1. A LOAN FINANCING OF MICRO-ENTERPRISES (RETAIL SECTOR) DURING ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS.
- Author
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WIKARCZYK, Agnieszka and ZAJĄC, Adam
- Subjects
BUSINESS cycles ,PEARSON correlation (Statistics) ,ECONOMIC indicators ,ECONOMIC change ,ECONOMIC impact - Abstract
Purpose: The study attempts to determine the extent to which the financing of microenterprises (from the retail sector) by a bank loan is dependent on current and expected changes in the unstable economic situation in Poland in 2019-2021 (sample period). Design/methodology/approach: The study used the Pearson's correlation and the DTW methods to explain the relationship between the number and value of loans granted to micro-enterprises (from retail sector) and economic indicators. Findings: The study shows a strong positive correlation between the change in a number and a value of working capital loans granted to micro-entrepreneurs and the assessment of a direction of change in the economic situation and an indication of a lack of barriers, a decrease in an importance of the barrier (a high competition) or an expected general economic situation of an enterprise. Using the DTW model, a strong adjustment of a change in the number of investment loans granted to micro-entrepreneurs to the assessment of a direction of changes: economic situation, market mechanism, barriers, towards high costs (staff and interest) was observed, and when a dominant sources of financing working capital loans were own funds, bank loans and trade credits. Theoretical implications: The survey results confirm: unstable times require decisions to be based on a variety of economic factors. Practical implications: The results of the study indicate a decision-making sensitivity of retail micro-sized enterprises regarding a choice of a type of bank loan in relation to the assessment of a direction of changes in an economic situation in the short term. They may help them build good business relationships with their suppliers. They may be used to banks and other financial providers for building a market offer and for forecasting a credit demand, too. Originality/value: The value of the study is to present (from two perspectives) a correlation between a number and a value of loans granted to micro-entrepreneurs with changes in selected economic indicators. Conclusions have application value for banks and other financial institutions, as well as micro-entrepreneurs to determine an impact of specific economic indicators on a loan market. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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