24 results
Search Results
2. A new Monte Carlo Feature Selection (MCFS) algorithm-based weighting scheme for multi-model ensemble of precipitation.
- Author
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Baseer, Abdul, Ali, Zulfiqar, Ilyas, Maryam, and Yousaf, Mahrukh
- Subjects
- *
FEATURE selection , *GENERAL circulation model , *MACHINE learning , *WILDFIRES , *WATER shortages , *STATISTICAL correlation , *HURRICANES - Abstract
Changes in patterns of meteorological parameters, like precipitations, temperature, wind, etc., are causing significant increases in various extreme events. And these extreme events, i.e., floods, heatwaves, hurricanes, droughts, etc., lead to a shortage of water resources, crop failures, wildfires, and economic losses. However, Global Circulation Models (GCMs) are considered the most important tools for quantifying climate change. Therefore, we selected 20 different GCMs of precipitation in our research, as the frequency of extreme events, like drought and flood, is highly related to changes in precipitation patterns. However, this research introduced a new weighting scheme — MCFSAWS-Ensemble: Monte Carlo Feature Selection Adaptive Weighting Scheme to Ensemble multiple GCMs, whereas, Monte Carlo Feature Selection (MCFS) is one of the most popular algorithms for discovering important variables. However, the proposed weighting scheme (MCFSAWS-Ensemble) is mainly based on two sources. Initially, it evaluates the prior performance of each GCM model to define their relative importance using MCFS. Then, it computes value by value difference between the observed and simulated model. In addition, the application of this paper is based on the monthly time series data of precipitation in the Tibet Plateau region of China. In addition, we used twenty GCMs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) to analyze the implications of the MCFSAWS-Ensemble. Further, we compared the performance of the MCFSAWS-Ensemble scheme with Simple Model Averaging (SMA) through Mean Average Error (MAE) and correlation statistics. The results of this research indicate that the proposed weighting scheme (MCFSAWS-Ensemble) is more accurate than the SMA approach. Consequently, we recommend the use of advanced machine learning algorithms such as MCFS for making accurate multi-model ensembles. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Effects of a rainwater harvesting system on the soil water, heat and growth of apricot in rain-fed orchards on the Loess Plateau.
- Author
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Feng, Na, Huang, Yan, Tian, Jiao, Wang, Yongliang, Ma, Yi, and Zhang, Weijiang
- Subjects
WATER harvesting ,SOIL moisture ,APRICOT ,LOESS ,ENVIRONMENTAL soil science ,RAINFALL ,PLATEAUS - Abstract
Rainwater is the main water source in arid and semiarid areas of the Loess Plateau, where rainfall is generally insufficient, ineffective and underutilized during the growing season. Thus, improving rainwater utilization efficiency is essential for sustainable agricultural development. A new system composed of rainwater harvesting, an infiltrator bucket with multiple holes and mulching (RHM), was designed to maintain soil moisture at a proper level in rain-fed orchards in arid and semiarid areas of the Loess Region of China. However, there is a lack of clarity on the effectiveness of RHM. In this study, changes in the soil environment and the growth and physiology of apricot trees were monitored via two treatments: (1) Rain-harvesting irrigation system (RHM) treatment and (2) traditional orchard treatment (CK) as a baseline. The results showed that (1) RHM could effectively improve soil water storage at depths of 0–45 cm and at a horizontal distance of 40 cm from the trunk. For the 1.4 mm light rain event, the soil water content increased by 6.3–12%, and for the two moderate rains, the soil water content increased by 12–25%. The change in the soil relative water content predicted by the LSTM model is consistent with the overall trend of the measured value and gradually decreases, and the prediction accuracy is high, with an error of 0.65. (2) The average soil temperatures at 5 cm, 20 cm and 40 cm under RHM were 17.0% (2.4 °C), 13.6% (1.9 °C) and 7.5% (1 °C) greater than those under CK, respectively. (3) Compared with the control treatment, RHM improved the growth and WUEL of apricot trees. The results highlighted the efficiency of the RHM system in enhancing the soil environment and regulating the growth and physiology of apricot trees, which has greater popularization value in arid and semiarid areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Distribution of carbon isotope composition of modern soils on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau.
