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• Long-term evolution trend of wind and waves in China's offshore was investigated. • A novel approach was proposed to evaluate wind-wave joint exploitation potential. • Joint utilization guarantee rate of wind and waves in China's offshore was 67 %–87 %. • AO, AMO and Niño 3.4 affected WS and H s from high to low latitudes, respectively. • Impact of ENSO on WS and H s in SCS could reach 3.92 m/s and 1.15 m, respectively. Assessing wind and waves resources and analyzing their evolution are crucial for the exploitation of wind and wave energy. This paper utilized ERA5 reanalysis data to investigate the distribution characteristics, long-term evolution, and influencing factors of wind speed (WS) and significant wave height (H s) in China's offshore regions. It showed that over the past 60 years, the Bohai Sea experienced a significant downward trend in WS (−0.632 cm/s/yr) and H s (−0.135 cm/yr). The Yellow Sea exhibited a downward trend in WS, but no change trend was observed in H s (p > 0.05). The H s in the East China Sea (ECS) and South China Sea (SCS) showed upward trends, increasing by 0.191 cm/yr and 0.262 cm/yr, respectively. The concept of energy utilization guarantee rate (EUGR) was introduced to evaluate the complementarity and synergy between wind and wave resources. The ECS and SCS were found to possess ample wind resources, with an EUGR of approximately 80 %. The combined EUGR of wind and wave energy in the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, ECS, and SCS amounted to 67.41 %, 72.29 %, 86.86 %, and 84.10 %, respectively. The southeastern coastal waters of China exhibited significant complementary and synergistic effects between wind and waves, making them suitable for the joint utilization of wind and wave energy. The distribution and evolution of wind and waves in China's offshore varied due to diverse climate conditions prevailing in different regions. From high to low latitudes, the Bohai Sea was mainly controlled by AO, while the Yellow Sea was jointly affected by AO and AMO; The ECS and SCS were mainly affected by AMO and Niño 3.4, respectively. During El Niño/La Niña years, the SCS exhibited a decrease/increase in WS and H s , with a lag of ∼3 months in response to ENSO. The variation amplitude of WS and H s could reach 3.92 m/s and 1.15 m, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The decline of ancient societies has been often associated with hydroclimate instabilities. In this paper, we report phytolith records from the Yangtze River Delta of China, to reconstruct middle and late Holocene climate dynamics, and understand societal impacts. Our findings reveal that the area experienced a consistent decline in temperature and humidity punctuated by several rapid climate shifts. A distinct dry episode from 7000 to 6000 cal yr BP likely developed in response to weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and a southward shift of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), resulting in a weakened East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and a strengthened East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM). This dry condition would have favoured the emergence of dryland and facilitated rice cultivation in the lower Yangtze region. Another dry episode at 4500–4000 cal yr BP, which was probably associated with the widespread 4.2 ka climate event, and linked to a further retreat of the ITCZ and highly variable ENSO intensity, led to highly unstable hydroclimate conditions in the region. We argue that this event disrupted social resilience and culminated in the cultural collapse at the end of Liangzhu Culture. • Cooling trend since 8000 cal yr BP in response to decline of summer insolation. • Dry episodes at 7000–6000 and 4500–4000 cal yr BP. • Strength of AMOC and position of ITCZ jointly modulates the EASM. • Neolithic societal resilience shows varied responses to each dry episode. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Indian Ocean basin (IOB) mode is the dominant mode of the interannual sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the Indian Ocean, with the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) as the second mode. An IOB event normally occurs after an El Niño or a concurrent IOD–El Niño event, the dynamics of which are traditionally believed as forced by ENSO through the Walker circulation anomalies over the tropical Indian Ocean. A strong IOB in 2020 took place after the strongest 2019 IOD on record but independent of El Niño, which challenges the traditional atmospheric bridge dynamics of the IOB event. In this study, the dynamics of the 2020 IOB event are investigated using the numerical seasonal climate prediction system of the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center of China. It is found that the initialization of the Indian Ocean subsurface temperature during the 2019 IOD event has led to the outburst of the 2020 IOB event successfully, the dynamics of which are the propagation and the western boundary reflection of the equatorial and off-equatorial Rossby waves, inducing heat content recharge over the tropical Indian Ocean upper thermocline. In comparison, experiments of SST initialization over the tropical Indian Ocean, with the subsurface temperature in a climatological state, were unable to reproduce the onset of the 2020 IOB event, suggesting that the local air–sea interaction within the Indian Ocean basin is of secondary importance. The numerical experiments suggest that the thermocline ocean wave dynamics play an important role in forcing the IOB event. The revealed thermocline dynamics are potentially useful in climate prediction associated with IOB events. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]