between forecasting and operational units for improved decision-making. The study shows that committing to a policy for longer periods can be advantageous over frequent updates. Results also show a correlation between forecast stability and policy performance, suggesting that stable forecasts can mitigate switching costs. The proposed framework provides valuable insights for energy sector decision-makers and forecast practitioners when designing the operation of an energy management system., Comment: 14 pages, contains the Online Appendix with a comment on KPIs, MPC formulation, Theoretical analysis of the MPC performance bounds and extra results on the in-sample performance

In Artificial Intelligence, there is an increasing demand for adaptive models capable of dealing with a diverse spectrum of learning tasks, surpassing the limitations of systems devised to cope with a single task. The recent emergence of General-Purpose Artificial Intelligence Systems (GPAIS) poses model configuration and adaptability challenges at far greater complexity scales than the optimal design of traditional Machine Learning models. Evolutionary Computation (EC) has been a useful tool for both the design and optimization of Machine Learning models, endowing them with the capability to configure and/or adapt themselves to the task under consideration. Therefore, their application to GPAIS is a natural choice. This paper aims to analyze the role of EC in the field of GPAIS, exploring the use of EC for their design or enrichment. We also match GPAIS properties to Machine Learning areas in which EC has had a notable contribution, highlighting recent milestones of EC for GPAIS. Furthermore, we discuss the challenges of harnessing the benefits of EC for GPAIS, presenting different strategies to both design and improve GPAIS with EC, covering tangential areas, identifying research niches, and outlining potential research directions for EC and GPAIS.

Deep learning (DL)-based sea\textendash land clutter classification for sky-wave over-the-horizon-radar (OTHR) has become a novel research topic. In engineering applications, real-time predictions of sea\textendash land clutter with existing distribution discrepancies are crucial. To solve this problem, this article proposes a novel Multisource Semisupervised Adversarial Domain Generalization Network (MSADGN) for cross-scene sea\textendash land clutter classification. MSADGN can extract domain-invariant and domain-specific features from one labeled source domain and multiple unlabeled source domains, and then generalize these features to an arbitrary unseen target domain for real-time prediction of sea\textendash land clutter. Specifically, MSADGN consists of three modules: domain-related pseudolabeling module, domain-invariant module, and domain-specific module. The first module introduces an improved pseudolabel method called domain-related pseudolabel, which is designed to generate reliable pseudolabels to fully exploit unlabeled source domains. The second module utilizes a generative adversarial network (GAN) with a multidiscriminator to extract domain-invariant features, to enhance the model's transferability in the target domain. The third module employs a parallel multiclassifier branch to extract domain-specific features, to enhance the model's discriminability in the target domain. The effectiveness of our method is validated in twelve domain generalizations (DG) scenarios. Meanwhile, we selected 10 state-of-the-art DG methods for comparison. The experimental results demonstrate the superiority of our method., Comment: 15 pages, 8 figures, 4 tables

Regulated industries, such as Healthcare and Finance, are starting to move parts of their data and workloads to the public cloud. However, they are still reluctant to trust the public cloud with their most sensitive records, and hence leave them in their premises, leveraging the hybrid cloud architecture. We address the security and performance challenges of big data analytics using a hybrid cloud in a real-life use case from a hospital. In this use case, the hospital collects sensitive patient data and wants to run analytics on it in order to lower antibiotics resistance, a significant challenge in healthcare. We show that it is possible to run large-scale analytics on data that is securely stored in the public cloud encrypted using Apache Parquet Modular Encryption (PME), without significant performance losses even if the secret encryption keys are stored on-premises. PME is a standard mechanism for data encryption and key management, not specific to any public cloud, and therefore helps prevent vendor lock-in. It also provides privacy and integrity guarantees, and enables granular access control to the data. We also present an innovation in PME for lowering the performance hit incurred by calls to the Key Management Service. Our solution therefore enables protecting large amounts of sensitive data in hybrid clouds and still allows to efficiently gain valuable insights from it., Comment: 5 pages, 3 figures

Forecasts are typically not produced in a vacuum but in a business context, where forecasts are generated on a regular basis and interact with each other. For decisions, it may be important that forecasts do not change arbitrarily, and are stable in some sense. However, this area has received only limited attention in the forecasting literature. In this paper, we explore two types of forecast stability that we call vertical stability and horizontal stability. The existing works in the literature are only applicable to certain base models and extending these frameworks to be compatible with any base model is not straightforward. Furthermore, these frameworks can only stabilise the forecasts vertically. To fill this gap, we propose a simple linear-interpolation-based approach that is applicable to stabilise the forecasts provided by any base model vertically and horizontally. The approach can produce both accurate and stable forecasts. Using N-BEATS, Pooled Regression and LightGBM as the base models, in our evaluation on four publicly available datasets, the proposed framework is able to achieve significantly higher stability and/or accuracy compared to a set of benchmarks including a state-of-the-art forecast stabilisation method across three error metrics and six stability metrics.