- Author
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Houyuan Lu, Naiqin Wu, Zhaoyan Gu, Zhengtang Guo, Luo Wang, Haibing Wu, Guoan Wang, Liping Zhou, Jiamao Han, and Tungsheng Liu
- Subjects
CARBON ,ISOTOPES ,NUCLIDES - Abstract
This paper presents a large data set on carbon isotope composition (δ
13 C) of modern soils which were collected under the main vegetation communities along an altitude of 1250–5500 m above sea level in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. The δ13 C values of 198 samples range from -28.6 to -15.1‰ versus PDB and exhibit a clean relation to different vegetation communities from forest (-25.9 ± 1.2‰) to shrub (-24.7 ± 1.4‰), steppe (-23.1 ± 1.3‰), alpine meadow (-23.6 ± 0.7‰), alpine desert steppe (-21.3 ± 1.6‰), and alpine desert (-18.9 ± 2.5‰). We attributed the observed variability in δ13 C values to that the mean annual precipitation (MAP) and the mean annual temperature (MAT) are the main factors controlling the distribution of vegetation types in the Tibetan Plateau, which causes the change in carbon isotope composition of modern soils at any given altitude. The result of both linear and nonlinear regression analyses also confirms that MAP and MAT are the major factors affecting the δ13 C values of surface soils. In the absence of favorable moisture and temperature conditions, low pCO2 alone is not sufficient to cause the distinct changes in carbon isotope composition of modern soils in the Tibetan Plateau. This study provides some fundamental information on the carbon isotope composition of terrestrial carbon pools and bears some practical significance for the use of carbon isotope data to document vegetation changes and environmental conditions of the high plateau in the past. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2004
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5. Carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus dynamics in China's lakes: climatic and geographic influences.
- Author
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Zhou, Nan, Liu, Zunchi, Liu, Kai, Li, Xiang, Lock, Thomas Ryan, Kallenbach, Robert L., and Yuan, Zhiyou
- Subjects
PHOSPHORUS in water ,NITROGEN in soils ,LAKES ,PHOSPHORUS ,NITROGEN ,CARBON ,LAND use - Abstract
Given the differences in geomorphology, climate, hydrology, and human activities in various regions, lake chemometrics may also vary. However, the spatial distribution of lake chemistry and the factors affecting such pattern are still unclear. Here, we collected data for carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus from published literature and databases in 224 lakes and calculated the trophic status index to represent the nutrient classification state of lakes. We found that lakes with high carbon concentrations were located in the Tibet-Qinghai Limnetic Region of western China, whereas lakes with high nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations were located in the Inner Mongolia-Xinjiang Limnetic Region and Northeast Limnetic Region of northern China. Areas with larger cropland and urban residential land (such as the junction of the three lake regions, i.e., the Northeast Limnetic Region, East Limnetic Region, and Inner Mongolia-Xinjiang Limnetic Region) tended to have lakes with high nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations. Our analysis suggested that spatial distribution of carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus concentrations reflect the effect of climate, geomorphology, and land use in each lake region and nationwide. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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6. Different Impacts of Intraseasonal Oscillations on Precipitation in Southeast China between Early and Late Summers.
- Author
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Liu, Junqi and Lu, Riyu
- Subjects
MADDEN-Julian oscillation ,PRECIPITATION anomalies ,SUMMER - Abstract
Copyright of Advances in Atmospheric Sciences is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. Causes and Predictability of the 2021 Spring Southwestern China Severe Drought.
- Author
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Liu, Yunyun, Hu, Zeng-Zhen, Wu, Renguang, and Yuan, Xing
- Subjects
DROUGHTS ,OCEAN temperature ,LA Nina ,GEOPOTENTIAL height ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,SPRING - Abstract
Copyright of Advances in Atmospheric Sciences is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. Severe weather disasters in China linked to solar activity during 1-1825 Common Era.
