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In this paper, a distributed economic model predictive control (EMPC) method is proposed for economic operation and frequency regulation in isolated AC subsystems interconnected through multi-terminal HVDC (MTDC) transmission system. Economic-driven frequency regulation, including economic operation and frequency regulation, normally implemented in a separate and hierarchical way, can be integrated through the proposed EMPC. Instead of competing with neighboring subsystems, the proposed distributed EMPC encourages cooperation among the interconnected subsystems, improving system-wide control performance. A suitable Lyapunov function is utilized to prove the stability of the proposed method. Simulations are used to demonstrate the performance of the proposed EMPC method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Integrated energy systems (IESs) are composed of multiple heterogeneous subsystems, i.e., electrical power system, natural gas system, and district heating system (DHS), which endow the whole system with excellent performance in overall efficiency and renewable energy utilization. The paper aims to offer a concise and analytical model for the thermal dynamic characteristics (i.e., thermal inertia) of the district heating network (DHN) and buildings to facilitate the analysis, planning, and operation of IESs. Firstly, an equivalent start network is introduced for modeling the radial DHN, and a synchronous response model is proposed for buildings to approximate the optimal response of heat load. Secondly, the thermal inertia aggregation model (TIAM) is proposed, which offers an accurate DHN and buildings model for the planning and operation of IESs. Finally, some properties of the TIAM are derived to reveal its potential in general applications such as analysis and evaluation. Simulation results of different scale systems demonstrate the performance of the proposed model and reveal its advantages in the computational efficiency and sensitive information protection of DHN. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to the rapid development of distributed renewable generation, an effective risk assessment and early warning mechanism for active distribution networks is of great significance to maintain the system reliability and enhance energy grid resilience. In this paper, a novel risk assessment model is proposed to assess the probability of potential disturbances to the grid and provide accurate advice for trading prosumers’ renewable energy. The model can compute node failure probability (FP) for transmission networks as well as the area FP for distribution networks, while combining the two perspectives by topology analysis. A weather threshold value is first derived to define the extreme weather condition. Then the FP of transmission lines is calculated by joint probability models under four instances of extreme climate. For distribution networks, the weather influence is obtained by applying the Rare Events Logistic Regression model initially. Then the equipment fault related to the geographical feature is captured using feeder taxonomy and hierarchical clustering. Furthermore, the accidental factor as a new parameter is introduced to evaluate the vandalism, vegetation, and operating fault to the grid. Finally, the warning information and advice for customers will be presented after fault chain analysis. The FP for a specific area in Australia is analyzed in case studies to verify the proposed model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Along with development of remote wind farms, offshore transmission networks become an integral part of wider transmission system. In this paper, an offshore transmission network planning (TNP) model is proposed for large-scale wind integration. The proposed approach allows system planners to evaluate the economic and technical feasibility of a range of potential network and non-network options considering a variety of uncertainties. The framework can be divided into one high-level planning problem determining a suitable type of power transmission technology and network routine over given planning horizon, and several low-level problems that examine the feasibility and optimality of the solution from the high-level problem considering different remedial action schemes, which is expected to reduce the need for adding new lines considering a broad range of uncertainty during system operation. Numerical examples on an IEEE 14-bus test system and an Australian regional transmission grid illustrate the performance of the proposed TNP model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper proposes a coordinated multilayer control strategy for the energy management (EM) of grid-connected ac microgrids. The strategy predicts the customer's load demand and the photovoltaics (PV) power generation for a day-ahead EM. It utilizes the PV power generations and the bidirectional energy transactions from electric vehicles and battery storage to provide a combined response for load support. The system also predicts any uncertainties in customers demand and power generations and implements day-ahead precautionary measures to tackle that uncertainty. Two different prediction strategies are used, autoregressive moving average and artificial neural networks, and their performances for a day-ahead EM are investigated. The reference power from the tertiary layer EM is sent to the local controllers for power regulation at the inverter level. Additionally, the varying power output reference obtained from a day-ahead EM is classified into the slow, medium, and fast variations. The performance of the local controller employed in the interfacing grid-connected three-phase inverter is tested during the above-mentioned power reference variations. The total harmonic distortion incorporating a moving window technique is calculated for the ac output current during each class of power variations over a day. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this study, an advanced control strategy is proposed for hybrid energy storage systems (HESS) to smooth wind power generation fluctuations. Compared with the limited performance of solo energy storage system, the HESS, composing of lithium‐ion battery (LiB) and a flywheel energy storage system (FESS), can comparatively show improved flexibility and adaptivity. A novel sequence control scheme for the HESS is proposed in this study to improve the overall economic and smoothing performances. Specifically, based on variable‐interval reference outputs, the control horizon of the HESS is statistically determined. Afterwards, a sequence control scheme for the HESS is presented to improve the internal collaboration of HESS media. Especially when the LiB and FESS are synchronously charging/discharging to smooth wind power, the charge/discharge power are optimally distributed between the LiB and FESS via an optimiser to minimise the equivalent cost during each control cycle. Case studies are conducted to demonstrate the performance of the proposed method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• An operational reliability assessment approach of photovoltaic inverters considering voltage/VAR control function is proposed. • An inverter based voltage/VAR control optimization model considering uncertainties of photovoltaic power generation and loads is developed for further inverter reliability assessment. • The power loss model considering the voltage/VAR control results is developed and a modified lifetime model based on coffin-manson model and manufacturing information is proposed to assess the inverter reliability. • In some cases, the implementation of voltage/VAR control function may decrease the junction