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Abstract This study is the first to investigate how 3-year-olds learn simple rules from feedback using the Toddler Card Sorting Task (TCST). To account for intra- and inter- individual differences in the learning process, latent Markov models were fitted to the time series of accuracy responses using maximum likelihood techniques (Visser et al., 2002). In a first, exploratory study (N = 110, 3- to 5-years olds) a considerable group of 3-year olds applied a hypothesis testing learning strategy. A second study confirmed these results with a preregistered study (3-years olds, N = 60). Under supportive learning conditions, a majority of 3-year- olds was capable of hypothesis testing. Furthermore, older children and those with bigger working memory capacities were more likely to use hypothesis testing, even though the latter group perseverated more than younger children or those with smaller working memory capacities. 3-year-olds are more advanced feedback-learners than assumed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Paranormal beliefs encompass a wide variety of phenomena, including the existence of supernatural entities such as ghosts and witches, as well as extraordinary human abilities such as telepathy and clairvoyance. In the current study, we used a nationally representative sample ( N = 2534 ) to investigate the presence and correlates of paranormal beliefs among the secular Dutch population. The results indicated that most single paranormal phenomena (e.g. belief in clairvoyance) are endorsed by 10-20% of Dutch respondents; however, 55.6% of respondents qualify as paranormal believers based on the preregistered criterion that they believe in at least one phenomenon with considerable certainty. In addition, we invited four analysis teams with different methodological expertise to assess the structure of paranormal beliefs using traditional factor analysis, network analysis, Bayesian network analysis and latent class analysis (LCA). The teams' analyses indicated adequate fit of a four-factor structure reported in a 1985 study, but also emphasized different conclusions across techniques; network analyses showed evidence against strong connectedness within most clusters, and suggested a five-cluster structure. The application of various analytic techniques painted a nuanced picture of paranormal beliefs and believers in The Netherlands and suggests that despite increased secularization, subgroups of the general population still believe in paranormal phenomena., Competing Interests: We declare we have no competing interests., (© 2024 The Authors.)

Facial expressions are among the earliest behaviors infants use to express emotional states, and are crucial to preverbal social interaction. Manual coding of infant facial expressions, however, is laborious and poses limitations to replicability. Recent developments in computer vision have advanced automated facial expression analyses in adults, providing reproducible results at lower time investment. Baby FaceReader 9 is commercially available software for automated measurement of infant facial expressions, but has received little validation. We compared Baby FaceReader 9 output to manual micro-coding of positive, negative, or neutral facial expressions in a longitudinal dataset of 58 infants at 4 and 8 months of age during naturalistic face-to-face interactions with the mother, father, and an unfamiliar adult. Baby FaceReader 9's global emotional valence formula yielded reasonable classification accuracy (AUC = .81) for discriminating manually coded positive from negative/neutral facial expressions; however, the discrimination of negative from neutral facial expressions was not reliable (AUC = .58). Automatically detected a priori action unit (AU) configurations for distinguishing positive from negative facial expressions based on existing literature were also not reliable. A parsimonious approach using only automatically detected smiling (AU12) yielded good performance for discriminating positive from negative/neutral facial expressions (AUC = .86). Likewise, automatically detected brow lowering (AU3+AU4) reliably distinguished neutral from negative facial expressions (AUC = .79). These results provide initial support for the use of selected automatically detected individual facial actions to index positive and negative affect in young infants, but shed doubt on the accuracy of complex a priori formulas., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

The zinc-finger antiviral protein (ZAP) is a restriction factor that proficiently impedes the replication of a variety of RNA and DNA viruses. In recent years, the affinity of ZAP's zinc-fingers for single-stranded RNA (ssRNA) rich in CpG dinucleotides was uncovered. High frequencies of CpGs in RNA may suggest a non-self origin, which underscores the importance of ZAP as a potential cellular sensor of (viral) RNA. Upon binding viral RNA, ZAP recruits cellular cofactors to orchestrate a finely tuned antiviral response that limits virus replication via distinct mechanisms. These include promoting degradation of viral RNA, inhibiting RNA translation, and synergizing with other immune pathways. Depending on the viral species and experimental set-up, different isoforms and cellular cofactors have been reported to be dominant in shaping the ZAP-mediated antiviral response. Here we review how ZAP differentially affects viral replication depending on distinct interactions with RNA, cellular cofactors, and viral proteins to discuss how these interactions shape the antiviral mechanisms that have thus far been reported for ZAP. Importantly, we zoom in on the unknown aspects of ZAP's antiviral system and its therapeutic potential to be employed in vaccine design., Competing Interests: Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interest exists., (© The author(s).)

