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Forest carbon sinks significantly contribute to mitigation of atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide. Thus, estimating forest carbon is becoming important to develop policies for mitigating climate change and trading carbon credits. However, a great challenge is how to quantify uncertainties in estimation of forest carbon. This study investigated uncertainties of mapping aboveground forest carbon due to location errors of sample plots for Lin-An County of China. National forest inventory plot data and Landsat TM images were combined using co-simulation algorithm. The findings show that randomly perturbing plot locations within 10 distance intervals statistically did not result in biased population mean predictions of aboveground forest carbon at a significant level of 0.05, but increased root mean square errors of the maps. The perturbations weakened spatial autocorrelation of aboveground forest carbon and its correlation with spectral variables. The perturbed distances of 800 m or less did not obviously change the spatial distribution of predicted values. However, when the perturbed distances were 1600 m or larger, the correlation coefficients of the predicted values from the perturbed locations with those from the true plot locations statistically did not significantly differ from zero at a level of 0.05 and the spatial distributions became random. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To increase the accuracy of predicting net primary productivity (NPP), in this study, Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) model was modified by developing new methods to estimate absorbed photosynthetically active radiation or fraction of photosynthetically active radiation (FPAR) and water stress coefficient (WSC). In the modified model, FPAR was derived based on its non-linear relationship with leaf area index. Moreover, WSC was estimated using leaf water potential from soil moisture instead of a traditional evapotranspiration-based method. This study was conducted in Baiyun District area of Guangzhou, China, using Gaofen-1 (GF-1), Landsat 7, and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite images. The predictions from the original and three modified CASA models and MODIS NPP product MOD17A3 were compared with field observations. The results showed that all the CASA-based models led to similar spatial distributions of forest aboveground NPP estimates. Overall, the estimates increased with elevation because the valley bottoms were dominated by developed or urbanized areas whereas the hillslopes and hilltops were largely vegetated. Based on root mean square error (RMSE) and relative RMSE between the observed and predicted values, the CASA model that integrated the modifications of both FPAR and WSC increased the estimation accuracy of NPP by 8.1% over the original one. The increase in accuracy was mainly contributed by the modification of FPAR. This suggested that the modification of FPAR provided greater potential than that of WSC for improving the predictions of CASA model. Compared to the CASA models, MOD17A3 had lower accuracy of aboveground NPP estimates. This study also showed that the fine spatial resolution GF-1 image provided a new source of data used to estimate NPP of forest ecosystems. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]