temperature variations of power devices inside inverters, which leads to positive impact on inverter reliability. • The lifetime of photovoltaic inverters utilized for voltage/VAR control function has high correlation with their locations in the distribution network as well as their oversizing rates. This paper proposes an operational reliability assessment approach of photovoltaic (PV) inverters considering a voltage/VAR control (VVC) function. The approach aims to quantify the reliability degradation and estimate the lifetime of PV inverters when they are utilized for the VVC function. Firstly, an inverter based VVC model considering uncertain profiles of PV power generation and loads is developed and it is solved by a stochastic optimization method. Then, a long-term reliability assessment procedure of the inverters utilized in the VVC model is proposed. To assess the reliability, a power loss model considering the VVC results is developed and a modified lifetime model based on Coffin-Manson model and manufacturing information is proposed. The proposed VVC model and inverter reliability assessment approach are verified on a 33-bus distribution network. The simulation results reveal the long-term impacts of additional utilization in the VVC function on operational reliability and lifetime of PV inverters. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Static and dynamic image processing architectures are proposed for solar forecast; • Hybrid sky image-based forecasting models are effectively developed and verified; • Noticeable improvements for solar ramp event forecasting have been achieved. With the ever-increased penetration of solar energy in the power grid, solar photovoltaic forecasting has become an indispensable aspect in maintaining power system stability and economic operation. At the operating stage, the forecasting accuracy of renewables has a direct influence on energy scheduling and dispatching. In this paper, we propose a series of novel approaches based on deep whole-sky-image learning architectures for very short-term solar photovoltaic generation forecasting, of which the lookahead windows concern the scales from 4 to 20 min. In particular, multiple deep learning models with the integration of both static sky image units and dynamic sky image stream are explicitly investigated. Extensive numerical studies on various models are carried out, through which the experimental results show that the proposed hybrid static image forecaster provides superior performance as compared to the benchmarking methods (i.e. the ones without sky images), with up to 8.3% improvement in general, and up to 32.8% improvement in the cases of ramp events. In addition, case studies at multiple time scales reveal that sky-image-based models can be more robust to the ramp events in solar photovoltaic generation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Steel production is one of the most energy-intensive industries on demand side. Highly distributed energy resource-penetrated multi-energy microgrids (MEMGs) with combined heat and power (CHP) units can supply both electricity and heat while the by-product coal gases during manufacturing can be reused for onsite power supply. However, there is a lack of coordination between steel production and MEMG operation, and the steelmaking process is not fully modelled. Thus, this paper proposes a three-stage coordinated operation method for steel plant-based MEMGs, aiming to minimize the total operating cost. In this method, the steel production is scheduled weekly-ahead to meet the production demand considering carbon emission reduction. Then, the CHP commitment and day-ahead energy transaction are optimized in a day-ahead stage, while the dispatchable device output and intraday energy transaction are determined hourly-ahead based on uncertainty realizations. Accordingly, the steel production is modelled as continuous and discontinuous processes in parallel or series. To tackle the uncertainty of renewable generation, a scenario-based stochastic optimization method is utilized. Moreover, different carbon prices are applied to investigate their effects on steel production. The results show that the proposed method can decrease the operating cost by 14.33% and 1.45% compared with the other two conventional methods. [Display omitted] • Three-stage steel plant MEMG low-carbon operation coordinated with process optimization. • Generalized continuous/discontinuous process modelling for steel production. • Uncertain intervals of renewable generation tackled with SO and SAA in different stage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

An energy system with desalination and hydrogen production and storage is a promising option for remote areas with shorelines, e.g., Middle East, to jointly manage electricity, desalinated water and hydrogen resources. Thus, a hybrid renewable energy system considering seawater reverse osmosis desalination, proton exchange membrane electrolyzer stacks, and also proton exchange membrane fuel cell, is proposed. This work focuses on the optimal operation problem of the system. It is established in a multi-objective optimization manner, with consideration of minimizing system total cost, power transmission and renewable energy curtailment. The problem is solved with Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-III, a meta-heuristic method dedicated to multi-objective optimization. Results show through the solving of the optimization problem the optimal energy management strategy can be obtained, and in the studied scenario, the system can avoid 38–42% of carbon dioxide emission compared to conventional electricity generation and gray hydrogen production measures. The operational benefit of fuel cell is also verified. Compared to existing works, this work maintains the flexibility and cleanness of green hydrogen production components, consider more aspect in operation and can be solved with limited computational resources and obtain a satisfying result. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Blockchain is increasingly being used to provide a distributed, secure, trusted, and private framework for energy trading in smart grids. However, existing solutions suffer from a lack of privacy, processing and packet overheads, and reliance on trusted third party (TTP) to secure the trade. To address these challenges, we propose a secure private blockchain (SPB) framework. SPB enables energy producers and consumers to directly negotiate the energy price. To reduce the associated overheads, we propose a routing method which routes packets based on the destination public key (PK). SPB eliminates the reliance on TTP to ensure both energy producer and consumer commit to their obligations by introducing atomic meta-transactions. The latter consists of two transactions: first the consumer generates a CTP transaction, committing to pay the energy price to the producer. On receipt of the energy, the smart meter of the consumer generates an energy receipt confirmation (ERC) which triggers a smart contract to transfer the committed price in CTP to the energy producer. To verify that the ERC is generated by a genuine smart meter, SPB supports authentication of anonymous smart meters to prevent malicious nodes from linking ERC transactions and thus enhance the user privacy. Qualitative security analysis shows the resilience of SPB against a range of attacks. Implementation results demonstrate that SPB reduces monetary cost and delay compared to existing solutions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Shared electric vehicle (EV) is an emerging component across interdependent power and transportation networks that affect economic, environmental and societal benefits. Studies on how