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Event popularity prediction over social media is crucial for estimating information propagation scope, decision making, and emergency prevention. However, existing approaches only focus on predicting the occurrences of single attribute such as a message, a hashtag or an image, which are not comprehensive enough for representing complex social event propagation. In this paper, we predict the event popularity, where an event is described as a set of messages containing multiple hashtags. We propose a novel hashtag-influence-based event popularity prediction by mining the impact of an influential hashtag set on the event propagation. Specifically, we first propose a hashtag-influence-based cascade model to select the influential hashtags over an event hashtag graph built by the pairwise hashtag similarity and the topic distribution of event-related hashtags. A novel measurement is proposed to identify the hashtag influence of an event over its content and social impacts. A hashtag correlation-based algorithm is proposed to optimize the seed selection in a greedy manner. Then, we propose an event-fitting boosting model to predict the event popularity by embedding the feature importance over events into the XGBOOST model. Moreover, we propose an event-structure-based method, which incrementally updates the prediction model over social streams. We have conducted extensive experiments to prove the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed approach. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurate house prediction is of great significance to various real estate stakeholders such as house owners, buyers, and investors. We propose a location-centered prediction framework that differs from existing work in terms of data profiling and prediction model. Regarding data profiling, we make an important observation as follows – besides the in-house features such as floor area, the location plays a critical role in house price prediction. Unfortunately, existing work either overlooked it or had a coarse grained measurement of locations. Thereby, we define and capture a fine-grained location profile powered by a diverse range of location data sources, including transportation profile, education profile, suburb profile based on census data, and facility profile. Regarding the choice of prediction model, we observe that a variety of approaches either consider the entire data for modeling, or split the entire house data and model each partition independently. However, such modeling ignores the relatedness among partitions, and for all prediction scenarios, there may not be sufficient training samples per partition for the latter approach. We address this problem by conducting a careful study of exploiting the Multi-Task Learning (MTL) model. Specifically, we map the strategies for splitting the entire house data to the ways the tasks are defined in MTL, and select specific MTL-based methods with different regularization terms to capture and exploit the relatedness among tasks. Based on real-world house transaction data collected in Melbourne, Australia, we design extensive experimental evaluations, and the results indicate a significant superiority of MTL-based methods over state-of-the-art approaches. Meanwhile, we conduct an in-depth analysis on the impact of task definitions and method selections in MTL on the prediction performance, and demonstrate that the impact of task definitions on prediction performance far exceeds that of method selections. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Influence maximization has recently received significant attention for scheduling online campaigns or advertisements on social network platforms. However, most studies only focus on user influence via cyber interactions while ignoring their physical interactions which are also essential to gauge influence propagation. Additionally, targeted campaigns or advertisements have not received sufficient attention. To address these issues, we first devise a novel holistic influence diffusion model that takes into account both cyber and physical user interactions in an effective and practical way. Based on the new diffusion model, we formulate a new problem of holistic influence maximization, denoted as HIM query, for targeted advertisements in a spatial social network. The HIM query problem aims to find a minimum set of users whose holistic influence can cover all target users in the network, which belongs to a set covering problem. Since the HIM query problem is NP-hard, we develop a greedy baseline algorithm and then improve on this algorithm to reduce the computational cost. To deal with large networks, we also design a spatial-social index to maintain the social, spatial and textual information of users, as well as developing an index-based efficient solution. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments using one synthetic and three real-world datasets to validate the efficiency and effectiveness of the proposed holistic influence diffusion model and our developed algorithms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Finding an expert plays a crucial role in driving successful collaborations and speeding up high-quality research development and innovations. However, the rapid growth of scientific publications and digital data makes identifying the right experts a challenging problem. Existing approaches for finding experts given a topic can be categorised into information retrieval techniques such as vector space models, document language models, and graph-based models. In this paper, we propose ExpFinder , a new hybrid model for expert finding, that integrates a novel N -gram vector space model, denoted as n VSM, and a graph-based model, denoted as μ CO-HITS , that is a proposed variation of the CO-HITS algorithm. The key of n VSM is to exploit recent inverse document frequency weighting method for N -gram words, and ExpFinder incorporates n VSM into μ CO-HITS to achieve expert finding. We comprehensively evaluate ExpFinder on four different datasets from the academic domains in comparison with six different expert finding models. The evaluation results show that ExpFinder is an highly effective model for expert finding, substantially outperforming all the compared models in 19% to 160.2%. • We propose a hybrid model, ExpFinder, for expert finding from expertise text data. • ExpFinder integrates a novel n-gram vector space model and an extension of CO-HITS. • ExpFinder achieves a very high performance over 6 competitive models on 4 datasets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Influential community search (ICS) on a graph finds a closely connected group of vertices having a dominance over other groups of vertices. The ICS has many applications in recommendations, event organization, and so on. In this paper, we introduce a new variant of ICS, namely keyword-aware influential community query (KICQ), that finds the communities with the highest influential scores and whose keywords match with the query terms (a set of keywords) and predicates (AND or OR). It is challenging to find such communities from a large network as the traditional pre-computation approach is not applicable with the change of query terms at every instance of the search. To solve this problem, we design two efficient algorithms: (i) a branch-and-bound approach that exploits the bounds computed from already explored communities to prune the search space, and (ii) a novel index based approach that hierarchically organizes sub-communities and keywords with associated bounds to quickly identify the desired communities. We propose a new influence measure for a community that considers both the cohesiveness and influence of the community and eliminates the need for specifying values of internal parameters of a network. We present detailed experiments and a case study to demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed approaches. • The query considers user preference (as keywords) for influential community search. • Considering the semantics of the keywords adds flexibility for the users. • The proposed influence measure eliminates the need for internal parameters as input. • A novel index is proposed to efficiently retrieve the most influential communities. • The datasets are shared publicly to help future works in this direction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]