(e.g., characters or fractals) and concrete stimuli (e.g., pictures of everyday objects) are used interchangeably in the reinforcement-learning literature. Yet, it is unclear whether the same learning processes underlie learning from these different stimulus types. In two preregistered experiments (N = 50 each), we assessed whether abstract and concrete stimuli yield different reinforcement-learning performance and whether this difference can be explained by verbalization. We argued that concrete stimuli are easier to verbalize than abstract ones, and that people therefore can appeal to the phonological loop, a subcomponent of the working-memory system responsible for storing and rehearsing verbal information, while learning. To test whether this verbalization aids reinforcement-learning performance, we administered a reinforcement-learning task in which participants learned either abstract or concrete stimuli while verbalization was hindered or not. In the first experiment, results showed a more pronounced detrimental effect of hindered verbalization for concrete than abstract stimuli on response times, but not on accuracy. In the second experiment, in which we reduced the response window, results showed the differential effect of hindered verbalization between stimulus types on accuracy, not on response times. These results imply that verbalization aids learning for concrete, but not abstract, stimuli and therefore that different processes underlie learning from these types of stimuli. This emphasizes the importance of carefully considering stimulus types. We discuss these findings in light of generalizability and validity of reinforcement-learning research., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

We present an exact replication of Experiment 2 from Kovács and Mehler's 2009 study, which showed that 7-month-old infants who are raised bilingually exhibit a cognitive advantage. In the experiment, a sound cue, following an AAB or ABB pattern, predicted the appearance of a visual stimulus on the screen. The stimulus appeared on one side of the screen for nine trials and then switched to the other side. In the original experiment, both mono- and bilingual infants anticipated where the visual stimulus would appear during pre-switch trials. However, during post-switch trials, only bilingual children anticipated that the stimulus would appear on the other side of the screen. The authors took this as evidence of a cognitive advantage. Using the exact same materials in combination with novel analysis techniques (Bayesian analyses, mixed effects modeling and cluster based permutation analyses), we assessed the robustness of these findings in four babylabs (N = 98). Our results did not replicate the original findings: although anticipatory looks increased slightly during post-switch trials for both groups, bilingual infants were not better switchers than monolingual infants. After the original experiment, we presented additional trials to examine whether infants associated sound patterns with cued locations, for which we did not find any evidence either. The results highlight the importance of multicenter replications and more fine-grained statistical analyses to better understand child development. HIGHLIGHTS: We carried out an exact replication across four baby labs of the high-impact study by Kovács and Mehler (2009). We did not replicate the findings of the original study, calling into question the robustness of the claim that bilingual infants have enhanced cognitive abilities. After the original experiment, we presented additional trials to examine whether infants correctly associated sound patterns with cued locations, for which we did not find any evidence. The use of novel analysis techniques (Bayesian analyses, mixed effects modeling and cluster based permutation analyses) allowed us to draw better-informed conclusions., (© 2023 The Authors. Developmental Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Vector-borne diseases, including those transmitted by mosquitoes, account for more than 17% of infectious diseases worldwide. This number is expected to rise with an increased spread of vector mosquitoes and viruses due to climate change and man-made alterations to ecosystems. Among the most common, medically relevant mosquito-borne infections are those caused by arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses), especially members of the genera Flavivirus and Alphavirus . Arbovirus infections can cause severe disease in humans, livestock and wildlife. Severe consequences from infections include congenital malformations as well as arthritogenic, haemorrhagic or neuroinvasive disease. Inactivated or live-attenuated vaccines (LAVs) are available for a small number of arboviruses; however there are no licensed vaccines for the majority of these infections. Here we discuss recent developments in pan-arbovirus LAV approaches, from site-directed attenuation strategies targeting conserved determinants of virulence to universal strategies that utilize genome-wide re-coding of viral genomes. In addition to these approaches, we discuss novel strategies targeting mosquito saliva proteins that play an important role in virus transmission and pathogenesis in vertebrate hosts. For rapid pre-clinical evaluations of novel arbovirus vaccine candidates, representative in vitro and in vivo experimental systems are required to assess the desired specific immune responses. Here we discuss promising models to study attenuation of neuroinvasion, neurovirulence and virus transmission, as well as antibody induction and potential for cross-reactivity. Investigating broadly applicable vaccination strategies to target the direct interface of the vertebrate host, the mosquito vector and the viral pathogen is a prime example of a One Health strategy to tackle human and animal diseases., Competing Interests: The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (© 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