to collaboratively enable the optimal planning of these interacted networks is less explored. In this work, a joint distribution network expansion planning framework integrated with a shared EV charging station is proposed. One of the objectives is to minimise overall investment cost considering operational waiting cost of shared EV charging service and power loss, while the other aims to maximise the utilisation of charging infrastructures. To overcome the difficulties in solving the multi‐objective mixed‐integer non‐linear problem, Tchebycheff decomposition based evolutionary algorithm is modified to find the Pareto front showing the trade‐offs between goals above. Besides, stochastic traffic assignment model is used to obtain traffic distribution and travel demand. The final optimal solution is decided by the fuzzy satisficing method. The performance of the proposed approach is evaluated on a 54‐node test system. Sensitivity analysis is performed to assess the impact of key parameters from the perspectives of transportation and distribution network sectors. The numerical results demonstrate the capability and feasibility of the proposed method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Voltage/VAR regulation (VVR) implemented by capacitor banks (CBs), on‐load tap changers (OLTCs), and photovoltaic (PV)‐associated inverters is effective to enhance voltage stability and reduce power loss. On the other hand, conservation voltage reduction (CVR) has been widely adopted in distribution networks to reduce load demand. Existing works mainly focus on each of them. This paper proposes a VVR method with CVR, forming a multi‐objective optimisation problem which minimises (i) voltage collapse proximity indicator (VCPI), (ii) load demand, and (iii) power loss. Besides, PV power generation as uncertainty significantly impairs the VVR results. To deal with the uncertainty issue, this paper proposes a rolling‐horizon framework to determine VVR and applies Taguchi's orthogonal array testing (TOAT) to model the uncertain PV power generation, achieving rolling‐horizon‐based multi‐objective robust VVR. The proposed model is tested and demonstrated on the IEEE 33‐bus and 69‐bus systems, and simulation results verify that the proposed method can support robust solutions of the multi‐objective VVR problem for decision‐making. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the development of synchronised measurement technique, online dynamic security assessment (DSA) is of great significance to prevent power system blackout. Recently, based on the phasor measurement unit (PMU) data, intelligent data‐driven techniques have been rapidly developed for online DSA owing to their fast decision speed, less data requirement, and decision rule discovery ability. The interpretable decision rules provide useful information for preventive control and post‐event auditing. However, in case of incomplete measurement events, such as PMU failure, communication loss, and phasor data concentrator failure, the accuracy and the transparency of the intelligent models can be significantly impaired by such incomplete data. To overcome this problem, this paper proposes a robust white‐box model that can sustain DSA accuracy and survive the model interpretability and transparency against incomplete PMU data. The proposed model is tested on New England 39‐bus system and demonstrates higher robustness over existing methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Highlights • Comprehensive model of different CHP technologies with various operation modes. • Two-stage dispatch considering day-ahead heat market and real-time power balancing. • Heat accumulator's contribution to flexibility is quantified. • Two fold flexibility of CHP is investigated and compared among four seasons. • We provide stakeholders with insights into CHP's flexibility for balancing services. Abstract Denmark has the ambitious goal of achieving 100% renewable electricity and heating sectors by 2035. Coupling these two energy sectors, combined heat and power (CHP) plants play an important role in providing flexibility in terms of economic dispatch of heat production and balancing power systems with high penetration of intermittent renewable like wind power. In this paper, a twofold flexibility potential of different CHP applications in the Danish district heating systems was investigated and compared based on a proposed two-stage optimal dispatch model. In the first stage, the heat production plan of a CHP plant was derived to minimize the system heat cost in a deregulated heat market by using its flexibility; in the second stage, the CHP plant was redispatched to provide real-time balancing service with the remaining flexibility. The diversified applications include different types of CHP plant, various operation modes, and the inclusion of heat accumulator (HA) or not. A case study using information collected from Denmark was presented to validate the proposed algorithm and to quantitatively illustrate the flexibility difference of various CHP applications in real time. The results provide a practical guide to activities aiming to take advantage of the flexibility potential of CHPs for both minimizing the heat cost and balancing a local energy portfolio. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High penetration of distributed renewable energy introduces significant uncertainties to active distribution networks. Optimal control methods accounting for inherent uncertainties are needed to facilitate economic and reliable operation of active distribution networks. This paper proposes a stochastic receding horizon control method based on modified stochastic model predictive control framework to integrate high penetration of distributed generation. Multiple controllable resources are jointly optimized over a finite prediction horizon while ensuring relevant security restrictions. The simplified Z-bus sensitivity for active distribution networks is developed for computationally efficient estimation of system nonlinearity with high accuracy, and is combined with the sequential linear programming to iteratively derive the linear state space model for compensation of cumulative modeling errors. Furthermore, the voltage limitations are reformulated as chance constraints to indicate the probabilistic reliability index of voltage qualification rate, and achieve tradeoffs between cost reduction and voltage regulation. The affine-disturbance feedback control policy is leveraged here to enforce close-loop control performance and analytically transform intractable chance constraints into second-order cone constraints. Comprehensive case studies based on 33-bus and 123-bus distribution systems are carried out to demonstrate the capability and effectiveness of the proposed approach in terms of modeling accuracy, control performance, cost reduction, and method scalability. The proposed approach can effectively enforce voltage regulation against uncertainties with the prescribed probability level. Control costs and constraint violation can be reduced compared with deterministic model predictive control and open-loop control strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Highlights • A two-layer collaborative planning for inverter interfaced DGs and BES units is established for enhanced voltage regulation functions in ADN. • The potential of DG inverter over-sizing design at planning stage, the fully utilization mode of reactive power output of DG inverters at operation stage are discussed. • A time-varying ZIP load model is adopted representing the dynamic load characteristics. • The uncertainties of the DG power output are modeled based on the Taguchi robust test design approach. Abstract Active Distribution Networks (ADNs) are featured by large-scale integration of distributed generation (DG) and energy storage. This paper proposes a novel two-layer co-planning method for optimal placement of inverter-interfaced DG and battery energy storage (BES) units towards enhanced voltage regulation functions in an ADN. The outer-later model determines the planning decision of DG units and the inverter sizing, location, and capacities of BES units, respectively; the inner-layer model corresponds to the operation decision which aims to optimally schedule the BES's charging/discharging and reactive power from inverters for voltage regulation support considering the conservation voltage reduction (CVR). The Taguchi's Orthogonal Array Testing (TOAT) is used to select a small number of scenarios to represent the DG power output uncertainties. The load is represented by a time-varying ZIP load model. The proposed model is tested on a modified IEEE 33-bus radial distribution system and the results to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Constrained optimization (CO) has made a profound impact in solving many real-world problems. Due to the high computation burden in exact solvers, data-driven CO based on machine learning techniques is recently receiving extensive research interests for its capability to solve CO problems in real time. The existing data-driven CO approaches only serve for optimization problems with rather simple constraints that can be directly incorporated into model training. However, constraints that are computationally infeasible or burdensome to evaluate are commonly experienced in realistic optimization applications, especially in the engineering sector. This paper proposes an athlete–referee dual learning system (ARDLS) for end-to-end CO with large-scale complex constraints, where an athlete model is trained as the main optimizer while a referee model is trained as a probabilistic constraint classifier to guide the athlete training. A risk-based constrained loss function is designed to fine-tune the athlete model for constraint satisfaction. A case study on electric power system emergency control application is conducted to validate the proposed ARDLS, where the testing results demonstrate the excellent capability of ARDLS to improve the likelihood of satisfying large-scale complex constraints in CO. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• • Compressed air storage alone can firm up wind and solar variability in California. • • Increased penetration of renewable energy can decrease CAES storage requirements. • • Type of renewable energy strongly affects the required CAES capacity. • • Bulk CAES deployment has limited applications due to real-world constraints. Bulk energy storage can play an important role in the decarbonization of renewable-dominant electricity system. It can offer a solution to the grid balancing problem caused by the variability in the output of renewable power generation. This paper explores the requirement for compressed air energy storage (CAES) capacity as the penetration of renewable energy increases to compensate for the variability of wind and solar. A case study for California using parsimonious macro energy model with real-world historical demand and hourly weather data has been utilized to do this analysis. In the least-cost model, with no excess wind and solar power generation, required CAES capacity is 3.71TWh in 100% decarbonized scenario. If a strict rule of net-zero curtailment was in place, the storage capacity required would be 3.2% higher (3.83TWh) with 9.8% increased cost of electricity. However, the required CAES capacity decreases with the excess solar and wind power generation. In case of 2 times increase in the wind and solar potential the required CAES capacity with strict zero curtailment would be 19.2% less (3.10TWh) and the corresponding cost would decrease up to 29.7%. The study also revealed that the type of renewable energy mix (wind, solar or both) has strong effect on the required energy storage capacity for deep decarbonization. The presented results demonstrate that excess wind and solar power generation can be used to significantly reduce the required storage needs for a fully renewable power system at reduced cost. In California, building of a large battery energy storage (up to 3 TWh) is limited by societal, geographical, and economic constraints. This study suggests that in addition to the battery energy storage California may need to look for other dispatchable power sources (or the equivalent in load flexibility) for 100% wind and solar based fully decarbonized power system. [Display omitted] [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents the planning of solar photovoltaics (PV), battery energy storage system (BESS) and gas-fired micro turbine (MT) in a coupled micro gas and electricity grid. The proposed model is formulated as a two-stage stochastic optimization problem, including the optimal investment in the first stage and the optimal operation in the second stage. To better understand the mutual interactions between electric and heat energy, the gas network models are taken into account. As a result, the fuel availability and price of the gas-fired MT can be explicitly modeled and analyzed. Moreover, to enhance the computational efficiency of the formulated mixed-integer quadratic programming problem, the point estimation method is used as the scenario reduction technique. The effectiveness of the proposed model is verified on a 14-bus coupled micro energy grid. Based on the case studies, the proposed two-stage planning model can identify a planning solution with the objective value of $99.3104, which is comprised of the daily capital recovery cost of $20.5070, the daily operating cost of $78.8034 for the coupled micro gas and electricity grid. Comparative studies demonstrate that the proposed approach can help the microgrid operator identify feasible and optimal planning solutions, and provide valuable guidance for energy infrastructure expansion from an integrated perspective. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study presents a two‐stage planning framework of the battery energy storage system (BESS) and micro‐turbine (MT) in a microgrid. In the first stage, the optimal allocation decisions are made before the actual realisation of the operational uncertainties. In the second stage, the optimal operation strategies are made for the microgrid by minimising the costs paid to the main grid, fuel cells, MTs, BESSs and controllable loads (CLs). The hot water system and interruptible load are considered as CLs. Their mathematical models are built to investigate their roles in smoothing renewable energy. In addition, efforts are made to keep the linearity of the formulated optimisation problem, and the backward scenario reduction method is adopted to further enhance the computational efficiency. The modified IEEE 33‐bus radial system is used as a microgrid to verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach for both islanded and grid‐connected microgrids. Sensitivity analysis has been conducted to compare the economics and robustness of the identified solutions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The problem of designing customized pricing strategies for different residential users is investigated based on the identification results of residential electric appliances and classifications of end-users according to their consumption behaviors. This study is based on the following assumptions: 1) Each retailer purchases electricity from the forward contract market, day-ahead spot market, and real-time market; 2) the competition among retailers is modeled by a market share function; 3) each retailer adopts fixed time-of-use prices for end-users; 4) the price fluctuations in day-ahead and real-time spot markets as well as uncertainty of electricity consumption behaviors are considered as main sources of risk. Under these assumptions, a pricing framework for retailers is established based on the bilevel programming framework and the optimal clustering in a time sequence. Meanwhile, profit risk is considered by taking conditional value at risk as the risk measure. The proposed bilevel optimization model is finally reformulated into a mixed-integer nonlinear programming problem by solving Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions. The online optimization solvers provided by the network-enabled optimization system server and the commercial solver AMPL/GUROBI are used to solve the developed models, respectively. Finally, a case study is employed to demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of the developed models and algorithms. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