- Author
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Liu, Jann-Yenq, Chen, Yuh-Ing, Lee, Po-Han, Huang, Chi-Shen, and Fang, Tzu-Wei
- Subjects
SOLAR activity ,SEVERE storms ,EXTREME weather ,DISASTERS ,COLD (Temperature) ,HAIL - Abstract
Historical records truthfully document human life and environment associated with climate changes. We quantify official historical records of China dating back last 2000 years to examine the disasters due to anomalous temperatures of cold or hot, irregular precipitations of wet or dry, and floods in inland/coastal or Northern/Southern areas in four seasons that possibly linked to solar activities during 1-1825 CE (Common Era). It is found that the proportion of disaster years is positively associated with the time periods, and therefore, both the cases with high and low solar activity (HSA and LSA) leading are under study. Statistical results show that extreme cold weather occurs particularly in the Winter and Spring during LSA periods. Irregularities precipitations, including heavy rain/hail/snow and severe drought are significantly frequent during LSA periods, while floods on inland and coastal river basins tend to occur more frequently in LSA and HSA periods, respectively. The disasters owing to irregularities precipitations and floods frequently happen in Summer and Autumn, which suggests that the irregular precipitations could cause the floods. All the disasters occur significantly in the Northern China, which suggests the climate boundary of the Qinling–Huaihe Line along at about 33°N being essential. In total, all the disasters due to the anomalously cold temperatures, irregular precipitations, and floods tend to occur during the LSA periods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Precipitation variability and its response to urbanization in the Taihu Lake Basin, China.
- Author
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Hu, Jian, Liu, Yong, Sang, Yan-Fang, Liu, Changming, and Singh, Vijay P.
- Subjects
PRECIPITATION variability ,WATERSHEDS ,URBAN growth ,URBANIZATION ,CITIES & towns ,WATERLOGGING (Soils) - Abstract
The precipitation pattern in the Taihu Lake basin in East China has significantly changed over the last decades, perhaps due to intensive urbanization. However, there is limited understanding of the effect of large-scale expansion of city groups on the precipitation variability, which causes a challenge for flood control in the basin. Considering the process of urbanization, we investigated in this study the variability of precipitation in different urban zones and characteristic scales and explored the influence of urban development on the rain island effect in the basin. The basin was divided into three zones (old urban area, new urban area, and suburbs) considering different degrees of urbanization. Results indicated that precipitation change and its response to urbanization had spatial differences at various characteristic scales. Urbanization exhibited a significant "precipitation enhancement effect" at the characteristic scales including annual, flood season, summer, autumn, and winter but indicated a "precipitation reduction effect" in spring. Annual (flood season) precipitation in 1990–2013 increased by 30.04 mm (16.94 mm), due to urbanization, compared with that in the preceding period. The rate of contribution of urbanization to precipitation increase was 15.6%, 41.1%, and 14.4% in summer, autumn, and winter. The enhancement effect of short duration rainfall extremes in old urban area was also discernible, and that in new urban areas would enhance along with urban expansion, complicating urban flood and waterlogging control. More effective adaptation strategies should be implemented to handle the unfavorable situation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
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10. CMIP6 Evaluation and Projection of Temperature and Precipitation over China.
- Author
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Yang, Xiaoling, Zhou, Botao, Xu, Ying, and Han, Zhenyu
- Subjects
PRECIPITATION variability ,TEMPERATURE ,PRECIPITATION gauges ,TWENTY-first century - Abstract
Copyright of Advances in Atmospheric Sciences is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Using multiple indexes to analyze temporal and spatial patterns of precipitation and drought in Xinjiang, China.
- Author
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Cai, Guoqing, Chen, Shujun, Liu, Yi, Sun, Huaiwei, Chen, Changqing, Gui, Dongwei, and Yan, Dong
- Subjects
DROUGHTS ,METEOROLOGICAL stations ,ARID regions ,TIME series analysis ,RAINFALL ,DROUGHT forecasting - Abstract
There is an urgent need to understand the characteristics of both precipitation and drought in arid regions of China. Different indexes may provide differing results in terms of the detection and estimation of the temporal and spatial extent of droughts. In this study, the temporal and spatial characteristics of rainfall and drought at 53 meteorological stations from 1960 to 2016 across the Xinjiang region of China were analyzed. Four precipitation-related indexes (precipitation concentration degree (PCD), precipitation concentration period (PCP), standardized precipitation index (SPI), and long-cycle drought–flood abrupt alternation index (LDFAI)) were used to investigate the spatial and temporal patterns of drought and flood. In addition, the Bayesian method and Pettitt test were used as detection tools to identify changing points in precipitation time series. The study indicated the following: (1) a wetting tendency was evident in recent years and was supported by the upward trend in SPI and inter-decadal variation in summer precipitation; (2) the spatial patterns and tendencies of PCD, PCP, and SPI were markedly different in southern and northern Xinjiang; (3) compared with the Pettitt test, use of the Bayesian method provided data closer to the real drought events; (4) it is suggested that multiple indices be used for detecting precipitation and drought characteristics as use of the SPI may lead to other indexes related to flood and drought risks being ignored. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. Simulation and partition evapotranspiration for the representative landform-soil-vegetation formations in Horqin Sandy Land, China.
