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Abstract: West Antarctic Ice Sheet mass loss is a major source of uncertainty in sea level projections. The primary driver of this melting is oceanic heat from Circumpolar Deep Water originating offshore in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Yet, in assessing melt variability, open ocean processes have received considerably less attention than those governing cross-shelf exchange. Here, we use Lagrangian particle release experiments in an ocean model to investigate the pathways by which Circumpolar Deep Water moves toward the continental shelf across the Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean. We show that Ross Gyre expansion, linked to wind and sea ice variability, increases poleward heat transport along the gyre’s eastern limb and the relative fraction of transport toward the Amundsen Sea. Ross Gyre variability, therefore, influences oceanic heat supply toward the West Antarctic continental slope. Understanding remote controls on basal melt is necessary to predict the ice sheet response to anthropogenic forcing.

Deficiencies in upper ocean vertical mixing parameterizations contribute to tropical upper ocean biases in global coupled general circulation models, affecting their simulated ocean heat uptake and ENSO variability. To better understand these deficiencies, we develop a suite of ocean model experiments including both idealized single column models and realistic global simulations. The vertical mixing parameterizations are first evaluated using large eddy simulations as a baseline to assess uncertainties and evaluate their implied turbulent mixing. Global models are then developed following NOAA/GFDL's 0.25° nominal horizontal grid spacing OM4 (uncoupled) configuration of the MOM6 ocean model, with various modifications that target biases in the original model. We test several enhancements to the existing mixing schemes and evaluate them against observational constraints from Tropical Atmosphere Ocean moorings and Argo floats. In particular, we find that we can improve the diurnal variability of mixing in OM4 via modifications to its surface boundary layer mixing scheme, and can improve the net mixing in the upper thermocline by reducing the background vertical viscosity, allowing for more realistic, less diffuse currents. The improved OM4 model better represents the mixing, leading to improved diurnal deep‐cycle variability, a more realistic time‐mean tropical thermocline structure, and a better Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent. Plain Language Summary: Computational models of the oceanic and atmospheric circulation are critical tools for understanding and projecting changes in the Earth's climate. These models have errors that can arise from many sources, including model formulation or the choices in applying the model. One of the more well known sources of error is the representation of turbulent mixing. In this work we consider specially designed small‐scale models that simulate turbulent mixing, and use their results to improve the representation of turbulence and its induced mixing in large‐scale models. In particular, we investigate how the intensity of mixing varies throughout the day, considering the progression from deep mixing during cooler nighttime surface conditions to shallower mixing in the presence of strong solar heating during the day. We find some modifications to the mixing scheme in the ocean climate model that can improve the model solutions when compared to the real ocean. Key Points: Large eddy simulation results are used to evaluate the diurnal cycle of equatorial turbulent mixing in the OM4 ocean modelReducing vertical viscosity in an ocean model increases shear near the Equatorial Undercurrent (EUC) and can result in increased vertical mixingVertical grid spacing of a few meters helps to resolve shear mixing events within and below the EUC in ocean models [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The original version of this Article contained errors in Fig. 6. In panel a, the grey highlights obscured the curves for CESM, CM2.6 and SOSE, and the labels indicating SWIR, KP, MR, PAR, and DP were inadvertently omitted. These have now been corrected in both the PDF and HTML versions of the Article.

Upwelling of global deep waters to the sea surface in the Southern Ocean closes the global overturning circulation and is fundamentally important for oceanic uptake of carbon and heat, nutrient resupply for sustaining oceanic biological production, and the melt rate of ice shelves. However, the exact pathways and role of topography in Southern Ocean upwelling remain largely unknown. Here we show detailed upwelling pathways in three dimensions, using hydrographic observations and particle tracking in high-resolution models. The analysis reveals that the northern-sourced deep waters enter the Antarctic Circumpolar Current via southward flow along the boundaries of the three ocean basins, before spiraling southeastward and upward through the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Upwelling is greatly enhanced at five major topographic features, associated with vigorous mesoscale eddy activity. Deep water reaches the upper ocean predominantly south of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, with a spatially nonuniform distribution. The timescale for half of the deep water to upwell from 30° S to the mixed layer is ~60-90 years.Deep waters of the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans upwell in the Southern Oceanbut the exact pathways are not fully characterized. Here the authors present a three dimensional view showing a spiralling southward path, with enhanced upwelling by eddy-transport at topographic hotspots.

