1. Risk prediction of ischemic heart disease using plasma proteomics, conventional risk factors and polygenic scores in Chinese and European adults.
- Author
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Mazidi M, Wright N, Yao P, Kartsonaki C, Millwood IY, Fry H, Said S, Pozarickij A, Pei P, Chen Y, Wang B, Avery D, Du H, Schmidt DV, Yang L, Lv J, Yu C, Sun D, Chen J, Hill M, Peto R, Collins R, Bennett DA, Walters RG, Li L, Clarke R, and Chen Z
- Abstract
Plasma proteomics could enhance risk prediction for multiple diseases beyond conventional risk factors or polygenic scores (PS). To assess utility of proteomics for risk prediction of ischemic heart disease (IHD) compared with conventional risk factors and PS in Chinese and European populations. A nested case-cohort study measured plasma levels of 2923 proteins using Olink Explore panel in ~ 4000 Chinese adults (1976 incident IHD cases and 2001 sub-cohort controls). We used conventional and machine learning (Boruta) methods to develop proteomics-based prediction models of IHD, with discrimination assessed using area under the curve (AUC), C-statistics and net reclassification index (NRI). These were compared with conventional risk factors and PS in Chinese and in 37,187 Europeans. Overall, 446 proteins were associated with IHD (false discovery rate < 0.05) in Chinese after adjustment for conventional cardiovascular disease risk factors. Proteomic risk models alone yielded higher C-statistics for IHD than conventional risk factors or PS (0.855 [95%CI 0.841-0.868] vs. 0.845 [0.829-0.860] vs 0.553 [0.528-0.578], respectively). Addition of 446 proteins to PS improved C-statistics to 0.857 (0.843-0.871) and NRI by 109.1%; and addition to conventional risk factors improved C-statistics to 0.868 (0.854-0.882) and NRI by 86.9%. Boruta analysis identified 30 proteins accounting for ~ 90% of improvement in NRI for IHD conferred by all 2923 proteins. Similar proteomic panels yielded comparable improvements in risk prediction of IHD in Europeans. Plasma proteomics improved risk prediction of IHD beyond conventional risk factors and PS and could enhance precision medicine approaches for primary prevention of IHD., Competing Interests: Declarations. Conflict of interest: None of the authors have any conflicts of interest in relation to this report. Ethical approval: The China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) complies with all required ethical standards for medical research on human subjects. Ethical approvals were obtained and been maintained by the relevant institutional ethical research committees in the UK and China. Consent to participate/publication: All participants provided written informed consent., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
- Published
- 2024
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