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The retrieval of soil moisture (SM) using the Global Navigation Satellite System-Reflectometry (GNSS-R) technique has become a prominent topic in recent years. Although prior research has reached a spatial resolution of up to 9 km through the Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS), it is insufficient to meet the requirements of higher spatial resolutions for hydrological or agricultural applications. In this paper, we present an SM downscaling method that fuses CYGNSS and SMAP SM. This method aims to construct a dataset of CYGNSS observables, auxiliary variables, and SMAP SM (36 km) products. It then establishes their nonlinear relationship at the same scale and finally builds a downscale retrieval model of SM using the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. Focusing on the southern United States, the results indicate that the SM downscaling method exhibits robust performance during both the training and testing processes, enabling the generation of a CYGNSS SM product with a 1 day/3 km resolution. Compared to existing methods, the spatial resolution is increased threefold. Furthermore, in situ sites are utilized to validate the downscaled SM, and spatial correlation analysis is conducted using MODIS EVI and MODIS ET products. The CYGNSS SM obtained by the downscaling model exhibits favorable correlations. The high temporal and spatial resolution characteristics of GNSS-R are fully leveraged through the downscaled method proposed. Furthermore, this work provides a new perspective for enhancing the spatial resolution of SM retrieval using the GNSS-R technique.

Soil moisture (SM), as one of the crucial environmental factors, has traditionally been estimated using global navigation satellite system interferometric reflectometry (GNSS-IR) microwave remote sensing technology. This approach relies on the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) reflection component, and its accuracy hinges on the successful separation of the reflection component from the direct component. In contrast, the presence of carrier phase and pseudorange multipath errors enables soil moisture retrieval without the requirement for separating the direct component of the signal. To acquire high-quality combined multipath errors and diversify GNSS-IR data sources, this study establishes the dual-frequency pseudorange combination (DFPC) and dual-frequency carrier phase combination (L4) that exclude geometrical factors, ionospheric delay, and tropospheric delay. Simultaneously, we propose two methods for estimating soil moisture: the DFPC method and the L4 method. Initially, the equal-weight least squares method is employed to calculate the initial delay phase. Subsequently, anomalous delay phases are detected and corrected through a combination of the minimum covariance determinant robust estimation (MCD) and the moving average filter (MAF). Finally, we utilize the multivariate linear regression (MLR) and extreme learning machine (ELM) to construct multi-satellite linear regression models (MSLRs) and multi-satellite nonlinear regression models (MSNRs) for soil moisture prediction, and compare the accuracy of each model. To validate the feasibility of these methods, data from site P031 of the Plate Boundary Observatory (PBO) H2O project are utilized. Experimental results demonstrate that combining MCD and MAF can effectively detect and correct outliers, yielding single-satellite delay phase sequences with a high quality. This improvement contributes to varying degrees of enhanced correlation between the single-satellite delay phase and soil moisture. When fusing the corrected delay phases from multiple satellite orbits using the DFPC method for soil moisture estimation, the correlations between the true soil moisture values and the predicted values obtained through MLR and ELM reach 0.81 and 0.88, respectively, while the correlations of the L4 method can reach 0.84 and 0.90, respectively. These findings indicate a substantial achievement in high-precision soil moisture estimation within a small satellite-elevation angle range.

Wildfire disasters pose a significant threat to the stability and sustainability of ecosystems. The assessment of wildfire risk based on a seasonal dimension has contributed to improving the spatiotemporal targeting of fire prevention efforts. In this study, Nanning, China, was selected as the research area. The wildfire driving factors were chosen from both seasonal and nonseasonal aspects, and the datasets were divided into five periods: all seasons, spring, summer, autumn, and winter. The light gradient boosting machine (LGBM) was employed to construct wildfire danger models for different periods, evaluating the spatial distribution of high-wildfire-danger areas during these periods and the predictive performance differences. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was utilized to analyze the differential contributions of various factors to wildfire occurrence in different seasons. Subsequently, the remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) was calculated using four indicators, greenness, heat, wetness, and dryness, to assess the ecological vulnerability in different seasons. Finally, by integrating danger and vulnerability information, wildfire risk models were developed to systematically assess the risk of wildfire disasters causing losses to the ecological environment in different seasons. The results indicate that: (1) The evaluation of wildfire danger based on individual seasons effectively compensates for the shortcomings of analyzing danger across all seasons, exhibiting higher predictive performance and richer details. (2) Wildfires in Nanning primarily occur in spring and winter, while the likelihood of wildfires in summer and autumn is relatively lower. In different seasons, NDVI is the most critical factor influencing wildfire occurrence, while slope is the most important nonseasonal factor. The influence of factors varies among different seasons, with seasonal factors having a more significant impact on wildfire danger. (3) The ecological vulnerability in Nanning exhibits significant differences between different seasons. Compared to spring and winter, the ecological environment is more vulnerable to wildfire disasters during summer and autumn. (4) The highest wildfire risk occurs in spring, posing the greatest threat to the ecological environment, while the lowest wildfire risk is observed in winter. Taking into account information on danger and vulnerability in different seasons enables a more comprehensive assessment of the risk differences in wildfire disasters causing ecological losses. The research findings provide a scientific theoretical basis for relevant departments regarding the prevention, control, and management of seasonal wildfires.

