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Genomic Selection (GS) in tree breeding optimizes genetic gains by leveraging genomic data to enable early selection of seedlings without phenotypic data reducing breeding cycle and increasing selection intensity. Traditional assessments of the potential of GS in forest trees have typically focused on model performance using cross-validation within the same generation but evaluating effectively realized predictive ability (RPA) across generations is crucial. This study estimated RPAs for volume growth (VOL), wood density (WD), and pulp yield (PY) across four generations breeding of Eucalyptus grandis. The training set spanned three generations, including 34,461 trees with three-year growth data, 6,014 trees with wood quality trait data, and 1,918 trees with 12,695 SNPs (single nucleotide polymorphisms) data. Employing single-step genomic BLUP, we compared the genomic predictions of breeding values (GEBVs) for 1,153 fourth-generation full-sib seedlings in the greenhouse with their later-collected phenotypic estimated breeding values (EBVs) at age three years. RPAs were estimated using three GS targets (individual trees, trees within families, and families), two selection criteria (single- and multiple-trait), and training populations of either all 1,918 genotyped trees or the 67 direct ancestors of the selection candidates. RPAs were higher for wood quality traits (0.33 to 0.59) compared to VOL (0.14 to 0.19) and improved for wood traits (0.42 to 0.75) but not for VOL when trained only with direct ancestors, highlighting the challenges in accurately predicting growth traits. GS was more effective at excluding bottom-ranked candidates than selecting top-ranked ones. The between-family GS approach outperformed individual-tree selection for VOL (0.11 to 0.16) and PY (0.72 to 0.75), but not for WD (0.43 vs. 0.42). Furthermore, higher levels of relatedness and lower genotype by environment (G × E) interaction between training and testing populations enhanced RPAs for VOL (0.39). In summary, despite limited effectiveness in ranking top VOL individuals, GS effectively identified low-performing individuals and families. These multi-generational findings underscore GS's potential in tree breeding, stressing the importance of considering relatedness and G × E interaction for optimal performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: The coconut tree crop (Cocos nucifera L.) provides vital resources for millions of people worldwide. Coconut germplasm is largely classified into 'Tall' (Typica) and 'Dwarf' (Nana) types. While Tall coconuts are outcrossing, stress tolerant, and late flowering, Dwarf coconuts are inbred and flower early with a high rate of bunch emission. Precocity determines the earlier production of a plantation and facilitates management and harvest. Methods: A unique outbred F2 population was used, generated by intercrossing F1 hybrids between Brazilian Green Dwarf from Jiqui (BGDJ) and West African Tall (WAT) cultivars. Single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers fixed for alternative alleles in the two varieties, segregating in an F2 configuration, were used to build a high-density linkage map with ~3,000 SNPs, anchored to the existing chromosome-level genome assemblies, and a quantitative trait locus (QTL) mapping analysis was carried out. Results: The linkage map established the chromosome numbering correspondence between the two reference genome versions and the relationship between recombination rate, physical distance, and gene density in the coconut genomes. Leveraging the strong segregation for precocity inherited from the Dwarf cultivar in the F2, a major effect QTL with incomplete dominance was mapped for flowering time. FLOWERING LOCUS T (FT) gene homologs of coconut previously described as putatively involved in flowering time by alternative splice variant analysis were colocalized within a ~200-kb window of the major effect QTL [logarithm of the odds (LOD) = 11.86]. Discussion: Our work provides strong phenotype-based evidence for the role of the FT locus as the putative underlying functional variant for the flowering time difference between Dwarf and Tall coconuts. Major effect QTLs were also detected for developmental traits of the palm, plausibly suggesting pleiotropism of the FT locus for other precocity traits. Haplotypes of the two SNPs flanking the flowering time QTL inherited from the Dwarf parent BGDJ caused a reduction in the time to flower of approximately 400 days. These SNPs could be used for high-throughput marker-assisted selection of early-flowering and higher-productivity recombinant lines, providing innovative genetic material to the coconut industry. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: The coconut tree crop ( Cocos nucifera L.) provides vital resources for millions of people worldwide. Coconut germplasm is largely classified into 'Tall' (Typica) and 'Dwarf' (Nana) types. While Tall coconuts are outcrossing, stress tolerant, and late flowering, Dwarf coconuts are inbred and flower early with a high rate of bunch emission. Precocity determines the earlier production of a plantation and facilitates management and harvest., Methods: A unique outbred F 2 population was used, generated by intercrossing F 1 hybrids between Brazilian Green Dwarf from Jiqui (BGDJ) and West African Tall (WAT) cultivars. Single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers fixed for alternative alleles in the two varieties, segregating in an F 2 configuration, were used to build a high-density linkage map with ~3,000 SNPs, anchored to the existing chromosome-level genome assemblies, and a quantitative trait locus (QTL) mapping analysis was carried out., Results: The linkage map established the chromosome numbering correspondence between the two reference genome versions and the relationship between recombination rate, physical distance, and gene density in the coconut genomes. Leveraging the strong segregation for precocity inherited from the Dwarf cultivar in the F 2 , a major effect QTL with incomplete dominance was mapped for flowering time. FLOWERING LOCUS T ( FT ) gene homologs of coconut previously described as putatively involved in flowering time by alternative splice variant analysis were colocalized within a ~200-kb window of the major effect QTL [logarithm of the odds (LOD) = 11.86]., Discussion: Our work provides strong phenotype-based evidence for the role of the FT locus as the putative underlying functional variant for the flowering time difference between Dwarf and Tall coconuts. Major effect QTLs were also detected for developmental traits of the palm, plausibly suggesting pleiotropism of the FT locus for other precocity traits. Haplotypes of the two SNPs flanking the flowering time QTL inherited from the Dwarf parent BGDJ caused a reduction in the time to flower of approximately 400 days. These SNPs could be used for high-throughput marker-assisted selection of early-flowering and higher-productivity recombinant lines, providing innovative genetic material to the coconut industry., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2024 Grattapaglia, Alves and Pacheco.)