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This paper proposed a short-term two-stage hybrid algorithmic framework for trade and trend analysis of the Forex market by augmenting the currency pair datasets with transformed attributes using a few technical indicators and statistical measures. In the first phase, an optimized deep predictive coding network (DPCN) based on a meta-heuristic reptile search algorithm (RSA) inspired by the intelligent hunting activities of the crocodiles is exploited to develop this RSA-DPCN predictive model. The proposed model has been compared with optimized versions of extreme learning machine (ELM) and functional link artificial neural network (FLANN) with genetic algorithm (GA), particle swarm optimization (PSO), and differential evolution (DE) along with the RSA optimizers. The performance of this model has been evaluated and validated through several statistical tests. In the second phase, the up and down trends are analyzed using the Higher Highs Higher Lows, and Lower Highs Lower Lows (HHs/HLs and LHs/LLs) trend analysis tool. Further, the observed trends are compared with the actual trends observed on the exchange price of real datasets. This study shows that the proposed RSA-DPCN model accurately predicts the exchange price. At the same time, it provides a well-structured platform to discern the directions of the market trends and thereby guides in finding the entry and exit points of the Forex market. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Class imbalance is one of the significant challenges in classification problems. The uneven distribution of data samples in different classes may occur due to human error, improper/unguided collection of data samples, etc. The uneven distribution of class samples among classes may affect the classification accuracy of the developed model. The main motivation behind this study is the design and development of methodologies for handling class imbalance problems. In this study, a new variant of the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) has been proposed with the hybridization of particle swarm optimization (PSO) and Egyptian vulture (EV). The proposed method has been termed SMOTE-PSOEV in this study. The proposed method generates an optimized set of synthetic samples from traditional SMOTE and augments the five datasets for verification and validation. The SMOTE-PSOEV is then compared with existing SMOTE variants, i.e., Tomek Link, Borderline SMOTE1, Borderline SMOTE2, Distance SMOTE, and ADASYN. After data augmentation to the minority classes, the performance of SMOTE-PSOEV has been evaluated using support vector machine (SVM), Naïve Bayes (NB), and k-nearest-neighbor (k-NN) classifiers. The results illustrate that the proposed models achieved higher accuracy than existing SMOTE variants. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article presents the Reliability Assessment (RA) of renewable energy interfaced Electrical Distribution System (EDS) considering the electrical loss minimization (ELM). ELM aims at minimizing the detrimental effect of real power and reactive power losses in the EDS. Some techniques, including integration of Renewable Energy Source (RES), network reconfiguration, and expansion planning, have been suggested in the literature for achieving ELM. The optimal RES integration (also referred to as Distributed Generation (DG)) is one of the globally accepted techniques to achieve minimization of electrical losses. Therefore, first, the locations to accommodate these DGs are obtained by implementing two indexes, namely Index-1 for single DG and Index-2 for multiple DGs. Second, a Constriction Factor-based Particle Swarm Optimization (CF-PSO) technique is applied to obtain an optimal sizing(s) of the DGs for achieving the ELM. Third, the RA of the EDS is performed using the optimal location(s) and sizing(s) of the RESs (i.e., Solar photovoltaic (SPV) and Wind Turbine Generator (WTG)). Moreover, a Battery Storage System (BSS) is also incorporated optimally with the RESs to further achieve the ELM and to improve the system's reliability. The result analysis is performed by considering the power output rating of WTG-GE's V162-5.6MW (IECS), SPV-Sunpower's SPR-P5-545-UPP, and BSS-Freqcon's BESS-3000 (i.e., Battery Energy Storage System 3000), which are provided by the corresponding manufacturers. According to the outcomes of the study, the results are found to be coherent with those obtained using other techniques that are available in the literature. These results are considered for the RA of the EDS. RA is further analyzed considering the uncertainties in reliability data of WTG and SPV, including the failure rate and the repair time. The RA of optimally placed DGs is performed by considering the electrical loss minimization. It is inferred that the reliability of the EDS improves by contemplating suitable reliability data of optimally integrated DGs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]