3 results
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2. The implications of climate change for the water environment in England.
- Author
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Arnell, Nigel W., Halliday, Sarah J., Battarbee, Richard W., Skeffington, Richard A., and Wade, Andrew J.
- Subjects
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CLIMATE change , *HYDROLOGY , *WATER management , *WATERSHEDS - Abstract
This paper reviews the implications of climate change for the water environment and its management in England. There is a large literature, but most studies have looked at flow volumes or nutrients and none have considered explicitly the implications of climate change for the delivery of water management objectives. Studies have been undertaken in a small number of locations. Studies have used observations from the past to infer future changes, and have used numerical simulation models with climate change scenarios. The literature indicates that climate change poses risks to the delivery of water management objectives, but that these risks depend on local catchment and water body conditions. Climate change affects the status of water bodies, and it affects the effectiveness of measures to manage the water environment and meet policy objectives. The future impact of climate change on the water environment and its management is uncertain. Impacts are dependent on changes in the duration of dry spells and frequency of ‘flushing’ events, which are highly uncertain and not included in current climate scenarios. There is a good qualitative understanding of ways in which systems may change, but interactions between components of the water environment are poorly understood. Predictive models are only available for some components, and model parametric and structural uncertainty has not been evaluated. The impacts of climate change depend on other pressures on the water environment in a catchment, and also on the management interventions that are undertaken to achieve water management objectives. The paper has also developed a series of consistent conceptual models describing the implications of climate change for pressures on the water environment, based around the source-pathway-receptor concept. They provide a framework for a systematic assessment across catchments and pressures of the implications of climate change for the water environment and its management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Climate change and water in the UK – past changes and future prospects.
- Author
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Watts, Glenn, Battarbee, Richard W., Bloomfield, John P., Crossman, Jill, Daccache, Andre, Durance, Isabelle, Elliott, J. Alex, Garner, Grace, Hannaford, Jamie, Hannah, David M., Hess, Tim, Jackson, Christopher R., Kay, Alison L., Kernan, Martin, Knox, Jerry, Mackay, Jonathan, Monteith, Don T., Ormerod, Steve J., Rance, Jemima, and Stuart, Marianne E.
- Subjects
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CLIMATE change , *RAINFALL , *TEMPERATURE , *WATERSHEDS , *HYDROLOGY - Abstract
Climate change is expected to modify rainfall, temperature and catchment hydrological responses across the world, and adapting to these water-related changes is a pressing challenge. This paper reviews the impact of anthropogenic climate change on water in the UK and looks at projections of future change. The natural variability of the UK climate makes change hard to detect; only historical increases in air temperature can be attributed to anthropogenic climate forcing, but over the last 50 years more winter rainfall has been falling in intense events. Future changes in rainfall and evapotranspiration could lead to changed flow regimes and impacts on water quality, aquatic ecosystems and water availability. Summer flows may decrease on average, but floods may become larger and more frequent. River and lake water quality may decline as a result of higher water temperatures, lower river flows and increased algal blooms in summer, and because of higher flows in the winter. In communicating this important work, researchers should pay particular attention to explaining confidence and uncertainty clearly. Much of the relevant research is either global or highly localized: decision-makers would benefit from more studies that address water and climate change at a spatial and temporal scale appropriate for the decisions they make. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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