To help the integration of various distributed energy resources (DERs), this paper proposes a transactive approach to the optimal scheduling for prosumers in coupled energy systems. DERs are coordinately operated in the form of a virtual power plant (VPP), which actively participates in the day-ahead and real-time electricity market, as well as the wholesale gas market. In the day-ahead electricity and wholesale gas markets, a VPP aims to maximize expected profits by determining the unit commitments and hourly scheduling of DERs. In the real-time balancing market, a VPP adjusts DER schedules to minimize imbalance costs. In this paper, we address the energy conversions between electric power and gas loads and investigate the interacting operations of gas and power systems. Our simulation results show that hierarchical, coordinated power and gas scheduling can identify more accurate operation plans for coupled transactive energy systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a hierarchical security-constrained optimal power flow (SCOPF) model is proposed for a meshed ac/multiterminal HVDC (MTDC) system with high wind penetration. The two interacting levels in the proposed model are as follows: 1) the high level is a traditional SCOPF problem in an ac system that aims to minimize total generation and security control costs; and 2) the low level is a dynamic power dispatching problem, which regulates power flow in an MTDC grid according to reference signals from the high level. Thus, the proposed method utilizes an MTDC system to provide support for the ac system by redistributing power flow across the entire grid and reducing control costs. Two modified IEEE meshed ac/dc systems are used to demonstrate the performance of the proposed method. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

When a single failure occurs in a vulnerable part of a power system, this may cause a large area cascading event. Therefore, an advanced method that can assess the risks during cascading events is needed. In this paper, an improved complex network model for power system risk assessment is proposed. Risk is defined by consequence and probability of the failures in this model, which are affected by both power factors and network structure. Compared with existing risk assessment models, the proposed one can evaluate the risk of the system comprehensively during a cascading event by combining the topological and electrical information. A new cascading event simulation module is adopted to identify the power grid cascading chain from a system-level view. In addition, simulations are investigated on the IEEE 14 bus system and IEEE 39 bus system respectively to illustrate the performance of the proposed module. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method is effective in a power grid risk assessment during cascading event. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The increasing penetration of wind power (WP) and demand response (DR) programs into modern power systems poses more challenges on transmission expansion planning (TEP). To ensure the economical, secure and reliable operations of power systems, this study presents a risk‐averse TEP framework. Instead of using the deterministic security criterion, an insecurity risk cost (RC) is proposed to provide network planners with the insight into the problem, options and future implications in decision making. Specifically, this RC can quantify the system security degree, considering the probability and the severity of contingencies. Meanwhile, the economic value of DR is modelled and incorporated into the optimal operation solutions. Moreover, to enhance the computational efficiency, an iterative solution algorithm based on the Benders decomposition is developed to solve the formulated TEP problem. The proposed approach is numerically verified on the Garver's 6‐bus, IEEE 24‐bus RTS, and 2383‐bus polish systems. Case study results demonstrate that the proposed approach can effectively investigate the impacts of large‐scale integration of WP and DR on system operations and planning. Moreover, the proposed risk‐averse approach is economically efficient and more robust to stochastic variations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The increased flood risk linked to global warming affects the safety of cascade reservoirs, with direct effects on the stable operation of power systems. In this article, an optimal scheduling framework for hydro-thermal power systems considering the flood risk of cascade reservoirs is presented. First, the extreme value theory-based peak over threshold model is adopted to build a generalized Pareto distribution of extreme flood inflow for a single reservoir. Then, the Copula function is used to build a joint probability distribution function of extreme inflow for cascade reservoirs during a flood period. Based on the superior performance of the conditional value at risk (CVaR) in characterizing the tail risk of the cascade reservoir spillway safety margin, a CVaR constraint for cascade reservoir flood prevention is proposed, and a scheduling model for hydro-thermal power systems considering the flood prevention risk of head-dependent cascade reservoirs is presented. Secondly, Rockafeller and Uryasey reformulation and sample average approximation are employed to transform the proposed model with a CVaR constraint into a convex solvable optimization model. Finally, a modified IEEE 14-node system is used to verify the better performance of the proposed model than that of the models with the chance constraint and with the independent normal distribution of extreme flood inflow. The impacts of flood prevention confidence level and Monte Carlo sample size on the optimal scheduling results are analysed quantitatively. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

The fluctuation and uncertainty of wind power generation bring severe challenges to secure and economic operation of power systems. Because wind power forecasting error is unavoidable, probabilistic forecasting becomes critical to accurately quantifying the uncertainty involved in traditional point forecasts of wind power and to providing meaningful information to conduct risk management in power system operation. This paper proposes a novel direct quantile regression approach to efficiently generate nonparametric probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation combining extreme learning machine and quantile regression. Quantiles with different proportions can be directly produced via an innovatively formulated linear programming optimization model, without dependency on point forecasts. Multistep probabilistic forecasting of 10-min wind power is newly carried out based on real wind farm data from Bornholm Island in Denmark. The superiority of the proposed approach is verified through comparisons with other well-established benchmarks. The proposed approach forms a new artificial neural network-based nonparametric forecasting framework for wind power with high efficiency, reliability, and flexibility, which can be beneficial to various decision-making activities in power systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