The global navigation satellite system–interferometric reflectometry (GNSS-IR) technique has emerged as an effective coastal sea-level monitoring solution. However, the accuracy and stability of GNSS-IR sea-level estimation based on quadratic fitting are limited by the retrieval range of reflector height (RH range) and satellite-elevation range, reducing the flexibility of this technology. This study introduces a new GNSS-IR sea-level estimation model that combines local mean decomposition (LMD) and Lomb–Scargle periodogram (LSP). LMD can decompose the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) arc into a series of signal components with different frequencies. The signal components containing information from the sea surface are selected to construct the oscillation term, and its frequency is extracted by LSP. To this end, observational data from SC02 sites in the United States are used to evaluate the accuracy level of the model. Then, the performance of LMD and the influence of noise on retrieval results are analyzed from two aspects: RH ranges and satellite-elevation ranges. Finally, the sea-level variation for one consecutive year is estimated to verify the stability of the model in long-term monitoring. The results show that the oscillation term obtained by LMD has a lower noise level than other signal separation methods, effectively improving the accuracy of retrieval results and avoiding abnormal values. Moreover, it still performs well under loose constraints (a wide RH range and a high-elevation range). In one consecutive year of retrieval results, the new model based on LMD has a significant improvement effect over quadratic fitting, and the root mean square error and mean absolute error of retrieval results obtained in each month on average are improved by 8.34% and 8.87%, respectively.

Research on wildfire risk can quantitatively assess the risk of wildfire damage to the population, economy, and natural ecology. However, existing research has primarily assessed the spatial risk of wildfires across an entire region, neglecting the impact of different land-use types on the assessment outcomes. The purpose of the study is to construct a framework for assessing wildfire risk in different land-use types, aiming to comprehensively assess the risk of wildfire disasters in a region. We conducted a case study in Central China, collecting and classifying historical wildfire samples according to land-use types. The Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM) was employed to construct wildfire susceptibility models for both overall and individual land-use types. Additionally, a subjective and objective combined weighting method using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Entropy Weight Method (EWM) was utilized to build the wildfire vulnerability model. By integrating susceptibility and vulnerability information, we comprehensively assessed the combined risk of wildfire disasters across land-use types. The results demonstrate the following: (1) Assessing wildfire susceptibility based on different land-use types compensated for limitations in analyzing overall wildfire susceptibility, with a higher prediction performance and more detailed susceptibility information. (2) Significant variations in wildfire susceptibility distribution existed among different land-use types, with varying contributions of factors. (3) Using the AHP-EWM combined weighting method effectively addressed limitations of a single method in determining vulnerability. (4) Land-use types exerted a significant impact on wildfire risk assessment in Central China. Assessing wildfire risk for both overall and individual land-use types enhances understanding of spatial risk distribution and specific land use risk. The experimental results validate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed evaluation framework, providing guidance for wildfire prevention and control.

Global Navigation Satellite System interferometric reflectometry (GNSS-IR), as a new remote sensing detection technology, can retrieve surface soil moisture (SM) by separating the modulation terms from the effective signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) data. However, traditional low-order polynomials are prone to over-fitting when separating modulation terms. Moreover, the existing research mainly relies on prior information to select satellites for SM retrieval. Accordingly, this study proposes a method based on empirical modal decomposition (EMD) and cross-correlation satellite selection (CCSS) for SM retrieval. This method intended to adaptively separate the modulation terms of SNR through the combination of EMD and an intrinsic mode functions (IMF) discriminant method, then construct a CCSS method to select available satellites, and finally establish a multisatellite robust estimation regression (MRER) model to retrieve SM. The results indicated that with EMD, the different feature components implied in the SNR data of different satellites could be adaptively decomposed, and the trend and modulation terms of the SNR could more accurately be acquired by the IMF discriminant method. The available satellites could be efficiently selected through CCSS, and the SNR quality of different satellites could also be classified at different accuracy levels. Furthermore, MRER could fuse the multisatellite phases well, which enhanced the accuracy of SM retrieval and further verified the feasibility and effectiveness of combining EMD and CCSS. When rm=0.600 and rn=0.700, the correlation coefficient (r) of the multisatellite combination reached 0.918, an improvement of at least 40% relative to the correlation coefficient of a single satellite. Therefore, this method can improve the adaptive ability of SNR decomposition, and the selection of satellites has high flexibility, which is helpful for the application and popularization of the GNSS-IR technology.

