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ABSTRACTIn the development of Type 1 diabetes (T1D), there are critical states just before drastic changes, and identifying these pre-disease states may predict T1D or provide crucial early-warning signals. Unlike gene expression data, gut microbiome data can be collected noninvasively from stool samples. Gut microbiome sequencing data contain different levels of phylogenetic information that can be utilized to detect the tipping point or critical state in a reliable manner, thereby providing accurate and effective early-warning signals. However, it is still difficult to detect the critical state of T1D based on gut microbiome data due to generally non-significant differences between healthy and critical states. To address this problem, we proposed a new method – microbiome network flow entropy (mNFE) based on a single sample from each individual – for detecting the critical state before seroconversion and abrupt transitions of T1D at various taxonomic levels. The numerical simulation validated the robustness of mNFE under different noise levels. Furthermore, based on real datasets, mNFE successfully identified the critical states and their dynamic network biomarkers (DNBs) at different taxonomic levels. In addition, we found some high-frequency species, which are closely related to the unique clinical characteristics of autoantibodies at the four levels, and identified some non-differential ‘dark species’ play important roles during the T1D progression. mNFE can robustly and effectively detect the pre-disease states at various taxonomic levels and identify the corresponding DNBs with only a single sample for each individual. Therefore, our mNFE method provides a new approach not only for T1D pre-disease diagnosis or preventative treatment but also for preventative medicine of other diseases by gut microbiome.

Abstract Background There exists a critical transition or tipping point during the complex biological process. Such critical transition is usually accompanied by the catastrophic consequences. Therefore, hunting for the tipping point or critical state is of significant importance to prevent or delay the occurrence of catastrophic consequences. However, predicting critical state based on the high-dimensional small sample data is a difficult problem, especially for single-cell expression data. Results In this study, we propose the comprehensive neighbourhood-based perturbed mutual information (CPMI) method to detect the critical states of complex biological processes. The CPMI method takes into account the relationship between genes and neighbours, so as to reduce the noise and enhance the robustness. This method is applied to a simulated dataset and six real datasets, including an influenza dataset, two single-cell expression datasets and three bulk datasets. The method can not only successfully detect the tipping points, but also identify their dynamic network biomarkers (DNBs). In addition, the discovery of transcription factors (TFs) which can regulate DNB genes and nondifferential ‘dark genes’ validates the effectiveness of our method. The numerical simulation verifies that the CPMI method is robust under different noise strengths and is superior to the existing methods on identifying the critical states. Conclusions In conclusion, we propose a robust computational method, i.e., CPMI, which is applicable in both the bulk and single cell datasets. The CPMI method holds great potential in providing the early warning signals for complex biological processes and enabling early disease diagnosis.

Abstract Complex biological systems often undergo sudden qualitative changes during their dynamic evolution. These critical transitions are typically characterized by a catastrophic progression of the system. Identifying the critical point is critical to uncovering the underlying mechanisms of complex biological systems. However, the system may exhibit minimal changes in its state until the critical point is reached, and in the face of high throughput and strong noise data, traditional biomarkers may not be effective in distinguishing the critical state. In this study, we propose a novel approach, mutual information weighted entropy (MIWE), which uses mutual information between genes to build networks and identifies critical states by quantifying molecular dynamic differences at each stage through weighted differential entropy. The method is applied to one numerical simulation dataset and four real datasets, including bulk and single-cell expression datasets. The critical states of the system can be recognized and the robustness of MIWE method is verified by numerical simulation under the influence of different noises. Moreover, we identify two key transcription factors (TFs), CREB1 and CREB3, that regulate downstream signaling genes to coordinate cell fate commitment. The dark genes in the single-cell expression datasets are mined to reveal the potential pathway regulation mechanism.

This paper is devoted to investigating a class of stochastic neutral-type neural networks with delays. By using the fixed point theorem and the properties of neutral-type operator, we obtain the existence conditions for periodic solutions of stochastic neutral-type neural networks. Furthermore, we obtain the conditions for the exponential stability of periodic solutions using Gronwall-Bellman inequality and stochastic analysis technique. Finally, a numerical example is given to show the effectiveness and merits of the present results. Our results can be used to obtain the existence and exponential stability of periodic solution to the corresponding deterministic systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]