For cross‐regional transmission projects, the two‐part transmission pricing mechanism is suggested so as to promote the sustainable development of cross‐regional electricity trading. In the two‐part transmission pricing mechanism, appropriately determining the capacity charging ratio (CCR) is an important issue not well solved. Given this background, a Z‐number‐based risk‐minimised negotiation model is developed for a transmission company and a power purchaser to achieve an agreeable CCR under incomplete information. The uncertainty distribution of the future annual electricity transmission quantity is first estimated by the Z‐number‐based multiple Z‐valuations; and then, the benefit and risk loss measured by the well‐established conditional value at risk (CVaR) are analysed for the participating two parties. Subsequently, the negotiation model where each negotiator is to minimise its risk loss under a given lowest acceptable benefit constraint and the estimations of the opponent's risk tolerance and negotiation strategy is presented to determine the optimal offer. Finally, the ± 500 kV Xiluodu−Guangdong direct current (DC) transmission project in the southern region of China is employed to demonstrate the basic characteristics of the proposed model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Demand side management is one of the key topics of smart grids. This study integrates the service computing paradigm in smart grid domain and proposes a demand side personalised recommendation system (PRS). The proposed PRS employs service recommendation techniques to infer residential users' potential interests and needs on energy saving appliances, and then it recommends energy saving appliances to users, therefore potentially creating opportunities to save energy for the grid. The proposed approach starts by applying a non‐intrusive appliance load monitoring (NILM) method based on generalised particle filtering to disaggregate the end users' household appliance utilisation profiles from the smart meter data. Based on the NILM results, several inference rules are applied to infer the preferences and energy consumption patterns, and to form the user profile. In parallel, information retrieval techniques are applied to extract keywords from the textual appliance advertisements (Ads), and to define the appliance profile. Finally, the similarity measurement method is applied to compare the user profile and appliance profile, to rank the appliance Ad, and to make the recommendations. Experiments are conducted to validate the proposed system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Power system daily operational planning has become a difficult task with increasing wind penetrations into power system due to the variable and uncontrollable natures of wind resources. Although remarkable progress has been made in the development of wind power technology, wind speed prediction error still exists. In order to mitigate the negative effects caused by forecasting errors, several candidate daily operational plans should be scheduled ahead of time, with different wind power output scenarios taken into consideration. The key issue of this research work is to develop flexible operation framework that has the least cost adaption cost on the basis of receding horizon optimization. The selected operation plan may not be the cheapest one for one-time interval, but it takes the lowest cost considering the change process with most updated wind power information. Detailed case studies are performed to verify the feasibility of the proposed flexible operational planning framework. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

This article presents a non-destructive and non-contact method, based on terahertz time-domain spectroscopy measurements, for testing insulation oils which are extracted from different power transformers and in different ages. It is a novel method to investigate the changes of insulation oils at the molecular scale in terahertz region. Optical parameters such as the refractive index and absorption coefficient of samples are calculated based on the amplitude and phase information obtained from the measured terahertz spectra. Wavelet-denoising and smooth spline algorithms are employed to assist with the spectral analysis and signal processing. By comparing the experimental results with the conventional methods, it finds that the deterioration of the transformer oil contribute to existence of carbonyl and hydroxyl compounds and the intensive absorption due to stronger intermolecular interaction results in the changes of the dielectric characteristics. Terahertz time-domain spectroscopy offers insight into the deterioration of the electrical properties of insulation oil in power transformers. Hence, it is a useful technique in characterizing dielectric systems and appears capable of discovering the particle disaggregation states in the insulation oil. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

• An algorithm for power flow analysis considering high renewable penetration. • Regionalization of distribution system into conventional & renewable dominant regions. • Load flow investigations for both type of regions. • Minimization of power losses and less computational burden are major benefits. To harmonize the operation of renewable and conventional generation, an approach of regionalized microgrid is proposed. Regionalization has been adopted for islanded microgrid in which the distribution system has been sectionalized into conventional generation-based regions (CGRs) operating with droop control and renewable generation-based regions (RGRs) operating with constant frequency de-coupled PQ control method. Back-to-back converters have been installed between the regions for bi-directional power exchange. In this paper, a novel load flow algorithm has been proposed for a regionalized microgrid in an islanded mode that aims to solve the power flow problem for both types of the regions. The algorithm considers the uncertainty of renewable distributed generators (RDGs) and loads. The approach focuses on the frequency regulation in both types of regions. Case studies have been carried out for IEEE 15, 33 and 69-bus distribution systems by converting them into regionalized microgrids (RMG). Results have demonstrated the strength of proposed load flow approach with a fast convergence speed. [Display omitted] [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

