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We have produced an eddy-resolving local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF)-based ocean research analysis (LORA) for the western North Pacific (WNP) and Maritime Continent (MC) regions (LORA-WNP and LORA-MC, respectively). This paper describes the system configuration and validation comparisons with Japan Coastal Ocean Predictability Experiment 2M (JCOPE2M) reanalysis and Archiving, Validation, and Interpretation of Satellite Oceanographic Data (AVISO) observational datasets. The results show that the surface horizontal velocity in the LORA-WNP is closer to independent drifter buoy observations in the mid-latitude region, especially along the Kuroshio Extension (KE), and is less close in the subtropical region than the JCOPE2M, although the AVISO is the closest over the whole domain. The sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the LORA-WNP correspond better to assimilated satellite observations than the JCOPE2M over most of the domain except for coastal regions. The results using an independent buoy south of the KE indicate that better fit of temperature in the LORA-WNP may be limited to the upper 300 m depth, probably because of the prescribed vertical localization cutoff length of 370 m. In the MC region, the surface velocity in the LORA-MC is closer to the independent drifter buoys in the equatorial coastal region and is less close in the offshore region than the AVISO. The SSTs in the LORA-MC correspond better to the assimilated satellite observations in the offshore region than the nearshore region. Therefore, the LORA-WNP and LORA-MC have sufficient accuracy for geoscience research applications as well as for fisheries, marine transport, and environment consultants. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A previous study proposed an adaptive observation error inflation (AOEI) method for an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)-based atmospheric data assimilation system to assimilate all-sky infrared brightness temperatures. Brightness temperature differences between clear- and cloudy-sky radiances are large, and observation-minus-forecast differences (or innovations) are therefore likely to be large around boundaries between clear- and cloudy-sky regions. The AOEI method mitigates these discrepancies by adaptively inflating observation errors. Ocean frontal regions have similar characteristics to the borders between clear- and cloudy-sky regions with large innovations. Consequently, we have implemented the AOEI with an EnKF-based regional ocean data assimilation system, in which the assimilation interval is set to 1 d to utilize frequent satellite observations. We conducted sensitivity experiments to investigate the impacts of the AOEI on salinity structure, geostrophic balance, and accuracy. A control run, in which the AOEI is not applied, shows the degradation of low-salinity North Pacific Intermediate Water around the Kuroshio Extension region, where the innovation amplitude and forecast ensemble spread are large in association with the fronts and eddies. The resulting large temperature and salinity increments weaken the density stratification, leading to large vertical diffusivity. As a result, the low-salinity water in the intermediate layer is lost through strong vertical diffusion. When the AOEI is used, the salinity structure in the ocean interior is preserved because the AOEI suppresses the salinity degradation by reducing the temperature and salinity increments. We also demonstrate that the AOEI provides significant improvement of the geostrophic balance and the analysis accuracy of temperature, salinity, and surface-flow fields. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• An ocean forcing dataset JRA55-do significantly improves nearshore warm SST biases. • The improvement mechanisms of the warm SST biases are quantitatively investigated. • Ocean forcing datasets are essential for ocean data assimilation systems. In the previous study, the authors have produced an eddy-resolving ocean ensemble analysis product called the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF)-based ocean research analysis (LORA) over the western North Pacific and Maritime Continent regions using an ocean data assimilation system driven by the Japanese operational atmospheric reanalysis dataset known as the JRA-55. However, the LORA includes warm biases in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in coastal regions during the boreal winter. In this study, we perform sensitivity experiments with atmospheric forcing using an ocean forcing dataset known as the JRA55-do, which adjusts the JRA-55 to high-quality reference datasets to reduce biases and uncertainties. The results show that the nearshore warm SST biases are significantly improved by the JRA55-do. During the boreal autumn, the improvement comes from mainly two factors: (i) enhancement of surface cooling by latent heat releases caused by removing contamination of weak winds at the land grid cells, and (ii) weakening surface heating by downward shortwave radiation through the adjustment in the JRA55-do. During the boreal winter, enhanced cooling by the analysis increments suppresses the growth of the warm SST biases when the JRA55-do is used. However, if the JRA-55 dataset is used, the adaptive observation error inflation (AOEI) scheme acts negatively to keep the nearshore SST biases in winter. Based on the innovation statistics, the AOEI inflates the observation errors when the differences between the squared observation-minus-forecast innovations and the squared forecast ensemble spreads are larger than the prescribed observation error variance, and improves the accuracy in the open ocean, especially around the frontal regions. However, when substantial warm SST biases are