- Author
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Bao, Yongzhi, Duan, Limin, Tong, Xin, Liu, Tingxi, Wang, Guanli, Zhang, Lan, and Singh, V.P.
- Subjects
LEAF area index ,EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ,DESERT plants ,WATER consumption ,GROWING season - Abstract
Quantifying evapotranspiration (ET) and its components are particularly crucial to reveal the eco-hydrological processes in arid and semi-arid regions, such as the Horqin Sandy Land in China, but is lacking in existing literature. This study applied the Shuttleworth-Wallace (S-W) model to simulate and partition the ET at the representative landform-soil-vegetation formations (i.e., mobile dune, semi-fixed dune, and fixed dune) in Horqin Sandy Land based on the in situ data sampled by the meteorological monitoring system. Eddy covariance technology was used to validate the performance of the model. The results showed that the performance of the S-W model for clear days was better than that for cloudy or rainy days, and the S-W model would underestimate ET in rainy days. During 2017 growing season, ET showed as mobile dune (308 mm) < semi-fixed dune (333 mm) < fixed dune (352 mm), which was consistent with canopy coverage. Evaporation (E) showed as mobile dune (176 mm) > semi-fixed dune (84 mm) > fixed dune (75 mm), accounting for 57.1%, 25.2%, and 21.3% of ET, respectively. With the increase of canopy coverage, the effect of leaf area index (LAI) on E/ET increased; conversely, the effect of soil moisture decreased. There were significant differences in the variation of ET in the dry and wet periods. During the dry period, the desert vegetation maintained low water consumption and showed obvious "midday break." Compared with transpiration from canopy, evaporation from soil was more sensitive to precipitation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
13. Subseasonal Change in the Seesaw Pattern of Precipitation between the Yangtze River Basin and the Tropical Western North Pacific during Summer.
- Author
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Li, Xinyu and Lu, Riyu
- Subjects
WATERSHEDS ,METEOROLOGICAL precipitation ,SUMMER ,ATMOSPHERIC circulation - Abstract
There is a well-known seesaw pattern of precipitation between the tropical western North Pacific (WNP) and the Yangtze River basin (YRB) during summer. This study identified that this out-of-phase relationship experiences a subseasonal change; that is, the relationship is strong during early summer but much weaker during mid-summer. We investigated the large-scale circulation anomalies responsible for the YRB rainfall anomalies on the subseasonal timescale. It was found that the YRB rainfall is mainly affected by the tropical circulation anomalies during early summer, i.e., the anticyclonic or cyclonic anomaly over the subtropical WNP associated with the precipitation anomalies over the tropical WNP. During mid-summer, the YRB rainfall is mainly affected by the extratropical circulation anomalies in both the lower and upper troposphere. In the lower troposphere, the northeasterly anomaly north of the YRB favors heavier rainfall over the YRB by intensifying the meridional gradient of the equivalent potential temperature over the YRB. In the upper troposphere, the meridional displacement of the Asian westerly jet and the zonally oriented teleconnection pattern along the jet also affect the YRB rainfall. The subseasonal change in the WNP-YRB precipitation relationship illustrated by this study has important implications for the subseasonalto- seasonal forecasting of the YRB rainfall. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
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14. Climatology of lightning activity in South China and its relationships to precipitation and convective available potential energy.