An innovative model which considers power flow, one of the most important characteristics in a power system, is proposed for the analysis of power grid vulnerability. Moreover, based on the complex network theory and the Max-Flow theorem, a new vulnerability index is presented to identify the vulnerable lines in a power grid. In addition, comparative simulations between the power flow based model and existing models are investigated on the IEEE 118-bus system. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed model and the index are more effective in power grid vulnerability analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The wake effect is the major obstacle to reaching the maximum power generation for wind farms, since choosing the suitable wake model that satisfies both computational cost and accuracy is a difficult task. Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) is a powerful data-driven method that can learn the optimal control policy without modeling the environment. However, the "trial and error" mechanism of DRL may cause high costs during the learning process. To address this issue, we propose an ensemble-based DRL wind farm control framework. Under this framework, a new algorithm called Actor Bagging Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (AB-DDPG) is proposed, which combines the actor-network bagging method with the Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient. The gradient of the proposed method is proved to be consistent with the DDPG method. The experiment results in WFSim show that AB-DDPG can learn the optimal control policy with lower learning cost and a more robust learning process. • This paper proposes an ensemble-based DRL framework for wind farm control. • An algorithm is proposed under the proposed framework to reduce the learning cost. • The gradient used in the proposed algorithm is proved to be consistent with the DDPG. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• A new renewable energy trading system is proposed for residential communities. • The proposed energy trading system is highly scalable. • Homomorphic Encryption technology is introduced to protect user privacy. • Extensive numerical simulations are conducted to validate the proposed system. This paper proposes a new trading framework for enabling energy trading between end energy customers and a small-capacity Renewable Energy Plant (REP) in urban environments. To relieve the communication burden incurred by a large number of end customers who submit bids to purchase energy from the REP, the energy trading process is designed on a community basis. The end customers are grouped into multiple communities. With this approach, the proposed energy trading system coordinates the REP, the community energy management system in each community, and the local energy management system of each customer. The homomorphic encryption technology is integrated into the energy trading framework to enable the energy trading to be performed and settled without exposing individual customer's bidding energy purchase price and amount values. Extensive numerical simulations are conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Repeated simulations have been most widely applied in analyzing the sensitivities of the power system dynamics with respect to controller inputs. This approach is computationally intensive and it does not explicitly show the physical insights. A transfer function matrix based approach is proposed in this letter for control input sensitivity analysis. A bottom up method is also presented to build the respective transfer function matrix. The effectiveness of the method is demonstrated through case studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The increasing penetration of wind power significantly affects the reliability of power systems due to its intrinsic intermittency. Wind generators participating in electricity markets will encounter operational risk (i.e. imbalance cost) under current trading mechanism. The imbalance cost arises from the service for mitigating supply-demand imbalance caused by inaccurate wind forecasts. In this paper, an insurance strategy is proposed to cover the possible imbalance cost that wind power producers may incur. First of all, a novel method based on Monte Carlo simulations is proposed to estimate insurance premiums. The impacts of insurance excesses on premiums are analyzed as well. Energy storage system (ESS) is then discussed as an alternative approach to balancing small wind power forecasting errors, whose loss claims would be blocked by insurance excesses. Finally, the ESS and insurance policy are combined together to mitigate the imbalance risks of trading wind power in real-time markets. With the proposed approach, the most economic power capacity of ESS can be determined under different excess scenarios. Case studies prove that the proposed ESS plus insurance strategy is a promising risk aversion approach for trading wind power in real-time electricity markets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The concerns on energy security and environment protection have driven the need to produce, transform and utilize energy in a more efficient, clean and diversified way. Under this background, we design a paradigm for energy hubs that combine distributed energy supply/combined cooling heating and power (DES/CCHP), renewable energy and energy storage. These energy hubs are comprised of heating, cooling and power systems, and natural gas, power generation and photovoltaic (PV) are the primary energy sources. Also, we propose a paradigm and its operation model for regional multi-energy prosumers (RMEP) whose energy demands are served by interconnected energy hubs. The energy exchange in energy hub is based on the structure of energy buses including power bus, heating bus and cooling bus. These energy buses are interconnected as a ring heating/cooling network and a radial power grid to implement mutually complementary reserves of energy hubs. Moreover, the bi-directional energy flows between prosumer and the main grid are also analyzed. In addition, an optimal scheduling model for RMEP is proposed. The formulated objective of this model is to minimize prosumer’s cost of purchasing electricity and natural gas plus the cost of GHG emission or to maximize the revenue of selling electricity back to the grid, while considering various electricity and gas prices and heating/cooling demands during different time periods. The decision variables for prosumer include the amount of purchased gas, the amounts of purchased and sold electricity at energy hubs. Case studies are undertaken on the 15-node multi-energy prosumer system, where the system comprises three energy hubs. Prosumer’s operational strategies under system normal and contingency conditions on typical summer and winter load days can be obtained. Comparative analyses between mutually independent energy hubs are also conducted. According to the simulation results, prosumer can play an important role in responding to the time-of-use electricity and gas tariffs, shaving the regional peak loads as a whole. Besides, the interconnected energy hubs can enhance the overall system operational flexibility and reliability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As an important way of addressing energy and environmental challenges, the market share of wind power generation has increased dramatically in the past decade and has introduced significant challenges to power system operation. In this article, the tail correlation between multiple wind farms is studied. The joint probability distribution of multiple wind farms is estimated by employing the Gumbel copula function. Based on the estimated joint probability distribution, a stochastic optimal dispatch model is proposed to take into account the chance constraints of energy utilization from multiple wind farms in the power system. The sample average approximation method is employed to handle the chance constraints in the proposed model, so as to transform stochastic optimal dispatch into a deterministic non-linear optimization problem. The quantum-inspired evolutionary algorithm is used to solve the proposed model. The proposed model and algorithm are tested with comprehensive case studies to demonstrate their effectiveness. