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Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), a type of machine learning technique, have recently drawn a lot of interest in numerous fields, including epidemiology. Implementing public health interventions in the field of epidemiology depends on efficient modeling and outbreak prediction. Because RNNs can capture sequential dependencies in data, they have become highly effective tools in this field. In this paper, the use of RNNs in epidemic modeling is examined, with a focus on the extent to which they can handle the inherent temporal dynamics in the spread of diseases. The mathematical representation of epidemics requires taking time-dependent variables into account, such as the rate at which infections spread and the long-term effects of interventions. The goal of this study is to use an intelligent computing solution based on RNNs to provide numerical performances and interpretations for the SEIR nonlinear system based on the propagation of the Zika virus (SEIRS-PZV) model. The four patient dynamics, namely susceptible patients S(y), exposed patients admitted in a hospital E(y), the fraction of infective individuals I(y), and recovered patients R(y), are represented by the epidemic version of the nonlinear system, or the SEIR model. SEIRS-PZV is represented by ordinary differential equations (ODEs), which are then solved by the Adams method using the Mathematica software to generate a dataset. The dataset was used as an output for the RNN to train the model and examine results such as regressions, correlations, error histograms, etc. For RNN, we used 100% to train the model with 15 hidden layers and a delay of 2 seconds. The input for the RNN is a time series sequence from 0 to 5, with a step size of 0.05. In the end, we compared the approximated solution with the exact solution by plotting them on the same graph and generating the absolute error plot for each of the 4 cases of SEIRS-PZV. Predictions made by the model appeared to be become more accurate when the mean squared error (MSE) decreased. An increased fit to the observed data was suggested by this decrease in the MSE, which suggested that the variance between the model's predicted values and the actual values was dropping. A minimal absolute error almost equal to zero was obtained, which further supports the usefulness of the suggested strategy. A small absolute error shows the degree to which the model's predictions matches the ground truth values, thus indicating the level of accuracy and precision for the model's output. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Alzheimer's disease stands as one of the most widespread neurodegenerative conditions associated with aging, giving rise to dementia and posing significant public health challenges. Mathematical models are considered as valuable tools to gain insights into the mechanisms underlying the onset, progression, and potential therapeutic approaches for AD. In this paper, we introduce a mathematical model for AD that employs the fractal fractional operator in the Caputo sense to characterize the temporal dynamics of key cell populations. This model encompasses essential elements, including amyloid- β ( A β ), neurons, astroglia and microglia. Using the fractal fractional operator, we have established the existence and uniqueness of solutions for the model under consideration, employing Leray-Schaefer's theorem and the Banach fixed-point methods. Utilizing functional techniques, we have analyzed the proposed model stability under the Ulam-Hyers condition. The suggested model has been numerically simulated by using a fractional Adams-Bashforth approach, which involves a two-step Lagrange polynomial. For numerical simulations, different ranges of fractional order values and fractal dimensions are considered. This new fractal fractional operator in the form of the Caputo derivative was determined to yield better results than an ordinary integer order. Various outcomes are shown graphically by for different fractal dimensions and arbitrary orders. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have transformed machine learning and computational intelligence by providing unprecedented powers in modeling complicated data and addressing a wide range of challenges. In the field of ANNs, back propagation is a key approach for training neural networks. However, obtaining optimum network efficiency while tackling over fitting and controlling uncertainty is a difficult task. The present study employs the Bayesian Regularization Method with Neural Network Backpropagation (BRM-NNB) technique to investigate the rumors spreading delay model. With their rapid spread, rumors have the potential to cause fear and even financial loss. Thus, we must take decisive actions to stop the rumor from spreading. Nowadays, rumors can spread through instant messaging, emails, or publishing, thanks to the development of the internet. In this research, an XY-SIR rumors spreading delay model (XY-SIR-RS-DM) is investigated in relation to the novel spreading pattern. Media networks can be categorized into susceptible and infected media, while friendship networks can be categorized into three groups: spreaders (S, I, and R), who actively disseminate rumors, those who are ignorant and those who have no desire to do so. To estimate the solution of the suggested model, the Bayesian regularization method with neural network back propagation (BRM-NNB) is used. The data set is generated by applying the explicit Runge-Kutta method. The computing BRM-NNB strategy is implemented for three different performances, where the training, testing, and verification data are reported as 80%, 15%, and 5%, respectively, with 10 hidden neurons. To verify the validity of the developed artificial intelligence (AI) approach represented by the BRM-NNB, outcome comparisons are presented. The result is compatible with obtaining a minimal absolute error that is nearly equal to zero, thereby proving the efficacy of the proposed method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Among women of reproductive age, PCOS (polycystic ovarian syndrome) is one of the most prevalent endocrine illnesses. In addition to decreasing female fertility, this condition raises the risk of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, dyslipidemia, obesity, psychiatric disorders and other illnesses. In this paper, we constructed a fractional order model for polycystic ovarian syndrome by using a novel approach with the memory effect of a fractional operator. The study population was divided into four groups for this reason: Women who are at risk for infertility, PCOS sufferers, infertile women receiving therapy (gonadotropin and clomiphene citrate), and improved infertile women. We derived the basic reproductive number, and by utilizing the Jacobian matrix and the Routh-Hurwitz stability criterion, it can be shown that the free and endemic equilibrium points are both locally stable. Using a two-step Lagrange polynomial, solutions were generated in the generalized form of the power law kernel in order to explore the influence of the fractional operator with numerical simulations, which shows the impact of the sickness on women due to the effect of different parameters involved. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]