- Author
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Zheng, Dong, Zhang, Yijun, Meng, Qing, Chen, Luwen, and Dan, Jianru
- Subjects
LIGHTNING ,CLIMATOLOGY ,ATMOSPHERIC sciences ,ATMOSPHERIC electricity - Abstract
This study examined lightning activity and its relationship to precipitation and convective available potential energy (CAPE) in South China during 2001-12, based on data from the Guangdong Lightning Location System, the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission satellite, and the ERA-Interim dataset. Two areas of high lightning density are identified: one over the Pearl River Delta, and the other to the north of Leizhou Peninsula. Large peak-current cloud-to-ground (LPCCG) lightning (>75 kA) shows weaker land-offshore contrasts than total CG lightning, in which negative cloud-to-ground (NCG) lightning occurs more prominently than positive cloud-to-ground (PCG) lightning on land. While the frequency of total CG lightning shows a main peak in June and a second peak in August, the LPCCG lightning over land shows only a single peak in June. The ratio of positive LPCCG to total lightning is significantly greater during February-April than during other times of the year. Diurnally, CG lightning over land shows only one peak in the afternoon, whereas CG lightning offshore shows morning and afternoon peaks. The rain yield per flash is on the order of 10-10 kg per flash across the analysis region, and its spatial distribution is opposite to that of lightning density. Our data show that lightning activity over land is more sensitive than that over offshore waters to CAPE. The relationships between lightning activity and both precipitation and CAPE are associated with convection activity in the analysis region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Future changes and uncertainties in temperature and precipitation over China based on CMIP5 models.
- Author
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Tian, Di, Guo, Yan, and Dong, Wenjie
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC temperature ,METEOROLOGICAL precipitation ,CLIMATE change research ,WEATHER forecasting ,EARTH temperature - Abstract
Climate changes in future 21st century China and their uncertainties are evaluated based on 22 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). By 2081-2100, the annual mean surface air temperature (SAT) is predicted to increase by 1.3°C±0.7°C, 2.6°C±0.8°C and 5.2°C±1.2°C under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, relative to 1986-2005, respectively. The future change in SAT averaged over China increases the most in autumn/winter and the least in spring, while the uncertainty shows little seasonal variation. Spatially, the annual and seasonal mean SAT both show a homogeneous warming pattern across China, with a warming rate increasing from southeastern China to the Tibetan Plateau and northern China, invariant with time and emissions scenario. The associated uncertainty in SAT decreases from northern to southern China. Meanwhile, by 2081-2100, the annual mean precipitation increases by 5%±5%, 8%±6% and 12%±8% under RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. The national average precipitation anomaly percentage, largest in spring and smallest in winter, and its uncertainty, largest in winter and smallest in autumn, show visible seasonal variations. Although at a low confidence level, a homogeneous wetting pattern is projected across China on the annual mean scale, with a larger increasing percentage in northern China and a weak drying in southern China in the early 21st century. The associated uncertainty is also generally larger in northern China and smaller in southwestern China. In addition, both SAT and precipitation usually show larger seasonal variability on the sub-regional scale compared with the national average. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
16. Improvement of 6-15 day precipitation forecasts using a time-lagged ensemble method.
- Author
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Jie, Weihua, Wu, Tongwen, Wang, Jun, Li, Weijing, and Liu, Xiangwen
- Subjects
METEOROLOGICAL precipitation ,CLIMATOLOGY ,RAINFALL ,CIRCULATION models ,CITIES & towns & the environment - Abstract
A time-lagged ensemble method is used to improve 6-15 day precipitation forecasts from the Beijing Climate Center Atmospheric General Circulation Model, version 2.0.1. The approach averages the deterministic predictions of precipitation from the most recent model run and from earlier runs, all at the same forecast valid time. This lagged average forecast (LAF) method assigns equal weight to each ensemble member and produces a forecast by taking the ensemble mean. Our analyses of the Equitable Threat Score, the Hanssen and Kuipers Score, and the frequency bias indicate that the LAF using five members at time-lagged intervals of 6 h improves 6-15 day forecasts of precipitation frequency above 1 mm d and 5 mm d in many regions of China, and is more effective than the LAF method with selection of the time-lagged interval of 12 or 24 h between ensemble members. In particular, significant improvements are seen over regions where the frequencies of rainfall days are higher than about 40%-50% in the summer season; these regions include northeastern and central to southern China, and the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