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Security-constrained optimal power flow (SCOPF) is an important tool to optimize power system's operating state while satisfying security requirements with respect to credible contingencies. As a necessary extension to conventional SCOPFs, the recently proposed preventive–corrective SCOPF (PCSCOPF) aims to achieve the best coordination between the preventive control (PC) and corrective control (CC) considering the probabilistic nature of the contingencies and the cost of CC as well as other binding constraints. However, PCSCOPF renders a large-scale, multi-stage, non-linear programming problem which is difficult to directly solve. This paper proposes a novel and improved approach to the PCSCOPF problem. We aim to partition the contingencies into two exclusive sets: one is secured in the PC stage and the other in the corrective control CC stage. The PC corresponds to an ordinary SCOPF model and solved by the Benders decomposition method; the CC corresponds to an ordinary OPF model. The optimal partitioning of the contingencies is determined using an evolutionary algorithm (EA). Compared with the existing methods, the proposed approach is advantageous in that its searching dimension only depends on the number of insecure contingencies, hence tends to lead to a much higher solution speed. The proposed method is verified on the IEEE 118-bus system and compared with other two existing methods. Simulation results show that the proposed method can provide high-quality solutions with much higher computation speed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Owing to the technological development of natural gas exploration and the increasing penetration of gas-fired power generation, gas and power systems inevitably interact with each other from both physical and economic points of view. In order to effectively assess the two systems' interdependency, this paper proposes a systematic modeling framework and constructs simulation platforms for coupled gas and power systems in an energy market environment. By applying the proposed approach to the Australian national electricity market (NEM) and gas market, the impacts of six types of market and system factors are quantitatively analyzed, including power transmission limits, gas pipeline contingencies, gas pipeline flow constraints, carbon emission constraints, power load variations, and non-electric gas load variations. The important interdependency and infrastructure weakness for the two systems are well studied and identified. Our work provides a quantitative basis for grid operators and policy makers to support and guide operation and investment decisions for electric power and natural gas industries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High-quality wind power prediction intervals (PIs) are of utmost importance for system planning and operation. To improve the reliability and sharpness of PIs, this paper proposes a new approach in which the original wind power series is first decomposed and grouped into components of reduced order of complexity using ensemble empirical mode decomposition and sample entropy techniques. The methods for the prediction of these components with extreme learning machine technique and the formation of the overall optimal PIs are then described. The effectiveness of proposed approach is demonstrated by applying it to real wind farms from Australia and National Renewable Energy Laboratory. Compared to the existing methods without wind power series decomposition, the proposed approach is found to be more effective for wind power interval forecasts with higher reliability and sharpness. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This letter proposes a machine learning-based linear programming model that quickly establishes the nonparametric prediction intervals of wind power by integrating extreme learning machine and quantile regression. The proportions of quantiles can be adaptively determined via sensitivity analysis. The proposed method has been proven to be significantly efficient and reliable, with a high application potential in power systems. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

An optimal bidding model of controllable loads is proposed to minimize the worst-case conditional expectation of electricity purchase cost simultaneously in day-ahead and real-time markets. By reformulating the worst-case conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) constraints, a solvable semi-definite program (SDP) is presented to relax the moment uncertainty of electricity price and simultaneously determine the optimal day-ahead bid and real-time increment/decrement bid. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

This letter presents an active and reactive power coordinated damping controller for doubly fed induction generator (DFIG) using second-order sliding mode technique. Through simultaneously modulating active and reactive power of DFIG, the proposed controller has an enhanced damping performance. Its advantages include faster damping speed and robustness to modeling uncertainties and parameter variations. Simulation results have verified its superior performance over existing schemes. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

China experienced a rapid economic growth in the past few decades, whereas it has been facing a critical environmental situation. It is palpable that creating a sustainable energy structure in China is urgently required. As reported in China's 12th Five-year (2011–2015) Plan (which is a five-year development plan that outlines the development focus and strategic plan for different sectors in the next five-year period, published by the State Council of the PRC every five years), integrating more renewable energy, especially from solar and wind sources, becomes an essential part of their smart grid development. This article comprehensively reviews the existing achievements of renewable technology development and current status including relevant policies from central government and some on-going demonstration projects. Promoting new energy vehicles (e.g., electric vehicles) as an effective way of reducing carbon emissions is addressed in this article as well. Finally, the difficulties at the current stage are analyzed and future trends for a subsequent phase of development are also outlined. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The overall performance of emission trading (ET), a market-based emission regulation tool, strongly relies on participants' participation and responses. In order to improve market design, it is important for policy makers to understand the participants' trading behaviors in different market environments. However, human behaviors cannot be easily modeled with conventional analytical methods due to its “bounded rationality” characteristics. In this paper, based on the complementary features between experimental and agent-based computational methods, a hybrid interactive simulation methodology is proposed to solve human behaviors related problems. Human-subjected experiment based on European Union Emissions Trading System price data in 2006 is conducted, the results show that there is no fixed emission trading interval for generation companies, and the strategic behaviors of market participants are observed. Major driving factors of emission trading are categorized into emission price, emission quantity and time related factors, which are in accordance with empirical analysis results on EU ETS 2005–2006 transaction dataset. Furthermore, more human-subjected experiments are conducted under different emission price scenarios to obtain samples for quantitative analysis. Based on thousands of samples obtained, the joint influences of driving factors on emission trading behaviors are analyzed. The quantitative analysis results obtained can reflect the trading patterns of human participants, which provide basis for constructing computer agents that can act as useful substitutes for human participants. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]