Clustering is a well-known unsupervised machine learning approach capable of automatically grouping discrete sets of instances with similar characteristics. Constrained clustering is a semi-supervised extension to this process that can be used when expert knowledge is available to indicate constraints that can be exploited. Well-known examples of such constraints are must-link (indicating that two instances belong to the same group) and cannot-link (two instances definitely do not belong together). The research area of constrained clustering has grown significantly over the years with a large variety of new algorithms and more advanced types of constraints being proposed. However, no unifying overview is available to easily understand the wide variety of available methods, constraints and benchmarks. To remedy this, this study presents in-detail the background of constrained clustering and provides a novel ranked taxonomy of the types of constraints that can be used in constrained clustering. In addition, it focuses on the instance-level pairwise constraints, and gives an overview of its applications and its historical context. Finally, it presents a statistical analysis covering 307 constrained clustering methods, categorizes them according to their features, and provides a ranking score indicating which methods have the most potential based on their popularity and validation quality. Finally, based upon this analysis, potential pitfalls and future research directions are provided.

This study addresses the problem of performing clustering in the presence of two types of background knowledge: pairwise constraints and monotonicity constraints. To achieve this, the formal framework to perform clustering under monotonicity constraints is, firstly, defined, resulting in a specific distance measure. Pairwise constraints are integrated afterwards by designing an objective function which combines the proposed distance measure and a pairwise constraint-based penalty term, in order to fuse both types of information. This objective function can be optimized with an EM optimization scheme. The proposed method serves as the first approach to the problem it addresses, as it is the first method designed to work with the two types of background knowledge mentioned above. Our proposal is tested in a variety of benchmark datasets and in a real-world case of study.

Capsule networks (CapsNets) aim to parse images into a hierarchy of objects, parts, and their relations using a two-step process involving part-whole transformation and hierarchical component routing. However, this hierarchical relationship modeling is computationally expensive, which has limited the wider use of CapsNet despite its potential advantages. The current state of CapsNet models primarily focuses on comparing their performance with capsule baselines, falling short of achieving the same level of proficiency as deep CNN variants in intricate tasks. To address this limitation, we present an efficient approach for learning capsules that surpasses canonical baseline models and even demonstrates superior performance compared to high-performing convolution models. Our contribution can be outlined in two aspects: firstly, we introduce a group of subcapsules onto which an input vector is projected. Subsequently, we present the Hybrid Gromov-Wasserstein framework, which initially quantifies the dissimilarity between the input and the components modeled by the subcapsules, followed by determining their alignment degree through optimal transport. This innovative mechanism capitalizes on new insights into defining alignment between the input and subcapsules, based on the similarity of their respective component distributions. This approach enhances CapsNets' capacity to learn from intricate, high-dimensional data while retaining their interpretability and hierarchical structure. Our proposed model offers two distinct advantages: (i) its lightweight nature facilitates the application of capsules to more intricate vision tasks, including object detection; (ii) it outperforms baseline approaches in these demanding tasks.

Support vector machines (SVMs) are popular learning algorithms to deal with binary classification problems. They traditionally assume equal misclassification costs for each class; however, real-world problems may have an uneven class distribution. This article introduces EBCS-SVM: evolutionary bilevel cost-sensitive SVMs. EBCS-SVM handles imbalanced classification problems by simultaneously learning the support vectors and optimizing the SVM hyperparameters, which comprise the kernel parameter and misclassification costs. The resulting optimization problem is a bilevel problem, where the lower level determines the support vectors and the upper level the hyperparameters. This optimization problem is solved using an evolutionary algorithm (EA) at the upper level and sequential minimal optimization (SMO) at the lower level. These two methods work in a nested fashion, that is, the optimal support vectors help guide the search of the hyperparameters, and the lower level is initialized based on previous successful solutions. The proposed method is assessed using 70 datasets of imbalanced classification and compared with several state-of-the-art methods. The experimental results, supported by a Bayesian test, provided evidence of the effectiveness of EBCS-SVM when working with highly imbalanced datasets., Comment: Copyright 2022 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works

In predictive tasks, real-world datasets often present different degrees of imbalanced (i.e., long-tailed or skewed) distributions. While the majority (the head) classes have sufficient samples, the minority (the tail) classes can be under-represented by a rather limited number of samples. Data pre-processing has been shown to be very effective in dealing with such problems. On one hand, data re-sampling is a common approach to tackling class imbalance. On the other hand, dimension reduction, which reduces the feature space, is a conventional technique for reducing noise and inconsistencies in a dataset. However, the possible synergy between feature selection and data re-sampling for high-performance imbalance classification has rarely been investigated before. To address this issue, we carry out a comprehensive empirical study on the joint influence of feature selection and re-sampling on two-class imbalance classification. Specifically, we study the performance of two opposite pipelines for imbalance classification by applying feature selection before or after data re-sampling. We conduct a large number of experiments, with a total of 9225 tests, on 52 publicly available datasets, using 9 feature selection methods, 6 re-sampling approaches for class imbalance learning, and 3 well-known classification algorithms. Experimental results show that there is no constant winner between the two pipelines; thus both of them should be considered to derive the best performing model for imbalance classification. We find that the performance of an imbalance classification model not only depends on the classifier adopted and the ratio between the number of majority and minority samples, but also depends on the ratio between the number of samples and features. Overall, this study should provide new reference value for researchers and practitioners in imbalance learning., Comment: 25 pages, 12 figures; revision v1