17. Projected change in extreme rainfall events in China by the end of the 21st century using CMIP5 models.
- Author
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Chen, HuoPo
- Subjects
RAINFALL ,CLIMATE change ,TWENTY-first century ,ENVIRONMENTAL impact analysis ,COMPARATIVE studies - Abstract
Projection of future climate changes and their regional impact is critical for long-term planning at the national and regional levels aimed at adaptation and mitigation. This study assesses the future changes in precipitation in China and the associated atmospheric circulation patterns using the Couple Model Intercomparison Project 5 Phase (CMIP5) simulations under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The results consistently indicate that the annual precipitation in China is projected to significantly increase at the end of the 21st century compared to the present-day levels. The number of days and the intensity of medium rain, large rain and heavy rain are obviously increased, while the number of trace rain days is projected to decrease over the entire area of China. Further analysis indicates that the significant increase of annual precipitation in Northwest China is primarily due to the increase of light rain and the increases in North and Northeast China are primarily due to the increase of medium rain. In the region of southern China, the increases of large rain and heavy rain play an important role in the increase of annual precipitation, while light rain events play a negative role. Analysis of the changes in atmospheric circulation indicates that the East Asian summer monsoon circulation is projected to be considerably stronger, and the local atmospheric stratification is projected to be more unstable, all of which provide a background benefit for the increase of precipitation and extreme rainfall events in China under global warming scenarios. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
18. Recent progress in studies of climate change in China.
- Author
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Ren, Guoyu, Ding, Yihui, Zhao, Zongci, Zheng, Jingyun, Wu, Tongwen, Tang, Guoli, and Xu, Ying
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,EARTH temperature ,GLOBAL warming ,URBANIZATION ,METEOROLOGICAL precipitation - Abstract
An overview of basic research on climate change in recent years in China is presented. In the past 100 years in China, average annual mean surface air temperature (SAT) has increased at a rate ranging from 0.03°C (10 yr) to 0.12°C (10 yr). This warming is more evident in northern China and is more significant in winter and spring. In the past 50 years in China, at least 27% of the average annual warming has been caused by urbanization. Overall, no significant trends have been detected in annual and/or summer precipitation in China on a whole for the past 100 years or 50 years. Both increases and decreases in frequencies of major extreme climate events have been observed for the past 50 years. The frequencies of extreme temperature events have generally displayed a consistent pattern of change across the country, while the frequencies of extreme precipitation events have shown only regionally and seasonally significant trends. The frequency of tropical cyclone landfall decreased slightly, but the frequency of sand/dust storms decreased significantly. Proxy records indicate that the annual mean SAT in the past a few decades is the highest in the past 400-500 years in China, but it may not have exceeded the highest level of the Medieval Warm Period (1000-1300 AD). Proxy records also indicate that droughts and floods in eastern China have been characterized by continuously abnormal rainfall periods, with the frequencies of extreme droughts and floods in the 20th century most likely being near the average levels of the past 2000 years. The attribution studies suggest that increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations in the atmosphere are likely to be a main factor for the observed surface warming nationwide. The Yangtze River and Huaihe River basins underwent a cooling trend in summer over the past 50 years, which might have been caused by increased aerosol concentrations and cloud cover. However, natural climate variability might have been a main driver for the mean and extreme precipitation variations observed over the past century. Climate models generally perform well in simulating the variations of annual mean SAT in China. They have also been used to project future changes in SAT under varied GHG emission scenarios. Large uncertainties have remained in these model-based projections, however, especially for the projected trends of regional precipitation and extreme climate events. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. Analysis of the role played by circulation in the persistent precipitation over South China in June 2010.
- Author
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Fang, Yuan, Chen, Wen, and Zhou, Wen
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC circulation ,RAINFALL ,EFFECT of human beings on climate change ,RAINFALL probabilities ,JET streams ,WATER vapor - Abstract
South China (SC) experienced persistent heavy rain in June 2010. The climatic anomalies and related mechanism are analyzed in this study. Results show that the large-scale circulation pattern favorable for precipitation was maintained. In the upper level, the South Asian High and westerly jet stream provided a divergent circulation over SC. In the middle and low levels, an anomalous strong subtropical high (STH) extended to the South China Sea. The southwesterly monsoon flow along the northwest flank of the STH transported abundant water vapor from the western North Pacific, the Bay of Bengal, and the South China Sea to SC. The precipitation can be classified into two types: the West Siberia low (WSL)-induced low-level cyclone mode, and the STH-induced low-level jet mode. STH and WSL indices are defined to estimate the influence of these two systems, respectively. Analysis shows that both are critical for precipitation, but their respective contributions differ from year to year. In 2010, both were important factors for the heavy rainfall in June. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. Seasonal variation and sources of low molecular weight organic acids in precipitation in the rural area of Anshun.
