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Continuous prediction surveillance modeling is an emerging tool giving dynamic insight into conditions with potential mitigation of adverse events (AEs) and failure to rescue. The Epic electronic medical record contains a Deterioration Index (DI) algorithm that generates a prediction score every 15 min using objective data. Previous validation studies show rapid increases in DI score (≥14) predict a worse prognosis. The aim of this study was to demonstrate the utility of DI scores in the trauma intensive care unit (ICU) population.A prospective, single-center study of trauma ICU patients in a Level 1 trauma center was conducted during a 3-mo period. Charts were reviewed every 24 h for minimum and maximum DI score, largest score change (Δ), and AE. Patients were grouped as low risk (ΔDI14) or high risk (ΔDI ≥14).A total of 224 patients were evaluated. High-risk patients were more likely to experience AEs (69.0% versus 47.6%, P = 0.002). No patients with DI scores30 were readmitted to the ICU after being stepped down to the floor. Patients that were readmitted and subsequently died all had DI scores of ≥60 when first stepped down from the ICU.This study demonstrates DI scores predict decompensation risk in the surgical ICU population, which may otherwise go unnoticed in real time. This can identify patients at risk of AE when transferred to the floor. Using the DI model could alert providers to increase surveillance in high-risk patients to mitigate unplanned returns to the ICU and failure to rescue.

BACKGROUND: Succinate (SI) is a citric acid cycle metabolite that accumulates in tissues during hemorrhagic shock (HS) due to electron transport chain uncoupling. Dimethyl malonate (DMM) is a competitive inhibitor of succinate dehydrogenase, which has been shown to reduce SI accumulation and protect against reperfusion injury. Whether DMM can be therapeutic after severe HS is unknown. We hypothesized that DMM would prevent SI buildup during resuscitation in a swine model of hemorrhagic shock, leading to better physiological recovery after resuscitation (RES). METHODS: The carotid arteries of Yorkshire pigs were cannulated with a 5-French catheter. After placement of a Swan-Ganz catheter and femoral arterial line, the carotid catheters were opened and the animals were exsanguinated to a mean arterial pressure (MAP) of 45 mm. After 30 minutes in the shock state, the animals were resuscitated to a MAP of 60 mm using lactated ringers. A MAP above 60 mm was maintained throughout RES. One group received 10 mg/kg of DMM (n=6) while the control received sham injections (n=6). The primary end-point was SI levels. Secondary end-points included cardiac function and lactate. RESULTS: SI levels increased from baseline to the 20-minute RES point in control, while the DMM cohort remained unchanged. The DMM group required less IV fluid to maintain a MAP above 60 (450.0 vs. 229.0 mL, p=0.01). The DMM group had higher pulmonary capillary wedge pressure at the 20 and 40-minute RES points. The DMM group had better recovery of cardiac output and index during RES, while the control had no improvement. While lactate levels were similar, DMM may lead to increased ionized calcium levels. DISCUSSION: DMM slows SI accumulation during HS and helps preserve cardiac filling pressures and function during RES. In addition, DMM may protect against depletion of ionized calcium. DMM may have therapeutic potential during HS. STUDY TYPE: Basic science paper