Due to changes in climate, numerous mosquito species are continuously extending their geographical distributions, posing potential new public health threats as arbovirus infections emerge in these new areas. During probing and feeding on the vertebrate host, a mosquito can inject both arbovirus and saliva into the skin of the host. The presence of mosquito saliva in the host skin during arbovirus transmission contributes to high viral titers in the skin, enhanced viremia, and rapid dissemination of the virus to target organs. This enhanced phenotype effectuated by the presence of mosquito saliva in the skin can be partly ascribed to a polarization of the local immune balance towards a Th2 response, an increased permeability of the dermal endothelium, and the influx of virus-susceptible immune cells to the bite site. However, the complete identification and characterization of immunomodulatory salivary proteins from different mosquito species and the mechanisms by which these salivary proteins exert their effects synergistically or antagonistically remains to be further explored. Moreover, the effect of new virus-vector combinations on the outcome of arbovirus infection in a new host is limited. Here, we review the immunomodulatory effects of mosquito saliva in the skin and the proposed mechanisms by which mosquito saliva enhances arbovirus pathogenesis in the vertebrate host, and discuss potential differences between Aedes and Culex mosquito species, the main vectors for medically important arboviruses. Gaining more insight into the effect of mosquito saliva in the vector-virus-host triad aids in predicting the potential transmission risk and disease severity of emerging vector-borne diseases., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (© 2023 The Authors.)

We conducted a close replication of the seminal work by Marcus and colleagues from 1999, which showed that after a brief auditory exposure phase, 7-month-old infants were able to learn and generalize a rule to novel syllables not previously present in the exposure phase. This work became the foundation for the theoretical framework by which we assume that infants are able to learn abstract representations and generalize linguistic rules. While some extensions on the original work have shown evidence of rule learning, the outcomes are mixed, and an exact replication of Marcus et al.'s study has thus far not been reported. A recent meta-analysis by Rabagliati and colleagues brings to light that the rule-learning effect depends on stimulus type (e.g., meaningfulness, speech vs. nonspeech) and is not as robust as often assumed. In light of the theoretical importance of the issue at stake, it is appropriate and necessary to assess the replicability and robustness of Marcus et al.'s findings. Here we have undertaken a replication across four labs with a large sample of 7-month-old infants (N = 96), using the same exposure patterns (ABA and ABB), methodology (Headturn Preference Paradigm), and original stimuli. As in the original study, we tested the hypothesis that infants are able to learn abstract "algebraic" rules and apply them to novel input. Our results did not replicate the original findings: infants showed no difference in looking time between test patterns consistent or inconsistent with the familiarization pattern they were exposed to., (© 2022 The Authors. Developmental Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background and Aims: Pancreatic cancer has a dismal prognosis. So far, imaging has been proven incapable of establishing an early enough diagnosis. Thus, biomarkers are urgently needed for early detection and improved survival. Our aim was to evaluate the pooled diagnostic performance of DNA alterations in pancreatic juice., Methods: A systematic literature search was performed in EMBASE, MEDLINE Ovid, Cochrane CENTRAL and Web of Science for studies concerning the diagnostic performance of DNA alterations in pancreatic juice to differentiate patients with high-grade dysplasia or pancreatic cancer from controls. Study quality was assessed using QUADAS-2. The pooled prevalence, sensitivity, specificity and diagnostic odds ratio were calculated., Results: Studies mostly concerned cell-free DNA mutations (32 studies: 939 cases, 1678 controls) and methylation patterns (14 studies: 579 cases, 467 controls). KRAS, TP53, CDKN2A, GNAS and SMAD4 mutations were evaluated most. Of these, TP53 had the highest diagnostic performance with a pooled sensitivity of 42% (95% CI: 31-54%), specificity of 98% (95%-CI: 92%-100%) and diagnostic odds ratio of 36 (95% CI: 9-133). Of DNA methylation patterns, hypermethylation of CDKN2A, NPTX2 and ppENK were studied most. Hypermethylation of NPTX2 performed best with a sensitivity of 39-70% and specificity of 94-100% for distinguishing pancreatic cancer from controls., Conclusions: This meta-analysis shows that, in pancreatic juice, the presence of distinct DNA mutations (TP53, SMAD4 or CDKN2A) and NPTX2 hypermethylation have a high specificity (close to 100%) for the presence of high-grade dysplasia or pancreatic cancer. However, the sensitivity of these DNA alterations is poor to moderate, yet may increase if they are combined in a panel., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest I.J. Visser: No conflicts of interest. I.J.M Levink: No conflicts of interest. G.M Fuhler: No conflicts of interest. M.J. Bruno: Boston Scientific (Consultant, support for industry and investigator-initiated studies), Cook Medical (Consultant, support for industry and investigator-initiated studies), Pentax Medical (Consultant, support for investigator-initiated studies), Mylan (Support for investigator-initiated studies), ChiRoStim (Support for investigator-initiated studies). D.L Cahen: No conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Eye-tracking allows researchers to infer cognitive processes from eye movements that are classified into distinct events. Parsing the events is typically done by algorithms. Here we aim at developing an unsupervised, generative model that can be fitted to eye-movement data using maximum likelihood estimation. This approach allows hypothesis testing about fitted models, next to being a method for classification. We developed gazeHMM, an algorithm that uses a hidden Markov model as a generative model, has few critical parameters to be set by users, and does not require human coded data as input. The algorithm classifies gaze data into fixations, saccades, and optionally postsaccadic oscillations and smooth pursuits. We evaluated gazeHMM's performance in a simulation study, showing that it successfully recovered hidden Markov model parameters and hidden states. Parameters were less well recovered when we included a smooth pursuit state and/or added even small noise to simulated data. We applied generative models with different numbers of events to benchmark data. Comparing them indicated that hidden Markov models with more events than expected had most likely generated the data. We also applied the full algorithm to benchmark data and assessed its similarity to human coding and other algorithms. For static stimuli, gazeHMM showed high similarity and outperformed other algorithms in this regard. For dynamic stimuli, gazeHMM tended to rapidly switch between fixations and smooth pursuits but still displayed higher similarity than most other algorithms. Concluding that gazeHMM can be used in practice, we recommend parsing smooth pursuits only for exploratory purposes. Future hidden Markov model algorithms could use covariates to better capture eye movement processes and explicitly model event durations to classify smooth pursuits more accurately., Competing Interests: The author(s) declare(s) that the contents of the article are in agreement with the ethics described in http://biblio.unibe.ch/portale/elibrary/BOP/jemr/ethics.html and that there is no conflict of interest regarding the publication of this paper.