- Author
-
ZHANG YanLin, LEE XinQing, CAO Fang, and HUANG DaiKuan
- Subjects
MOLECULAR weights ,ORGANIC acids ,PRECIPITATION (Chemistry) ,CARBOXYLIC acids ,FORMIC acid ,ACID rain ,RURAL geography - Abstract
Low molecular weight (LMW) organic acids are important and ubiquitous chemical constituents in the atmosphere. A comprehensive study of the chemical composition of precipitation was carried out from June 2007 to June 2008 at a rural site in Anshun, in the west of Guizhou Province, China. During this period, 118 rainwater samples were collected and the main LMW carboxylic acids were determined using ion chromatography. The average pH of rainwater was 4.89 which is a typical acidic value. The most abundant carboxylic acids were formic acid (volume weight mean concentration: 8.77 µmol L
-1 ) and acetic acid (6.90 µmol L-1 ), followed by oxalic acid (2.05 µmol L-1 ). The seasonal variation of concentrations and wet deposition fluxes of organic acids indicated that direct vegetation emissions were the main sources of the organic acids. Highest concentrations were observed in winter and were ascribed to the low winter rainfall and the contribution of other air pollution sources northeast of the study area. The ratio of formic and acetic acids in the precipitation ([F/A]T ) was proposed as an indicator of pollution source. This suggested that the pollution resulted from direct emissions from natural or anthropogenic sources. Comparison with acid precipitation in other urban and rural areas in Guizhou showed that there was a decreasing contribution of LMW organic acids to free acidity and all anions in rainwater from urban to remote rural areas. Consequently, it is necessary to control emissions of organic acids to reduce the frequency of acid rain, especially in rural and remote areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
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21. Spatiotemporal variability of grassland vegetation cover in a catchment in Inner Mongolia, China, derived from MODIS data products.
- Author
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Schaffrath, David, Barthold, Frauke, and Bernhofer, Christian
- Subjects
GRASSLANDS ,WATERSHEDS ,LEAF area index ,MODIS (Spectroradiometer) - Abstract
Conditions, distribution and development of vegetation in semi arid regions are highly variable. In this study we detected the temporal and spatial variability of vegetation in the Xilin river catchment from 2000 to 2008 by analysis of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data products of that period. The study is based on LAI (Leaf area index) and supported by NDVI (Normalized difference vegetation index) and LST (Land surface temperature) data with a spatial resolution of 1 km. The mean LAI of the catchment from 2000 to 2008 is 0.59. Precipitation data of the study period governs the conditions and distribution of vegetation in the catchment. In dry years, e.g. 2001 and 2005, LAI was clearly lower (0.52) compared to 2003 (LAI = 0.72) which was a wet year. As precipitation generally decreases from south-east to north-west, LAI values decrease according to this gradient. The influence of heavy grazing in the vicinity of the Xilin river is obvious as LAI is low (0.4) in these areas. The high temporal variability of the LAI is displayed by its high mean CV (coefficient of variation) which is 48% for the observed years. The analysis of sample areas illustrates temporal and spatial differences in vegetation development within the catchment and shows a generally delayed growth start in the north-west of the catchment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Wet deposition of nitrogen and sulfur in Guangzhou, a subtropical area in South China.
