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Changing climate conditions are well documented to affect species distribution patterns and migratory phenology, especially for thermally constrained species. Climate induced changes and other natural and anthropogenic factors may affect habitats heterogeneously, altering microhabitats that act as refugia. Here, we used a thermally constrained marine mammal, the West Indian manatee (Trichechus manatus), as a model species to examine how the availability of thermal microrefugia combined with climate driven increases in regional water temperatures may affect the timing and duration of occurrence at the northern margins of the species’ range. We used aerial, thermographic imaging to identify potential thermal anomalies that could act as thermal microrefugia for manatees during unfavorable cold temperatures and assessed manatee occurrence at these sites using citizen-sourced manatee sightings and stranding response data. To further understand how regional and longer-term water temperatures may affect the use of thermal microrefugia and phenology of migration, we compared spatial and temporal distributions of manatee sightings to air and sea surface temperatures on a decadal scale. Thermal anomalies were detected at various sources, and documented manatee sightings at or near these sites support use as thermal microrefugia during cold periods. Cold season manatee sightings at a known western migratory endpoint (Alabama waters) have increased during the last decade, primarily through increased sightings during the late fall and early winter (Nov–Jan) that correspond to increased regional temperatures during the same period. Manatees may use thermal microrefugia to remain at northern latitudes longer, delaying seasonal migrations or overwintering as conditions allow. Climate change is likely to have further effects on the species’ distribution and migration patterns, potentially facilitating modern range expansion that has implications for management and recovery actions for manatees across their range. Our study provides novel insight for manatees but may also be used as a model to understand how other thermally constrained species may expand their ranges into higher latitudes.

Abstract Stable isotope analysis (SIA) provides ecological data that can be safely and efficiently collected on endangered, threatened, and cryptic species. Marine mammals are an ecologically important group for which economical and logistical constraints can make data collection challenging. Stranded marine mammals are often used in research, but the causes of strandings and subsequent tissue decomposition could affect SIA. We conducted a three‐part study to test the validity of using δ13C and δ15N values from tissues of stranded bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) and West Indian manatees (Trichechus manatus) for ecological studies. First, we quantified isotopic overlap using ellipses based on 95% of the data to compare isotope values in skin between stranded and live‐captured animals. Second, we compared stable isotope values from liver, skin, and muscle of animals that had stranded and were sampled at different decomposition stages. Third, we experimentally exposed each tissue to environmental conditions and sampled tissues as they decomposed. For both dolphins and manatees, isotopic ellipses from skin of stranded carcasses were similar to live‐captured individuals. Among individuals recovered at different decomposition stages, more advanced decomposition affected δ13C values in dolphin liver and skin but not in manatee tissues and had no effect on δ15N values in any tissue for either species. In the experimental manipulation, decomposition resulted in depleted δ13C values, enriched δ15N values, and increased C:N in liver for both species. Skin and muscle from stranded dolphins and manatees are representative of their corresponding live populations and can be used for SIA with appropriate caution. To facilitate the use of tissues from stranded animals, tissues should be dried or frozen for storage as soon as possible after sampling. We recommend liver from stranded animals only be used for SIA when researchers need tissues with short turnover times and can access fresh samples. Without consideration of decomposition effects on isotope values, ecologists may make inaccurate inferences about habitat use, diet, and community structure. Careful use of SIA on tissues from stranded animals can help researchers provide better quality information for managers and policy makers.

ABSTRACT Vibrio cholerae is the etiological agent of the illness cholera. However, there are non-O1/non-O139 V. cholerae (NOVC) strains that generally lack the toxin gene (ctx) and colonization factors that cause cholera. These NOVC strains are autochthonous members of estuarine environments and a significant cause of seafood-borne gastroenteritis in the United States. The objective of this study was to identify environmental parameters that correlate with NOVC prevalence in oysters, water, and sediment at three ecologically diverse locations in Mobile Bay, AL, including Dog River (DR), Fowl River (FR), and Cedar Point (CP). Oyster, water, and sediment samples were collected twice a month when conditions were favorable for NOVC growth and once a month when they were not. A most probable number (MPN)/real-time PCR assay was used to determine NOVC abundances. Environmental parameters were measured during sampling to determine their relationship, if any, with NOVC at each site. NOVC abundances in oysters at DR, FR, and CP were 0.87, 0.87, and −0.13 log MPN/g, respectively. In water, the median NOVC levels at DR, FR, and CP were 1.18, −0.13, and −0.82 log MPN/mL, and in sediment, the levels were 1.48, 1.87, and −0.03 log MPN/g, respectively. Correlations of NOVC abundances in oyster, water, and sediment samples with environmental parameters were largely site specific. For example, the levels of NOVC in oysters at DR had a positive correlation with temperature but a negative correlation with dissolved oxygen (DO) and nutrient concentrations, NO2−, NO3−, dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN), total dissolved nitrogen (TDN), and dissolved inorganic phosphorus (DIP). At FR, however, the levels of NOVC in oysters displayed only a negative correlation with NO2−. When grouping NOVC abundances by temperature, the main driving factor for prevalence, additional correlations with salinity, total cell counts, dissolved organic nitrogen (DON), and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) became evident regardless of the site. IMPORTANCE NOVC can cause gastrointestinal illness in humans, which typically occurs after the consumption of raw or undercooked seafood. Incidence rates of NOVC gastroenteritis have increased during the past decade. In this study, NOVC was enumerated from oysters, sediment, and water collected at three sites in Mobile Bay, with environmental parameters measured concurrently over the course of a year, to identify potential environmental drivers of NOVC abundances. The data from this study, from an area lacking in V. cholerae research, provide a useful baseline for risk analysis of V. cholerae infections. Defining correlations between NOVC and environmental attributes at different sites and temperatures within a dynamic system such as Mobile Bay provides valuable data to better understand the occurrence and proliferation of V. cholerae in the environment.

Human activity affects marine mammal stranding rates in two major ways; through human interaction (HI) that may lead to mortality and through search and response efforts that enable carcass detection. To better quantify the combined effects of these interacting human influences, we analyzed strandings for bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) in the northern Gulf of Mexico (nGOM), an area of high cetacean strandings. To identify hotspots of human influence, we first determined the number of total and HI-related bottlenose dolphin strandings normalized to shoreline length in each nGOM U.S. state, which represent major response areas. To estimate the effects of response effort on stranding numbers (for HI and non-HI strandings), we used the Deepwater Horizon oil spill (DWHOS) as an established benchmark to compare periods of lower (pre-spill) and higher (post-spill) response effort. Strandings in Alabama waters were used as a case study to detail spatial and temporal variation due to human influences during the 39-year period of retrospective study. We found an increase in strandings from Louisiana through Alabama following the DWHOS. Non-oil related HI strandings increased in total number in AL, and they increased as a proportion of total strandings in Alabama (16%) and the Florida panhandle (12%). The increase in HI-related strandings in Alabama was driven by mortality of many types, but particularly fishery interactions and cases of apparent intentional harm. The Alabama case study clearly detected lower stranding numbers during periods of low or intermittent response coverage. Our findings are consistent with an overall increase in stranding numbers due to a combination of increased stranding occurrence and response effort following the DWHOS. Importantly, we provide evidence that HI-related standings increased independently from the DWHOS, with ongoing increases in at least one hotspot (Alabama). These findings provide a first step to parsing out different effects of human influences on stranding data for a common coastal cetacean. Our approach establishes baselines for future damage and recovery assessments, identifies areas where resources can be focused for management and education, and highlights the power of response and monitoring agencies to positively influence stranding datasets.