The frequent occurrence and spread of wildfires pose a serious threat to the ecological environment and urban development. Therefore, assessing regional wildfire susceptibility is crucial for the early prevention of wildfires and formulation of disaster management decisions. However, current research on wildfire susceptibility primarily focuses on improving the accuracy of models, while lacking in-depth study of the causes and mechanisms of wildfires, as well as the impact and losses they cause to the ecological environment and urban development. This situation not only increases the uncertainty of model predictions but also greatly reduces the specificity and practical significance of the models. We propose a comprehensive evaluation framework to analyze the spatial distribution of wildfire susceptibility and the effects of influencing factors, while assessing the risks of wildfire damage to the local ecological environment and urban development. In this study, we used wildfire information from the period 2013–2022 and data from 17 susceptibility factors in the city of Guilin as the basis, and utilized eight machine learning algorithms, namely logistic regression (LR), artificial neural network (ANN), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), light gradient boosting machine (LGBM), and eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), to assess wildfire susceptibility. By evaluating multiple indicators, we obtained the optimal model and used the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) method to explain the effects of the factors and the decision-making mechanism of the model. In addition, we collected and calculated corresponding indicators, with the Remote Sensing Ecological Index (RSEI) representing ecological vulnerability and the Night-Time Lights Index (NTLI) representing urban development vulnerability. The coupling results of the two represent the comprehensive vulnerability of the ecology and city. Finally, by integrating wildfire susceptibility and vulnerability information, we assessed the risk of wildfire disasters in Guilin to reveal the overall distribution characteristics of wildfire disaster risk in Guilin. The results show that the AUC values of the eight models range from 0.809 to 0.927, with accuracy values ranging from 0.735 to 0.863 and RMSE values ranging from 0.327 to 0.423. Taking into account all the performance indicators, the XGBoost model provides the best results, with AUC, accuracy, and RMSE values of 0.927, 0.863, and 0.327, respectively. This indicates that the XGBoost model has the best predictive performance. The high-susceptibility areas are located in the central, northeast, south, and southwest regions of the study area. The factors of temperature, soil type, land use, distance to roads, and slope have the most significant impact on wildfire susceptibility. Based on the results of the ecological vulnerability and urban development vulnerability assessments, potential wildfire risk areas can be identified and assessed comprehensively and reasonably. The research results of this article not only can improve the specificity and practical significance of wildfire prediction models but also provide important reference for the prevention and response of wildfires.

Abstract Obtaining high-precision, long-term sequences of vegetation water content (VWC) is of great significance for assessing surface vegetation growth, soil moisture, and fire risk. In recent years, the global navigation satellite system-interferometric reflection (GNSS-IR) has become a new type of remote sensing technology with low cost, all-weather capability, and a high temporal resolution. It has been widely used in the fields of snow depth, sea level, soil moisture content, and vegetation water content. The normalized microwave reflectance index (NMRI) based on GNSS-IR technology has been proven to be effective in monitoring changes in VWC. This paper considers the advantages and disadvantages of remote sensing technology and GNSS-IR technology in estimating VWC. A point-surface fusion method of GNSS-IR and MODIS data based on the GA–BP neural network is proposed to improve the accuracy of VWC estimation. The vegetation index products (NDVI, GPP, LAI) and the NMRI that unified the temporal and spatial resolution were used as the input and output data of the training model, and the GA–BP neural network was used for training and modeling. Finally, a spatially continuous NMRI product was generated. Taking a particular area of the United States as a research object, experiments show that (1) a neural network can realize the effective fusion of GNSS-IR and MODIS products. By comparing the GA–BP neural network, BP neural network, and multiple linear regression (MLR), the three models fusion effect. The results show that the GA–BP neural network has the best modeling effect, and the r and RMSE between the model estimation result and the reference value are 0.778 and 0.0332, respectively; this network is followed by the BP neural network, in which the r and RMSE are 0.746 and 0.0465, respectively. MLR has the poorest effect, with r and RMSE values of 0.500 and 0.0516, respectively. (2) The spatiotemporal variation in the 16 days/500 m resolution NMRI product obtained by GA–BP neural network fusion is consistent with that in the experimental area. Through the testing of GNSS stations that did not participate in the modeling, the r between the estimated value of the NMRI and the reference value is greater than 0.87, and the RMSE is less than 0.049. Therefore, the method proposed in this paper is optional and effective. The spatially continuous NMRI products obtained by fusion can reflect the changes in VWC in the experimental area more intuitively.

Given the chaotic characteristics of the time series of landslides, a new method based on modified ensemble empirical mode decomposition (MEEMD), approximate entropy and the weighted least square support vector machine (WLS-SVM) was proposed. The method mainly started from the chaotic sequence of time-frequency analysis and improved the model performance as follows: first a deformation time series was decomposed into a series of subsequences with significantly different complexity using MEEMD. Then the approximate entropy method was used to generate a new subsequence for the combination of subsequences with similar complexity, which could effectively concentrate the component feature information and reduce the computational scale. Finally the WLS-SVM prediction model was established for each new subsequence. At the same time, phase space reconstruction theory and the grid search method were used to select the input dimension and the optimal parameters of the model, and then the superposition of each predicted value was the final forecasting result. Taking the landslide deformation data of Danba as an example, the experiments were carried out and compared with wavelet neural network, support vector machine, least square support vector machine and various combination schemes. The experimental results show that the algorithm has high prediction accuracy. It can ensure a better prediction effect even in landslide deformation periods of rapid fluctuation, and it can also better control the residual value and effectively reduce the error interval.