formed in the previous season, AOEI's observation error inflation makes the analysis increments smaller and cannot suppress the warm biases. We also validate the analysis accuracy using various data such as sea surface height and horizontal velocities and find that the JRA55-do has significant advantages. Therefore, continuous maintenance and development of ocean forcing datasets are essential for ocean modeling and data assimilation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study develops an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)-based regional ocean data assimilation system in which the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF) is implemented with version 1.0 of the Stony Brook Parallel Ocean Model (sbPOM) to assimilate satellite and in situ observations at a daily frequency. A series of sensitivity experiments are performed with various settings of the incremental analysis update (IAU) and covariance inflation methods, for which the relaxation-to-prior perturbations and spread (RTPP and RTPS, respectively) and multiplicative inflation (MULT) are considered. We evaluate the geostrophic balance and the analysis accuracy compared with the control experiment in which the IAU and covariance inflation are not applied. The results show that the IAU improves the geostrophic balance, degrades the accuracy, and reduces the ensemble spread, and that the RTPP and RTPS have the opposite effect. The experiment using a combination of the IAU and RTPP results in a significant improvement for both balance and analysis accuracy when the RTPP parameter is 0.8–0.9. The combination of the IAU and RTPS improves the balance when the RTPS parameter is ≤0.8 and increases the analysis accuracy for parameter values between 1.0 and 1.1, but the balance and analysis accuracy are not improved significantly at the same time. The experiments with MULT inflating the forecast ensemble spread by 5 % do not demonstrate sufficient skill in maintaining the balance and reproducing the surface flow field regardless of whether the IAU is applied or not. The 11 d ensemble forecast experiments show consistent results. Therefore, the combination of the IAU and RTPP with a parameter value of 0.8–0.9 is found to be the best setting for the EnKF-based ocean data assimilation system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study develops an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)-based regional ocean data assimilation system, in which the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF) is implemented with the Stony Brook Parallel Ocean Model (sbPOM) version 1.0 to assimilate satellite and in-situ observations at a daily frequency. A series of sensitivity experiments are performed with various settings of the incremental analysis update (IAU) and covariance inflation methods, for which the relaxation-to-prior perturbations and spread (RTPP and RTPS, respectively) and multiplicative inflation (MULT) are considered. We evaluate the geostrophic balance and the analysis accuracy compared with the control experiment in which the IAU and covariance inflation are not applied. The results show that the IAU improves the geostrophic balance, degrades the accuracy, and reduces the ensemble spread, and that the RTPP and RTPS have the opposite effect. The experiment using the combination of the IAU and RTPP results in significant improvement for both balance and accuracy when the RTPP parameter is 0.8-0.9. The combination of the IAU and RTPS improves the balance when the RTPS parameter is ≤ 0.8 and increases the accuracy for the parameter values between 1.0 and 1.1, but the balance and accuracy are not improved significantly at the same time. The experiments with MULT do not demonstrate sufficient skill in maintaining the balance and reproducing the surface flow field regardless of whether the IAU is applied or not. Therefore, the combination of the IAU and RTPP with the parameter of 0.8-0.9 is found to be the best setting for the EnKF-based ocean data assimilation system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We have developed an ocean state nowcast/forecast system (JCOPE-T DA) that targets the coastal waters around Japan and assimilates daily remote sensing and in situ data. The ocean model component is developed based on the Princeton Ocean Model with a generalized sigma coordinate and calculates oceanic conditions with a 1/36-degree (2–3 km) resolution and an hourly result output interval. To effectively represent oceanic phenomena with a spatial scale smaller than 100 km, we adopted a data assimilation scheme that explicitly separates larger and smaller horizontal scales from satellite sea surface temperature data. Our model is updated daily through data assimilation using the latest available remote-sensing data. Here we validate the data assimilation products of JCOPE-T DA using various kinds of in situ observational data. This validation proves that the JCOPE-T DA model output outperforms those of a previous version of JCOPE-T, which is based on nudging the values of temperature and salinity toward those provided by a different coarse grid data-assimilated model JCOPE2M. Parameter sensitivity experiments show that the selection of horizontal scale separation parameters considerably affects the representation of sea surface temperature. Additional experiments demonstrate that the assimilation of daily-updated satellite sea surface temperature data actually improves the model's efficiency in representing typhoon-induced disturbances of sea surface temperature on a time scale of a few days. Assimilation of additional in situ data, such as temperature/salinity/ocean current information, further improves the model's ability to represent the ocean currents near the coast accurately. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]