Adolescence is characterized by a surge in maladaptive risk-taking behaviors, but whether and how this relates to developmental changes in experience-based learning is largely unknown. In this preregistered study, we addressed this issue using a novel task that allowed us to separate the learning-driven optimization of risky choice behavior over time from overall risk-taking tendencies. Adolescents (12-17 years old) learned to dissociate advantageous from disadvantageous risky choices less well than adults (20-35 years old), and this impairment was stronger in early than mid-late adolescents. Computational modeling revealed that adolescents' suboptimal performance was largely due to an inefficiency in core learning and choice processes. Specifically, adolescents used a simpler, suboptimal, expectation-updating process and a more stochastic choice policy. In addition, the modeling results suggested that adolescents, but not adults, overvalued the highest rewards. Finally, an exploratory latent-mixture model analysis indicated that a substantial proportion of the participants in each age group did not engage in experience-based learning but used a gambler's fallacy strategy, stressing the importance of analyzing individual differences. Our results help understand why adolescents tend to make more, and more persistent, maladaptive risky decisions than adults when the values of these decisions have to be learned from experience., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

Yarkoni's analysis clearly articulates a number of concerns limiting the generalizability and explanatory power of psychological findings, many of which are compounded in infancy research. ManyBabies addresses these concerns via a radically collaborative, large-scale and open approach to research that is grounded in theory-building, committed to diversification, and focused on understanding sources of variation.

Recent studies that compared effects of pre-learning advice on experience-based learning in adolescents and adults have yielded mixed results. Previous studies on this topic used choice tasks in which age-related differences in advice-related learning bias and exploratory choice behavior are difficult to dissociate. Moreover, these studies did not examine whether effects of advice depend on working memory load. In this preregistered study (in adolescents [13-15 years old] and adults [18-31 years old]), we addressed these issues by factorially combining advice and working memory load manipulations in an estimation task that does not require choices and hence eliminates the influence of known age-related differences in exploration. We found that advice guided participants' initial estimates in both age groups. When advice was correct, this improved estimation performance, especially in adolescents when working memory load was high. When advice was incorrect, it had a longer-lasting effect on adolescents' performance than on adults' performance. In contrast to previous findings in choice tasks, we found no evidence that advice biased learning in either age group. Taken together, our results suggest that learning in an estimation task improves between adolescence and adulthood but that the effects of advice on learning do not differ substantially between adolescents and adults., (Copyright © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)