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Wang, X.; Jiang, R.; Xie, J.; Zhao, Y.; Li, F., and Zhu, J., 2019. Multiscale variability of precipitation and their teleconnection with large-scale climate anomalies: A case study of Xi'an city, China. In: Guido-Aldana, P.A. and Mulahasan, S. (eds.), Advances in Water Resources and Exploration. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 93, pp. 417–426. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208. The changes of precipitation affect the urban rainstorm waterlogging and water resources management, which have important influences on the sustainable development of society. The primary objective of the paper is to provide theoretical basis for local water resources management and disaster prevention and reduction by analyzing the multiscale variability of precipitation and their teleconnection with large-scale climate anomalies in Xi'an city of China. The change characteristics of precipitation and extreme precipitation indices were investigated using Mann-Kendall test, Spearman's rank correlation and wavelet analysis. The cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence were used to explore the correlations between the precipitation and large-scale teleconnection indices such as Arctic Oscillation (AO), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and sunspot. Results indicate that: the precipitation was mainly concentrated in summer, followed by autumn. The annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation except June and August had decreasing trends, and the magnitudes of precipitation decrease were more pronounced in spring, April and November. The change patterns varied for extreme precipitation indices. The temporal variation in extreme precipitation indices indicated that the extreme precipitation events had mainly increased during 1971-1990 and 1991-2017, and decreased during 1951-1970 and 1951-2017, especially, increased more pronounced during 1991-2017 and decreased more pronounced during 1951-1970. The precipitation exhibited a fluctuant change from increase to decrease, then increase to decrease and finally increase trends, and there was an abrupt change point in 1965. The annual precipitation had statistically significant cycles of 3-5 year and 7-10 year at 5% significance level. The large-scale teleconnection indices affected the precipitation in Xi'an city. The phase differences between precipitation and teleconnection indices including AO and SOI were in-phase dominated, and anti-phase dominated between precipitation and teleconnection indices including ENSO and sunspot, indicating that the AO and SOI exerted positive climate impacts on the precipitation and vice-versa for ENSO and sunspot. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The changes of precipitation affect the urban rainstorm waterlogging and water resources management, which have important influences on the sustainable development of society. The primary objective of the paper is to provide theoretical basis for local water resources management and disaster prevention and reduction by analyzing the multiscale variability of precipitation and their teleconnection with large-scale climate anomalies in Xi'an city of China. The change characteristics of precipitation and extreme precipitation indices were investigated using Mann-Kendall test, Spearman's rank correlation and wavelet analysis. The cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence were used to explore the correlations between the precipitation and large-scale teleconnection indices such as Arctic Oscillation (AO), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), El Niño- Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and sunspot. Results indicate that: the precipitation was mainly concentrated in summer, followed by autumn. The annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation except June and August had decreasing trends, and the magnitudes of precipitation decrease were more pronounced in spring, April and November. The change patterns varied for extreme precipitation indices. The temporal variation in extreme precipitation indices indicated that the extreme precipitation events had mainly increased during 1971-1990 and 1991-2017, and decreased during 1951-1970 and 1951-2017, especially, increased more pronounced during 1991-2017 and decreased more pronounced during 1951-1970. The precipitation exhibited a fluctuant change from increase to decrease, then increase to decrease and finally increase trends, and there was an abrupt change point in 1965. The annual precipitation had statistically significant cycles of 3-5 year and 7-10 year at 5% significance level. The large-scale teleconnection indices affected the precipitation in Xi'an city. The phase differences between precipitation and teleconnection indices including AO and SOI were in-phase dominated, and anti-phase dominated between precipitation and teleconnection indices including ENSO and sunspot, indicating that the AO and SOI exerted positive climate impacts on the precipitation and vice-versa for ENSO and sunspot. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Although much progress has been made in identifying the large-scale drivers of recent summer precipitation variability in North China, the evolution of these drivers over longer time scales remains unclear. We investigate multidecadal and interannual variability in North China summer precipitation in the 110-year Coupled ECMWF Reanalysis of the Twentieth Century (CERA-20C), considering changes in regional moisture and surface energy budgets along with nine circulation indices linked to anomalous precipitation in this region. The CERA-20C record is separated into three distinct periods according to the running climatology of summer precipitation: 1901–1944 (neutral), 1945–1979 (wet), and 1980–2010 (dry). CERA-20C reproduces expected relationships between large-scale drivers and regional summer precipitation anomalies well during 1980–2010, but these relationships generally do not extend to earlier periods. For example, a strong relationship with the Eurasian teleconnection pattern only emerges in the late 1970s, while correlations with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Pacific–Japan pattern change sign in the mid-twentieth century. We evaluate two possible reasons for this nonstationarity: (1) the underlying atmospheric model may require strong data assimilation constraints to capture large-scale circulation influences on North China, or (2) large-scale drivers inferred from recent records may be less general than expected. Our analysis indicates that both factors contribute to the identified nonstationarity in CERA-20C, with implications for the reliability of seasonal forecasts and climate projections based on current models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]