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Blind predictions of octanol/water partition coefficients at 298.15 K for 22 drug-like compounds were made for the SAMPL7 challenge. The octanol/water partition coefficients were predicted using solvation free energies computed using molecular dynamics simulations, wherein we considered the use of both pure and water-saturated 1-octanol to model the octanol-rich phase. Water and 1-octanol were modeled using TIP4P and TrAPPE-UA, respectively, which have been shown to well reproduce the experimental mutual solubility, and the solutes were modeled using GAFF. After the close of the SAMPL7 challenge, we additionally made predictions using TIP4P/2005 water. We found that the predictions were sensitive to the choice of water force field. However, the effect of water in the octanol-rich phase was found to be even more significant and non-negligible. The effect of inclusion of water was additionally sensitive to the chemical structure of the solute., (© 2021. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.)

Blind predictions of octanol/water partition coefficients at 298 K for 11 kinase inhibitor fragment like compounds were made for the SAMPL6 challenge. We used the conventional, "untrained", free energy based approach wherein the octanol/water partition coefficient was computed directly as the difference in solvation free energy in water and 1-octanol. We additionally proposed and used two different forms of a "trained" approach. Physically, the goal of the trained approach is to relate the partition coefficient computed using pure 1-octanol to that using water-saturated 1-octanol. In the first case, we assumed the partition coefficient using water-saturated 1-octanol and pure 1-octanol are linearly correlated. In the second approach, we assume the solvation free energy in water-saturated 1-octanol can be written as a linear combination of the solvation free energy in pure water and 1-octanol. In all cases here, the solvation free energies were computed using electronic structure calculations in the SM12, SM8, and SMD universal solvent models. In the context of the present study, our results in general do not support the additional effort of the trained approach.