- Author
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De-Yin Huang, Yi-Gang Xu, Ben Zhou, Hui-Huang Zhang, and Jiang-Bo Lan
- Subjects
NITROGEN ,SULFUR ,FERTILIZER application - Abstract
With the aim of understanding the seasonal distribution of deposition fluxes of nitrogen (N) and sulfur (S) in South China, a main acid deposition region in China, precipitation samples were collected and analyzed from Guangzhou area, between March 2005 and February 2006. The estimated wet deposition of N (including ammonium nitrogen (NH-N) and nitrate nitrogen (NO-N)) and S (sulfate sulfur (SO-S)) during the monitoring period were 40.47 kg N ha and 65.29 kg S ha, respectively. The average deposition of NH-N was ∼1.5 times of the NO-N deposition, suggesting that the reduced and oxidized N depositions were comparable in the study area. The S and N depositions in the rainy season were greater than those in the dry season, showing great seasonal variation, which was consistent with both the distribution of precipitation and the period of fertilizer application for agriculture. The N and S wet deposition fluxes in Guangzhou were greater than those in Beijing and Zhengzhou, located in the northern China, but comparable to the level of Chongqing, located in the southwestern China, another major acid deposition region. The atmospheric N and S depositions in these cities from north to south were affected by both intensive agricultural and industrial activities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. Estimating net primary productivity of grasslands from field biomass measurements in temperate northern China.
- Author
-
Ni, Jian
- Subjects
GRASSLANDS ,BIOMASS ,FOREST productivity ,TEMPERATURE effect ,PRIMARY productivity (Biology) ,PHOTOSYNTHESIS ,TEMPERATURE - Abstract
Data on field biomass measurements in temperate grasslands of northern China (141 samples from 74 sites) were obtained from 23 Chinese journals, reports and books. Net primary productivity (NPP) of grasslands was estimated using three algorithms (peak live biomass, peak standing crop and maximum minus minimum live biomass), respectively, based on availability of biomass data in sites. 135 samples which have aboveground biomass (AGB) measurements, have peak AGB ranges from 20 to 2021 g m
–2 (mean = 325.3) and the aboveground NPP (ANPP) ranges from 15 to 1647.1 g m–2 per year (mean = 295.7). 72 samples which have belowground biomass (BGB) measurements, have peak BGB ranges from 226.5 to 12827.5 g m–2 (mean = 3116) and the belowground NPP (BNPP) ranges from 15.8 to 12827.5 g m–2 per year (mean = 2425.6). In total 66 samples have the total NPP (TNPP), ranging from 55.3 to 13347.8 g m–2 per year (mean = 2980.3). Mean peak biomass and NPP varied from different geographical sampling locations, but they had a general rough regularity in ten grasslands. Meadow, mountain and alpine grasslands had high biomass and NPP (sometimes including saline grassland). Forested steppe, saline grassland and desert had median values. Meadowed and typical steppes had low biomass and NPP (sometimes including desert). The lowest biomass and NPP occurred in deserted steppe and stepped desert. Grassland ANPP has significant positive relationships with annual and summer precipitation as well as summer temperature (all p<0.01). However, grassland BNPP and TNPP have more significant negative relationships with summer temperature (p<0.01) than with annual temperature (p<0.05). The analysis of climate – productivity correlations implied that aboveground productivity is more controlled by rainfall, whereas belowground and total productivity is more influenced by temperature in the temperate grasslands of northern China. The present study might underestimate grassland NPP in northern China due to limitation of biomass measurements. Data on relative long-term aboveground and belowground biomass dynamics, as well as data of standing dead matter, litterfall, decomposition and turnover, are required if grassland NPP is to be more accurately estimated and the role of temperate grasslands in the regional to global carbon cycles is to be fully appreciated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. A model of rainfall redistribution in terraced sandy grassland landscapes.
- Author
-
ONG GAO, QI
- Subjects
DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory) ,RAINFALL probabilities ,SANDY soils ,STATISTICAL methods in ecology ,WATER management ,METEOROLOGICAL precipitation ,DRAINAGE - Abstract
A simple model of rainfall redistribution within a terraced sandy grassland landscape has been developed. The model assumes that rainfall redistribution is driven by rainfall impulses and is controlled by characteristic field capacity of soils. When the rainfall intensity is large enough to render soil water content greater than its characteristic field capacity, the excessive soil water can drain very quickly by means of large amounts of non-capillary pores of sandy soils or by means of surface runoff. Exponential distribution of rainfall impulses was assumed and tested with measured daily rainfall at two meteorological stations in the sandy grassland area of north China. The model was solved to give the equivalent rainfall at each terrace in the landscape. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1997
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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