The climatological mean barotropic vorticity budget is analyzed to investigate the relative importance of surface wind stress, topography, planetary vorticity advection, and nonlinear advection in dynamical balances in a global ocean simulation. In addition to a pronounced regional variability in vorticity balances, the relative magnitudes of vorticity budget terms strongly depend on the length‐scale of interest. To carry out a length‐scale dependent vorticity analysis in different ocean basins, vorticity budget terms are spatially coarse‐grained. At length‐scales greater than 1,000 km, the dynamics closely follow the Topographic‐Sverdrup balance in which bottom pressure torque, surface wind stress curl and planetary vorticity advection terms are in balance. In contrast, when including all length‐scales resolved by the model, bottom pressure torque and nonlinear advection terms dominate the vorticity budget (Topographic‐Nonlinear balance), which suggests a prominent role of oceanic eddies, which are of O(10–100) $\mathcal{O}(10\mbox{--}100)$ km in size, and the associated bottom pressure anomalies in local vorticity balances at length‐scales smaller than 1,000 km. Overall, there is a transition from the Topographic‐Nonlinear regime at scales smaller than 1,000 km to the Topographic‐Sverdrup regime at length‐scales greater than 1,000 km. These dynamical balances hold across all ocean basins; however, interpretations of the dominant vorticity balances depend on the level of spatial filtering or the effective model resolution. On the other hand, the contribution of bottom and lateral friction terms in the barotropic vorticity budget remains small and is significant only near sea‐land boundaries, where bottom stress and horizontal viscous friction generally peak. Plain Language Summary: Vorticity provides a measure of the local rotation and shear of fluid flow. The analysis of physical processes contributing to ocean vorticity has proven fundamental to our understanding of how those processes drive ocean flows, ranging from large‐scale ocean gyres to boundary currents such as the Gulf Stream, which is tens of km in width. Furthermore, a vorticity analysis can inform us about the relative importance of different physical processes in generating flow structures having different length scales. In the present work, we perform a length‐scale dependent vorticity budget analysis using a coarse‐graining method to remove signals finer than a fixed length scale. We coarse‐grain the climatological mean vorticity budget terms over a range of length scales, and then compare the relative magnitudes to identify the dominant vorticity balances as a function of length scale. We find that the spatial structure of the meridional transport is mainly controlled by atmospheric winds, variations in ocean depth and the momentum transport by ocean currents. However, the relative magnitudes of these factors change drastically at different length scales. We conclude that physical interpretations of the primary vorticity balances are fundamentally dependent on the chosen length scale of the analysis. Key Points: Relative magnitudes of barotropic vorticity budget terms display significant length‐scale dependenceBottom pressure torque and wind stress curl control the depth‐integrated meridional flow at length scales larger than 1,000 kmNonlinear advection and bottom pressure torque dominate the barotropic vorticity budget at smaller length scales [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Meltwater from the Antarctic Ice Sheet is projected to cause up to one metre of sea-level rise by 2100 under the highest greenhouse gas concentration trajectory (RCP8.5) considered by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). However, the effects of meltwater from the ice sheets and ice shelves of Antarctica are not included in the widely used CMIP5 climate models, which introduces bias into IPCC climate projections. Here we assess a large ensemble simulation of the CMIP5 model 'GFDL ESM2M' that accounts for RCP8.5-projected Antarctic Ice Sheet meltwater. We find that, relative to the standard RCP8.5 scenario, accounting for meltwater delays the exceedance of the maximum global-mean atmospheric warming targets of 1.5 and 2 degrees Celsius by more than a decade, enhances drying of the Southern Hemisphere and reduces drying of the Northern Hemisphere, increases the formation of Antarctic sea ice (consistent with recent observations of increasing Antarctic sea-ice area) and warms the subsurface ocean around the Antarctic coast. Moreover, the meltwater-induced subsurface ocean warming could lead to further ice-sheet and ice-shelf melting through a positive feedback mechanism, highlighting the importance of including meltwater effects in simulations of future climate.Accounting for meltwater from the Antarctic Ice Sheet in simulations of global climate leads to substantial changes in future climate projections and identifies a potential feedback mechanism that exacerbates melting., Author(s): Ben Bronselaer [sup.1] [sup.2] [sup.3] , Michael Winton [sup.2] , Stephen M. Griffies [sup.2] [sup.3] , William J. Hurlin [sup.2] , Keith B. Rodgers [sup.3] , Olga V. Sergienko [...]

As the climate warms, the grounded ice sheet and floating ice shelves surrounding Antarctica are melting and releasing additional freshwater into the Southern Ocean. Nonetheless, almost all existing coupled climate models have fixed ice sheets and lack the physics required to represent the dominant sources of Antarctic melt. These missing ice dynamics represent a key uncertainty that is typically unaccounted for in current global climate change projections. Previous modelling studies that have imposed additional Antarctic meltwater have demonstrated regional impacts on Southern Ocean stratification, circulation, and sea ice, as well as remote changes in atmospheric circulation, tropical precipitation, and global temperature. However, these previous studies have used widely varying rates of freshwater forcing, have been conducted using different climate models and configurations, and have reached differing conclusions on the magnitude of meltwater–climate feedbacks. The Southern Ocean Freshwater Input from Antarctica (SOFIA) initiative brings together a team of scientists to quantify the climate system response to Antarctic meltwater input along with key aspects of the uncertainty. In this paper, we summarize the state of knowledge on meltwater discharge from the Antarctic ice sheet and ice shelves to the Southern Ocean and explain the scientific objectives of our initiative. We propose a series of coupled and ocean–sea ice model experiments, including idealized meltwater experiments, historical experiments with observationally consistent meltwater input, and future scenarios driven by meltwater inputs derived from stand-alone ice sheet models. Through coordinating a multi-model ensemble of simulations using a common experimental design, open data archiving, and facilitating scientific collaboration, SOFIA aims to move the community toward better constraining our understanding of the climate system response to Antarctic melt. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]